BUF at HOU — Week 1 2026 Preview, Odds & Player Props
BUF -1.5 over HOU with an over/under of 45.5 · Sunday, 9/13. HOU's implied 22 points forecast 4.0 red-zone trips; BUF projects 4.3. Below: both offenses quarter by quarter, the posted player props our model disagrees with, and the players to watch — from play-by-play data nobody else publishes.
Both offenses, quarter by quarter (2025 yards/game)
| Offense | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 |
|---|
| BUF passing | 40.1 | 48.8 | 55.5 | 71.5 |
| BUF rushing | 43.5 | 36.6 | 44.3 | 37.9 |
| HOU passing | 54.8 | 54.9 | 31.4 | 37.9 |
| HOU rushing | 23.8 | 39.4 | 31.0 | 34.3 |
Quarter splits computed from nflverse play-by-play — the
data this site exists to publish. Deeper cuts: BUF
offense · HOU defense ·
HOU offense ·
BUF defense
Posted props our model has an opinion on
No posted-line disagreements for this game yet — player props for late-week games post closer to kickoff. The quarter data below is final.
Players to watch
BUF: Josh Allen (QB, 23 proj), James Cook (RB, 17.5 proj), DJ Moore (WR, 11.1 proj)
HOU: Nico Collins (WR, 15.6 proj), C.J. Stroud (QB, 14.3 proj), David Montgomery (RB, 11.2 proj)
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