WeeklyHeater

BUF at HOU — Week 1 2026 Result, Props Graded

Buffalo Bills won 36–31; Buffalo Bills covered −1.5. 67 points went over 44.5.

Scoring by quarter

How the game actually went, from play-by-play.
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Buffalo Bills3213936
Houston Texans71401031

Yards by quarter, this game

When the yards actually came — not a season average.
OffenseQ1Q2Q3Q4Total
Buffalo Bills passing2713035131323
Buffalo Bills rushing313661487
Houston Texans passing48734888257
Houston Texans rushing29651515124

How the props graded

33 MARKETSEvery posted line against what the player actually did — 22 over, 11 under.
PlayerMarketLineActualvs lineResult
Josh AllenBUF · QBPassing yards220.5334+113.5OVER
DJ MooreBUF · WRReceiving yards47.5100+52.5OVER
Dalton KincaidBUF · TEReceiving yards39.5130+90.5OVER
Khalil ShakirBUF · WRReceiving yards36.540+3.5OVER
James CookBUF · RBReceiving yards19.512−7.5UNDER
Dawson KnoxBUF · TEReceiving yards13.57−6.5UNDER
Keon ColemanBUF · WRReceiving yards11.51−10.5UNDER
Dalton KincaidBUF · TEReceptions3.55+1.5OVER
Khalil ShakirBUF · WRReceptions3.54+0.5OVER
DJ MooreBUF · WRReceptions3.55+1.5OVER
James CookBUF · RBReceptions2.53+0.5OVER
Dawson KnoxBUF · TEReceptions1.51−0.5UNDER
Keon ColemanBUF · WRReceptions1.51−0.5UNDER
James CookBUF · RBRushing yards74.557−17.5UNDER
Josh AllenBUF · QBRushing yards31.523−8.5UNDER
C.J. StroudHOU · QBPassing yards222.5274+51.5OVER
Nico CollinsHOU · WRReceiving yards71.575+3.5OVER
Dalton SchultzHOU · TEReceiving yards34.535+0.5OVER
Kayshon BoutteHOU · WRReceiving yards22.521−1.5UNDER
Xavier HutchinsonHOU · WRReceiving yards16.532+15.5OVER
Jaylin NoelHOU · WRReceiving yards15.553+37.5OVER
David MontgomeryHOU · RBReceiving yards11.519+7.5OVER
Woody MarksHOU · RBReceiving yards9.5-2−11.5UNDER
Nico CollinsHOU · WRReceptions5.57+1.5OVER
Dalton SchultzHOU · TEReceptions3.54+0.5OVER
Woody MarksHOU · RBReceptions1.51−0.5UNDER
Xavier HutchinsonHOU · WRReceptions1.53+1.5OVER
Jaylin NoelHOU · WRReceptions1.52+0.5OVER
David MontgomeryHOU · RBReceptions1.53+1.5OVER
Kayshon BoutteHOU · WRReceptions1.51−0.5UNDER
David MontgomeryHOU · RBRushing yards55.560+4.5OVER
Woody MarksHOU · RBRushing yards27.542+14.5OVER
C.J. StroudHOU · QBRushing yards10.515+4.5OVER
Closing line: Houston Texans +1.5 · total 44.5.

FAQ

Who won BUF at HOU in Week 1?

Buffalo Bills won 36-31.

Did BUF or HOU cover the spread?

Buffalo Bills covered.

Did BUF at HOU go over or under?

67 points were scored against a total of 44.5 — over.

Methodology: computed from nflverse play-by-play; a quarter's yards are the yards gained on plays snapped in that quarter. Averages use each player's games played, not team games. Updated 2026-10-19.

Open the live model — any player, any line, all four quarters →

llms.txt