CLE at JAX — Week 1 2026 Preview, Odds & Player Props
JAX -7.5 over CLE with an over/under of 40.5 · Sunday, 9/13. JAX's implied 24 points forecast 4.5 red-zone trips; CLE projects 2.6. Below: both offenses quarter by quarter, the posted player props our model disagrees with, and the players to watch — from play-by-play data nobody else publishes.
Both offenses, quarter by quarter (2025 yards/game)
| Offense | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 |
|---|
| CLE passing | 10.8 | 18.9 | 8.8 | 16.6 |
| CLE rushing | 20.6 | 15.1 | 15.7 | 22.8 |
| JAX passing | 62.0 | 63.6 | 65.5 | 42.4 |
| JAX rushing | 22.1 | 21.7 | 16.9 | 17.9 |
Quarter splits computed from nflverse play-by-play — the
data this site exists to publish. Deeper cuts: CLE
offense · JAX defense ·
JAX offense ·
CLE defense
Posted props our model has an opinion on
No posted-line disagreements for this game yet — player props for late-week games post closer to kickoff. The quarter data below is final.
Players to watch
CLE: Quinshon Judkins (RB, 12.1 proj), Harold Fannin Jr. (TE, 11.7 proj), Jerry Jeudy (WR, 8.9 proj)
JAX: Trevor Lawrence (QB, 19 proj), Jakobi Meyers (WR, 11.9 proj), Brian Thomas Jr. (WR, 11.9 proj)
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