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MIA at IND — Week 10 2026 Preview, Odds & Player Props

IND -3.5 over MIA with an over/under of 38.5 · Sunday, 11/15. IND's implied 23 points forecast 4.2 red-zone trips; MIA projects 3.3. Below: both offenses quarter by quarter, every posted player prop with how it has graded this season, and the players to watch — from play-by-play data nobody else publishes.
Spread
Money
Total
MIADolphins1-7
+3.5open +2.5
+164open +114
O 38.5open 40.5
INDColts2-7
−3.5open −2.5
−198open −135
U 38.5open 40.5
Sun, Nov 151:00 PM ETWeek 10

Game environment

What the market expects, and how fast and pass-heavy each team plays.
TeamExp ptsSeason avgOpp allowsPlays/gPass rateRZ trips
MIADolphins17.5+1.7 vs avg15.827.755.852%3.3projected
INDColts21.0+0.6 vs avg20.425.063.757%4.2projected
Indianapolis −3.5 with a 38.5 total works out to 17.5 to 21.0. Both teams are forecast to beat their season scoring average. Indianapolis runs 7.9 more plays a game, so more volume for Colts props.

Recent form

The last 8 games against the spread and against the total.
MIADolphinsAgainst the spreadL+3.0L+12.5L+10.0W+10.0–+7.0W+3.5W+7.0L+6.5 3-4Game totalsU40.5O44.5U45.5U38.5O44.5O39.5O41.5U50.5 4-4
INDColtsAgainst the spreadL+3.0W+6.0W+1.5W−4.5L+3.0L−6.5W+6.5L+10.0W+4.5 5-4Game totalsO48.5O46.5U41.5U46.5O41.5O43.5U41.5O45.5U51.5 5-4

Best prop spots

The softest spots in each defense, and how the props there have done this season.

Dolphins run game vs Indianapolis

Fire
138rush yds allowed3rd most
Most allowedFewest
Jaylen Wrightrush yds 9.5–––UU–UU––0-4
Props here 0 over, 4 under

Colts TEs vs Miami

Hot
63TE yds allowed6th most
Most allowedFewest
Tyler Warrenrec yds 48.5UUOUO––UU–2-5
Props here 2 over, 5 under

Dolphins passing vs Indianapolis

Warm
225pass yds allowed16th most
Most allowedFewest
Props here no results yet

Line movement

Since open
Game lines
SpreadDolphins+2.5 → +3.5 ▲1
TotalOver / under40.5 → 38.5 ▼2
MoneylineDolphins+114 → +164 ▲50

Dolphins offense vs Indianapolis defenseWhat Miami gains, and what Indianapolis gives up

Points

Fire
15.8Miami gains31st
1st32nd
27.7Indianapolis allows3rd most
Most allowedFewest

Rush yards

Fire
118Miami gains13th
1st32nd
138Indianapolis allows3rd most
Most allowedFewest

Pass yards

Warm
165Miami gains30th
1st32nd
225Indianapolis allows16th most
Most allowedFewest

Total yards

Hot
283Miami gains28th
1st32nd
363Indianapolis allows5th most
Most allowedFewest

Yards to WRs

Even
59Miami gains31st
1st32nd
126Indianapolis allows19th most
Most allowedFewest

EPA per play

Hot
-0.064Miami gains24th
1st32nd
0.075Indianapolis allows6th most
Most allowedFewest

Dolphins players

OOver UUnder –No line
PlayerThis week’s propAvgvs lineWeeks 1 to 10Record
Jalen TolbertWRrec yds 10.5——––––––––––—
Jaylen WrightRBrush yds 9.57.8−1.7–––UU–UU––0-4 U
Jalen TolbertWRreceptions 1.5——––––––––––—

Colts offense vs Miami defenseWhat Indianapolis gains, and what Miami gives up

Points

Hot
20.4Indianapolis gains24th
1st32nd
25.0Miami allows9th most
Most allowedFewest

Rush yards

Even
116Indianapolis gains15th
1st32nd
114Miami allows17th most
Most allowedFewest

Pass yards

Even
174Indianapolis gains27th
1st32nd
215Miami allows21st most
Most allowedFewest

Total yards

Even
289Indianapolis gains27th
1st32nd
329Miami allows19th most
Most allowedFewest

Yards to WRs

Tough
121Indianapolis gains17th
1st32nd
107Miami allows26th most
Most allowedFewest

EPA per play

Fire
-0.125Indianapolis gains29th
1st32nd
0.116Miami allows1st most
Most allowedFewest

Colts players

OOver UUnder –No line
PlayerThis week’s propAvgvs lineWeeks 1 to 10Record
Tyler WarrenTErec yds 48.539.3−9.2UUOUO––UU–2-5 U
Keenan AllenWRrec yds 34.543.9+9.4OUO–OOUOU–5-3 O
Keenan AllenWRrush yds 14.5——––––––––––—
Darius SlaytonWRrec yds 9.5——––––––––––—
Tyler WarrenTEreceptions 5.55.4−0.1UOOUO––UU–3-4 U
Keenan AllenWRreceptions 3.55.0+1.5OUO–OOUOU–5-3 O
Darius SlaytonWRreceptions 1.5——––––––––––—

Both offenses, quarter by quarter (2026 yards per game)

OffenseQ1Q2Q3Q4
MIA passing33.156.932.657.6
MIA rushing33.029.029.426.1
IND passing37.256.245.653.2
IND rushing22.030.431.031.8

Quarter splits computed from nflverse play-by-play — the data this site exists to publish. Deeper cuts: MIA offense · IND defense · IND offense · MIA defense

Players to watch

MIA: De'Von Achane (RB, 16 proj), Malik Willis (QB, 13.3 proj), Malik Washington (WR, 8.5 proj)

IND: Jonathan Taylor (RB, 18.9 proj), Daniel Jones (QB, 12.3 proj), Tyler Warren (TE, 11.6 proj)

FAQ

Who is favored in MIA at IND in Week 10?

IND is favored by 3.5 points, with an over/under of 38.5.

When do the Miami Dolphins play the Indianapolis Colts?

Week 10 of the 2026 season: Sunday, 11/15 (2026-11-15), MIA at IND.

Which player props look good in MIA at IND?

No posted-line disagreements yet — player props for this game post closer to kickoff; the quarter tendencies on this page are final.

all week-10 previews · week-10 slate · Hit Tracker · Prop Lab

Methodology: computed from nflverse play-by-play; a quarter's yards are the yards gained on plays snapped in that quarter. Averages use each player's games played, not team games. Updated 2026-11-13.

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