WeeklyHeater

MIN at DET — Week 8 2026 Preview, Odds & Player Props

DET -3 over MIN with an over/under of 46.5 · Sunday, 11/1. DET's implied 27.75 points forecast 5.4 red-zone trips; MIN projects 3.9. Below: both offenses quarter by quarter, every posted player prop with how it has graded this season, and the players to watch — from play-by-play data nobody else publishes.
Spread
Money
Total
MINVikings6-0
+3.0open +3.0
+142open +142
O 46.5open 46.5
DETLions4-2
−3.0open −3.0
−170open −170
U 46.5open 46.5
Sun, Nov 11:00 PM ETWeek 8See all 12 props

Game environment

What the market expects, and how fast and pass-heavy each team plays.
TeamExp ptsSeason avgOpp allowsPlays/gPass rateRZ trips
MINVikings21.8+1.0 vs avg20.827.558.752%3.9projected
DETLions24.8−5.9 vs avg30.712.365.859%5.4projected
Detroit −3.0 with a 46.5 total works out to 21.8 to 24.8. Only Vikings is forecast to beat their season scoring average. Detroit runs 7.1 more plays a game, so more volume for Lions props.

Recent form

The last 6 games against the spread and against the total.
MINVikingsAgainst the spreadW−1.5W+4.5W+1.5L−10.0W−2.5L−6.5 4-2Game totalsO46.5U46.5U42.5U38.5U41.5U41.5 1-5
DETLionsAgainst the spreadL−7.0L+5.5–−7.0L−4.5W−5.5L−3.5 1-4Game totalsO49.5O54.5O49.5O52.5O55.5U55.5 5-1

Best prop spots

The softest spots in each defense, and how the props there have done this season.

Vikings passing vs Detroit

Fire
292pass yds allowed1st most
Most allowedFewest
Props here no results yet

Vikings TEs vs Detroit

Fire
83TE yds allowed1st most
Most allowedFewest
Props here no results yet

Lions run game vs Minnesota

Even
98rush yds allowed23rd most
Most allowedFewest
Props here no results yet

Line movement

Since open
Game lines
SpreadVikings+3.0 → +3.0
TotalOver / under46.5 → 46.5
MoneylineVikings+142 → +142

Vikings offense vs Detroit defenseWhat Minnesota gains, and what Detroit gives up

Points

Hot
20.8Minnesota gains23rd
1st32nd
27.5Detroit allows7th most
Most allowedFewest

Rush yards

Even
122Minnesota gains12th
1st32nd
100Detroit allows20th most
Most allowedFewest

Pass yards

Fire
163Minnesota gains29th
1st32nd
292Detroit allows1st most
Most allowedFewest

Total yards

Fire
284Minnesota gains29th
1st32nd
392Detroit allows1st most
Most allowedFewest

Yards to WRs

Fire
105Minnesota gains27th
1st32nd
176Detroit allows2nd most
Most allowedFewest

EPA per play

Fire
-0.096Minnesota gains29th
1st32nd
0.134Detroit allows2nd most
Most allowedFewest

Vikings players

OOver UUnder –No line
PlayerThis week’s propAvgvs lineWeeks 1 to 7Record
Jordan AddisonWRrec yds 40.536.6−3.9UUOU––U1-4 U
Jordan AddisonWRreceptions 3.52.6−0.9UUOU––U1-4 U

Lions offense vs Minnesota defenseWhat Detroit gains, and what Minnesota gives up

Points

Tough
30.7Detroit gains2nd
1st32nd
12.3Minnesota allows32nd most
Most allowedFewest

Rush yards

Even
116Detroit gains16th
1st32nd
98Minnesota allows23rd most
Most allowedFewest

Pass yards

Tough
282Detroit gains1st
1st32nd
155Minnesota allows31st most
Most allowedFewest

Total yards

Tough
398Detroit gains2nd
1st32nd
253Minnesota allows31st most
Most allowedFewest

Yards to WRs

Even
184Detroit gains4th
1st32nd
113Minnesota allows24th most
Most allowedFewest

EPA per play

Tough
0.14Detroit gains4th
1st32nd
-0.193Minnesota allows32nd most
Most allowedFewest

Lions players

OOver UUnder –No line
No posted props for this team yet.

Both offenses, quarter by quarter (2026 yards per game)

OffenseQ1Q2Q3Q4
MIN passing45.760.525.250.0
MIN rushing30.819.530.738.3
DET passing46.792.581.277.7
DET rushing21.831.234.527.5

Quarter splits computed from nflverse play-by-play — the data this site exists to publish. Deeper cuts: MIN offense · DET defense · DET offense · MIN defense

Players to watch

MIN: Kyler Murray (QB, 16.6 proj), Justin Jefferson (WR, 13.6 proj), Jauan Jennings (WR, 12.2 proj)

DET: Jahmyr Gibbs (RB, 21.5 proj), Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR, 18.9 proj), Jared Goff (QB, 17.9 proj)

FAQ

Who is favored in MIN at DET in Week 8?

DET is favored by 3 points, with an over/under of 46.5.

When do the Minnesota Vikings play the Detroit Lions?

Week 8 of the 2026 season: Sunday, 11/1 (2026-11-01), MIN at DET.

Which player props look good in MIN at DET?

No posted-line disagreements yet — player props for this game post closer to kickoff; the quarter tendencies on this page are final.

Methodology: computed from nflverse play-by-play; a quarter's yards are the yards gained on plays snapped in that quarter. Averages use each player's games played, not team games. Updated 2026-10-27.

Open the live model — any player, any line, all four quarters →

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