MIA at LV — Week 1 2026 Preview, Odds & Player Props
LV -3 over MIA with an over/under of 41.5 · Sunday, 9/13. LV's implied 22.25 points forecast 4.0 red-zone trips; MIA projects 3.3. Below: both offenses quarter by quarter, the posted player props our model disagrees with, and the players to watch — from play-by-play data nobody else publishes.
Both offenses, quarter by quarter (2025 yards/game)
| Offense | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 |
|---|
| MIA passing | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| MIA rushing | 33.6 | 24.6 | 13.6 | 24.5 |
| LV passing | 19.5 | 25.2 | 25.0 | 31.5 |
| LV rushing | 17.1 | 21.5 | 14.9 | 14.4 |
Quarter splits computed from nflverse play-by-play — the
data this site exists to publish. Deeper cuts: MIA
offense · LV defense ·
LV offense ·
MIA defense
Posted props our model has an opinion on
| Player | Prop | Our edge | Why |
|---|
| Ashton Jeanty (LV) | rush yds Under 76.5 | -17.4 | our fair is 59.1 vs the 76.5 consensus (-17.4) |
Edge = our number minus the posted consensus. Lines move daily — treat as a snapshot.
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