NO at DET — Week 1 2026 Preview, Odds & Player Props
DET -7 over NO with an over/under of 48.5 · Sunday, 9/13. DET's implied 27.75 points forecast 5.4 red-zone trips; NO projects 3.7. Below: both offenses quarter by quarter, the posted player props our model disagrees with, and the players to watch — from play-by-play data nobody else publishes.
Both offenses, quarter by quarter (2025 yards/game)
| Offense | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 |
|---|
| NO passing | 22.9 | 35.2 | 28.5 | 57.0 |
| NO rushing | 24.7 | 31.1 | 26.1 | 27.2 |
| DET passing | 65.6 | 75.5 | 62.6 | 64.7 |
| DET rushing | 23.8 | 29.8 | 27.5 | 18.7 |
Quarter splits computed from nflverse play-by-play — the
data this site exists to publish. Deeper cuts: NO
offense · DET defense ·
DET offense ·
NO defense
Posted props our model has an opinion on
No posted-line disagreements for this game yet — player props for late-week games post closer to kickoff. The quarter data below is final.
Players to watch
NO: Chris Olave (WR, 15.7 proj), Tyler Shough (QB, 14.4 proj), Travis Etienne (RB, 13.5 proj)
DET: Jahmyr Gibbs (RB, 21.5 proj), Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR, 18.9 proj), Jared Goff (QB, 17.9 proj)
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