MIN at GB — Week 10 2026 Preview, Odds & Player Props
GB -3 over MIN with an over/under of 41.5 · Sunday, 11/15. GB's implied 23 points forecast 4.2 red-zone trips; MIN projects 3.9. Below: both offenses quarter by quarter, every posted player prop with how it has graded this season, and the players to watch — from play-by-play data nobody else publishes.
Spread
Money
Total
MINVikings6-2
+3.0open +3.5
+124open +150
O 41.5open 42.5
GBPackers6-3
−3.0open −3.5
−148open −180
U 41.5open 42.5
Sun, Nov 151:00 PM ETWeek 10
Game environment
What the market expects, and how fast and pass-heavy each team plays.
Team
Exp pts
Season avg
Opp allows
Plays/g
Pass rate
RZ trips
MINVikings
19.2+1.0 vs avg
18.2
21.2
55.9
55%
3.9projected
GBPackers
22.2−1.8 vs avg
24.0
14.5
61.7
65%
4.2projected
Green Bay −3.0 with a 41.5 total works out to 19.2 to 22.2. Only Vikings is forecast to beat their season scoring average. Green Bay runs 5.8 more plays a game, so more volume for Packers props.
Recent form
The last 8 games against the spread and against the total.
MINVikingsAgainst the spreadW−1.5W+4.5W+1.5L−10.0W−2.5L−6.5L+3.0L+3.04-4Game totalsO46.5U46.5U42.5U38.5U41.5U41.5U46.5U45.51-7
GBPackersAgainst the spreadL+1.5L−3.5L−4.5–−3.0W+1.5W+1.5W+3.5W−3.5W+3.05-3Game totalsO46.5U44.5O42.5U38.5U46.5U54.5U55.5U47.5O44.53-6
Best prop spots
The softest spots in each defense, and how the props there have done this season.
Vikings WRs vs Green Bay
Hot
152WR yds allowed5th most
Most allowedFewest
Jordan Addisonrec yds 40.5UUOU––UOU–2-5
Props here 2 over, 5 under
Packers run game vs Minnesota
Warm
120rush yds allowed16th most
Most allowedFewest
Props here no results yet
Vikings run game vs Green Bay
Even
110rush yds allowed18th most
Most allowedFewest
Props here no results yet
Line movement
Since open
Game lines
SpreadVikings+3.5 → +3.0▼0.5
TotalOver / under42.5 → 41.5▼1
MoneylineVikings+150 → +124▼26
Vikings offense vs Green Bay defenseWhat Minnesota gains, and what Green Bay gives up
Points
Even
18.2Minnesota gains27th
1st32nd
21.2Green Bay allows22nd most
Most allowedFewest
Rush yards
Even
108Minnesota gains19th
1st32nd
110Green Bay allows18th most
Most allowedFewest
Pass yards
Even
161Minnesota gains31st
1st32nd
214Green Bay allows22nd most
Most allowedFewest
Total yards
Even
269Minnesota gains31st
1st32nd
324Green Bay allows22nd most
Most allowedFewest
Yards to WRs
Hot
104Minnesota gains24th
1st32nd
152Green Bay allows5th most
Most allowedFewest
EPA per play
Tough
-0.162Minnesota gains31st
1st32nd
-0.076Green Bay allows27th most
Most allowedFewest
Vikings players
OOver UUnder –No line
Player
This week’s prop
Avg
vs line
Weeks 1 to 10
Record
Kyler MurrayQB
pass yds 213.5
170.3
−43.2
U–UOO–UU––
2-4 U
Jordan AddisonWR
rec yds 40.5
39.6
−0.9
UUOU––UOU–
2-5 U
Kyler MurrayQB
rush yds 17.5
27.8
+10.3
U–UUO–OO––
3-3
Jordan AddisonWR
receptions 3.5
2.6
−0.9
UUOU––UUU–
1-6 U
Packers offense vs Minnesota defenseWhat Green Bay gains, and what Minnesota gives up
Points
Tough
24.0Green Bay gains12th
1st32nd
14.5Minnesota allows32nd most
Most allowedFewest
Rush yards
Warm
70Green Bay gains32nd
1st32nd
120Minnesota allows16th most
Most allowedFewest
Pass yards
Tough
280Green Bay gains2nd
1st32nd
161Minnesota allows31st most
Most allowedFewest
Total yards
Tough
350Green Bay gains12th
1st32nd
281Minnesota allows31st most
Most allowedFewest
Yards to WRs
Even
204Green Bay gains2nd
1st32nd
112Minnesota allows24th most
Most allowedFewest
EPA per play
Tough
0.038Green Bay gains12th
1st32nd
-0.149Minnesota allows31st most
Most allowedFewest
Packers players
OOver UUnder –No line
No posted props for this team yet.
Both offenses, quarter by quarter (2026 yards per game)
Methodology: computed from nflverse play-by-play; a quarter's yards are the yards gained on plays snapped in that quarter. Averages use each player's games played, not team games.
Updated 2026-11-13.
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