ATL at PIT — Week 1 2026 Preview, Odds & Player Props
PIT -3 over ATL with an over/under of 42.5 · Sunday, 9/13. PIT's implied 22.75 points forecast 4.2 red-zone trips; ATL projects 3.4. Below: both offenses quarter by quarter, the posted player props our model disagrees with, and the players to watch — from play-by-play data nobody else publishes.
Both offenses, quarter by quarter (2025 yards/game)
| Offense | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 |
|---|
| ATL passing | 35.3 | 44.6 | 30.2 | 46.3 |
| ATL rushing | 28.1 | 39.7 | 26.8 | 19.6 |
| PIT passing | 42.6 | 56.1 | 45.1 | 51.6 |
| PIT rushing | 30.8 | 29.8 | 34.5 | 32.6 |
Quarter splits computed from nflverse play-by-play — the
data this site exists to publish. Deeper cuts: ATL
offense · PIT defense ·
PIT offense ·
ATL defense
Posted props our model has an opinion on
No posted-line disagreements for this game yet — player props for late-week games post closer to kickoff. The quarter data below is final.
Players to watch
ATL: Bijan Robinson (RB, 21.4 proj), Drake London (WR, 16.7 proj), Tua Tagovailoa (QB, 12.6 proj)
PIT: Aaron Rodgers (QB, 14.4 proj), Rico Dowdle (RB, 12.6 proj), DK Metcalf (WR, 12.5 proj)
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