JAX at TEN — Week 10 2026 Preview, Odds & Player Props
JAX -10.5 over TEN with an over/under of 46.5 · Sunday, 11/15. TEN's implied 21.25 points forecast 3.8 red-zone trips; JAX projects 4.5. Below: both offenses quarter by quarter, every posted player prop with how it has graded this season, and the players to watch — from play-by-play data nobody else publishes.
Spread
Money
Total
JAXJaguars6-2
−10.5open −10.0
−600open −535
O 46.5open 46.5
TENTitans1-7
+10.5open +10.0
+440open +400
U 46.5open 46.5
Sun, Nov 151:00 PM ETWeek 10
Game environment
What the market expects, and how fast and pass-heavy each team plays.
Team
Exp pts
Season avg
Opp allows
Plays/g
Pass rate
RZ trips
JAXJaguars
28.5−0.1 vs avg
28.6
24.9
57.9
52%
4.5projected
TENTitans
18.0−0.0 vs avg
18.0
15.1
56.5
58%
3.8projected
Jacksonville −10.5 with a 46.5 total works out to 28.5 to 18.0. Both teams are forecast to fall short of their season scoring average.
Recent form
The last 8 games against the spread and against the total.
JAXJaguarsAgainst the spreadW−8.5L+2.5W−3.0W+2.5L−7.5L−2.5W−10.0W−8.55-3Game totalsO40.5U45.5U46.5U51.5U41.5O42.5O45.5O40.54-4
TENTitansAgainst the spreadL−1.5W+7.0L+2.5W+11.5L+6.5W+6.5L+1.5W+13.54-4Game totalsU39.5O39.5U37.5U42.5U37.5O43.5O36.5O45.54-4
Best prop spots
The softest spots in each defense, and how the props there have done this season.
Jaguars WRs vs Tennessee
Fire
156WR yds allowed2nd most
Most allowedFewest
Props here no results yet
Jaguars passing vs Tennessee
Fire
258pass yds allowed2nd most
Most allowedFewest
Props here no results yet
Titans WRs vs Jacksonville
Warm
146WR yds allowed11th most
Most allowedFewest
Carnell Taterec yds 54.5UUOOUOO–––4-3
Props here 4 over, 3 under
Line movement
Since open
Game lines
SpreadJaguars−10.0 → −10.5▼0.5
TotalOver / under46.5 → 46.5
MoneylineJaguars−535 → −600▼65
Jaguars offense vs Tennessee defenseWhat Jacksonville gains, and what Tennessee gives up
Points
Hot
28.6Jacksonville gains4th
1st32nd
24.9Tennessee allows10th most
Most allowedFewest
Rush yards
Warm
118Jacksonville gains12th
1st32nd
125Tennessee allows11th most
Most allowedFewest
Pass yards
Fire
229Jacksonville gains15th
1st32nd
258Tennessee allows2nd most
Most allowedFewest
Total yards
Fire
347Jacksonville gains13th
1st32nd
383Tennessee allows2nd most
Most allowedFewest
Yards to WRs
Fire
132Jacksonville gains14th
1st32nd
156Tennessee allows2nd most
Most allowedFewest
EPA per play
Hot
0.148Jacksonville gains2nd
1st32nd
0.069Tennessee allows8th most
Most allowedFewest
Jaguars players
OOver UUnder –No line
No posted props for this team yet.
Titans offense vs Jacksonville defenseWhat Tennessee gains, and what Jacksonville gives up
Points
Tough
18.0Tennessee gains28th
1st32nd
15.1Jacksonville allows31st most
Most allowedFewest
Rush yards
Tough
100Tennessee gains24th
1st32nd
90Jacksonville allows28th most
Most allowedFewest
Pass yards
Warm
174Tennessee gains28th
1st32nd
229Jacksonville allows12th most
Most allowedFewest
Total yards
Even
273Tennessee gains30th
1st32nd
319Jacksonville allows23rd most
Most allowedFewest
Yards to WRs
Warm
86Tennessee gains30th
1st32nd
146Jacksonville allows11th most
Most allowedFewest
EPA per play
Tough
-0.088Tennessee gains27th
1st32nd
-0.128Jacksonville allows30th most
Most allowedFewest
Titans players
OOver UUnder –No line
Player
This week’s prop
Avg
vs line
Weeks 1 to 10
Record
Carnell TateWR
rec yds 54.5
59.0
+4.5
UUOOUOO–––
4-3 O
Tyjae SpearsRB
rec yds 12.5
12.5
−0.0
UOUUOU––––
2-4 U
Tyjae SpearsRB
rush yds 10.5
11.0
+0.5
UOUUUU––––
1-5 U
Carnell TateWR
receptions 4.5
4.9
+0.4
OUOOUOO–––
5-2 O
Tyjae SpearsRB
receptions 2.5
2.5
−0.0
UUUUOU––––
1-5 U
Both offenses, quarter by quarter (2026 yards per game)
Methodology: computed from nflverse play-by-play; a quarter's yards are the yards gained on plays snapped in that quarter. Averages use each player's games played, not team games.
Updated 2026-11-13.
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