NYJ at TEN — Week 1 2026 Preview, Odds & Player Props
TEN -3 over NYJ with an over/under of 39.5 · Sunday, 9/13. TEN's implied 21.25 points forecast 3.8 red-zone trips; NYJ projects 3.0. Below: both offenses quarter by quarter, the posted player props our model disagrees with, and the players to watch — from play-by-play data nobody else publishes.
Both offenses, quarter by quarter (2025 yards/game)
| Offense | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 |
|---|
| NYJ passing | 42.9 | 39.9 | 40.3 | 52.8 |
| NYJ rushing | 19.9 | 20.9 | 21.3 | 20.4 |
| TEN passing | 43.9 | 47.3 | 30.5 | 64.8 |
| TEN rushing | 32.6 | 30.1 | 20.4 | 27.5 |
Quarter splits computed from nflverse play-by-play — the
data this site exists to publish. Deeper cuts: NYJ
offense · TEN defense ·
TEN offense ·
NYJ defense
Posted props our model has an opinion on
No posted-line disagreements for this game yet — player props for late-week games post closer to kickoff. The quarter data below is final.
Players to watch
NYJ: Garrett Wilson (WR, 14.5 proj), Breece Hall (RB, 13.5 proj), Geno Smith (QB, 12.7 proj)
TEN: Wan'Dale Robinson (WR, 12.8 proj), Tony Pollard (RB, 11.3 proj), Cam Ward (QB, 11 proj)
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