CHI at CAR — Week 1 2026 Preview, Odds & Player Props
CHI -2.5 over CAR with an over/under of 44.5 · Sunday, 9/13. CAR's implied 21 points forecast 3.7 red-zone trips; CHI projects 4.3. Below: both offenses quarter by quarter, the posted player props our model disagrees with, and the players to watch — from play-by-play data nobody else publishes.
Both offenses, quarter by quarter (2025 yards/game)
| Offense | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 |
| CHI passing | 52.4 | 55.5 | 56.9 | 64.5 |
| CHI rushing | 31.2 | 32.1 | 35.1 | 36.4 |
| CAR passing | 37.8 | 39.3 | 45.3 | 51.5 |
| CAR rushing | 13.2 | 13.4 | 14.1 | 5.9 |
Quarter splits computed from nflverse play-by-play — the
data this site exists to publish. Deeper cuts: CHI
offense · CAR defense ·
CAR offense ·
CHI defense
Posted props our model has an opinion on
No posted-line disagreements for this game yet — player props for late-week games post closer to kickoff. The quarter data below is final.
Players to watch
CHI: Caleb Williams (QB, 17.7 proj), D'Andre Swift (RB, 13.8 proj), Rome Odunze (WR, 11 proj)
CAR: Bryce Young (QB, 13.7 proj), Tetairoa McMillan (WR, 12.6 proj), Chuba Hubbard (RB, 10.4 proj)