Week 1 games › WAS @ PHI

WAS at PHI — Week 1 2026 Preview, Odds & Player Props

PHI -5.5 over WAS with an over/under of 46.5 · Sunday, 9/13. PHI's implied 26 points forecast 5.0 red-zone trips; WAS projects 3.6. Below: both offenses quarter by quarter, the posted player props our model disagrees with, and the players to watch — from play-by-play data nobody else publishes.

Both offenses, quarter by quarter (2025 yards/game)

Offense	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
WAS passing	32.2	50.6	39.5	48.1
WAS rushing	27.3	39.6	33.5	29.0
PHI passing	36.8	52.2	44.1	53.4
PHI rushing	35.2	28.7	24.2	27.6

Quarter splits computed from nflverse play-by-play — the data this site exists to publish. Deeper cuts: WAS offense · PHI defense · PHI offense · WAS defense

Posted props our model has an opinion on

Player	Prop	Our edge	Why
Saquon Barkley (PHI)	rush yds Over 77.5	+10.8	our fair is 88.3 vs the posted 77.5 (DraftKings, +10.8)

Edge = our number minus the posted consensus. Lines move daily — treat as a snapshot.

Players to watch

WAS: Jayden Daniels (QB, 18.4 proj), Terry McLaurin (WR, 13 proj), Stefon Diggs (WR, 12.8 proj)

PHI: Jalen Hurts (QB, 19.4 proj), Saquon Barkley (RB, 16.5 proj), DeVonta Smith (WR, 12.6 proj)

FAQ

Who is favored in WAS at PHI in Week 1?

PHI is favored by 5.5 points, with an over/under of 46.5.

When do the Washington Commanders play the Philadelphia Eagles?

Week 1 of the 2026 season: Sunday, 9/13 (2026-09-13), WAS at PHI.

Which player props look good in WAS at PHI?

Our model's biggest disagreements with the posted lines: Saquon Barkley rush yds Over 77.5 (edge +10.8). The full table is on this page.

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Methodology: computed from nflverse play-by-play; a quarter's yards are the yards gained on plays snapped in that quarter. Averages use each player's games played, not team games. Updated 2026-09-13.

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