DAL at NYG — Week 1 2026 Preview, Odds & Player Props
DAL -2.5 over NYG with an over/under of 48.5 · Sunday, 9/13. NYG's implied 23 points forecast 4.2 red-zone trips; DAL projects 4.8. Below: both offenses quarter by quarter, the posted player props our model disagrees with, and the players to watch — from play-by-play data nobody else publishes.
Both offenses, quarter by quarter (2025 yards/game)
| Offense | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 |
|---|
| DAL passing | 54.8 | 83.4 | 53.5 | 69.3 |
| DAL rushing | 25.8 | 21.8 | 24.5 | 16.9 |
| NYG passing | 31.8 | 40.5 | 30.2 | 31.1 |
| NYG rushing | 21.6 | 23.5 | 29.0 | 23.2 |
Quarter splits computed from nflverse play-by-play — the
data this site exists to publish. Deeper cuts: DAL
offense · NYG defense ·
NYG offense ·
DAL defense
Posted props our model has an opinion on
| Player | Prop | Our edge | Why |
|---|
| Cam Skattebo (NYG) | anytime TD Over | +8.2 | our model prices him at 57% vs the 8-point-cheaper market |
| Jaxson Dart (NYG) | rush yds Over 30.5 | +4.3 | our fair is 34.8 vs the 30.5 consensus (+4.3) |
Edge = our number minus the posted consensus. Lines move daily — treat as a snapshot.
Players to watch
DAL: Dak Prescott (QB, 17.9 proj), CeeDee Lamb (WR, 16.1 proj), George Pickens (WR, 16 proj)
NYG: Jaxson Dart (QB, 17.3 proj), Malik Nabers (WR, 16.5 proj), Cam Skattebo (RB, 16 proj)
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