Week 1 games › BUF @ HOU

BUF at HOU — Week 1 2026 Preview, Odds & Player Props

BUF -1.5 over HOU with an over/under of 45.5 · Sunday, 9/13. HOU's implied 22 points forecast 4.0 red-zone trips; BUF projects 4.3. Below: both offenses quarter by quarter, the posted player props our model disagrees with, and the players to watch — from play-by-play data nobody else publishes.

Both offenses, quarter by quarter (2025 yards/game)

Offense	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
BUF passing	40.1	48.8	55.5	71.5
BUF rushing	43.5	37.5	44.3	37.9
HOU passing	54.8	54.9	31.4	37.9
HOU rushing	23.8	39.4	31.0	34.3

Quarter splits computed from nflverse play-by-play — the data this site exists to publish. Deeper cuts: BUF offense · HOU defense · HOU offense · BUF defense

Posted props our model has an opinion on

No posted-line disagreements for this game yet — player props for late-week games post closer to kickoff. The quarter data below is final.

Players to watch

BUF: Josh Allen (QB, 23 proj), James Cook (RB, 17.5 proj), DJ Moore (WR, 11.1 proj)

HOU: Nico Collins (WR, 15.6 proj), C.J. Stroud (QB, 14.3 proj), David Montgomery (RB, 11.2 proj)

FAQ

Who is favored in BUF at HOU in Week 1?

BUF is favored by 1.5 points, with an over/under of 45.5.

When do the Buffalo Bills play the Houston Texans?

Week 1 of the 2026 season: Sunday, 9/13 (2026-09-13), BUF at HOU.

Which player props look good in BUF at HOU?

No posted-line disagreements yet — player props for this game post closer to kickoff; the quarter tendencies on this page are final.

all week-1 previews · best anytime-TD bet for this game · week-1 anytime-TD rankings

Methodology: computed from nflverse play-by-play; a quarter's yards are the yards gained on plays snapped in that quarter. Averages use each player's games played, not team games. Updated 2026-09-13.

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