WeeklyHeater

LV at NYJ — Week 8 2026 Preview, Odds & Player Props

NYJ -1.5 over LV with an over/under of 45.5 · Sunday, 11/1. NYJ's implied 18.25 points forecast 3.0 red-zone trips; LV projects 4.0. Below: both offenses quarter by quarter, every posted player prop with how it has graded this season, and the players to watch — from play-by-play data nobody else publishes.
Spread
Money
Total
LVRaiders3-4
+1.5open +1.5
−110open −110
O 45.5open 45.5
NYJJets2-5
−1.5open −1.5
−110open −110
U 45.5open 45.5
Sun, Nov 11:00 PM ETWeek 8See all 8 props

Game environment

What the market expects, and how fast and pass-heavy each team plays.
TeamExp ptsSeason avgOpp allowsPlays/gPass rateRZ trips
LVRaiders22.0−4.1 vs avg26.121.463.463%4.0projected
NYJJets23.5+3.9 vs avg19.628.157.457%3.0projected
NY −1.5 with a 45.5 total works out to 22.0 to 23.5. Only Jets is forecast to beat their season scoring average. Las Vegas runs 6.0 more plays a game, so more volume for Raiders props.

Recent form

The last 7 games against the spread and against the total.
LVRaidersAgainst the spreadW−3.0W+6.5W+4.5W+5.5L+3.5W+5.5L+3.5 5-2Game totalsU40.5U43.5O43.5O47.5O45.5O53.5O49.5 5-2
NYJJetsAgainst the spreadW+1.5W+3.5–+7.0L+3.5W−2.5W+7.5L−3.5 4-2Game totalsU39.5U44.5O49.5U43.5U38.5O43.5O39.5 3-4

Best prop spots

The softest spots in each defense, and how the props there have done this season.

Jets run game vs Las Vegas

Fire
145rush yds allowed3rd most
Most allowedFewest
Props here no results yet

Raiders run game vs NY

Hot
129rush yds allowed9th most
Most allowedFewest
Props here no results yet

Jets passing vs Las Vegas

Warm
230pass yds allowed11th most
Most allowedFewest
Props here no results yet

Line movement

Since open
Game lines
SpreadRaiders+1.5 → +1.5
TotalOver / under45.5 → 45.5
MoneylineRaiders−110 → −110

Raiders offense vs NY defenseWhat Las Vegas gains, and what NY gives up

Points

Even
26.1Las Vegas gains7th
1st32nd
21.4NY allows20th most
Most allowedFewest

Rush yards

Hot
76Las Vegas gains31st
1st32nd
129NY allows9th most
Most allowedFewest

Pass yards

Tough
269Las Vegas gains5th
1st32nd
188NY allows28th most
Most allowedFewest

Total yards

Even
346Las Vegas gains14th
1st32nd
317NY allows23rd most
Most allowedFewest

Yards to WRs

Tough
108Las Vegas gains25th
1st32nd
108NY allows27th most
Most allowedFewest

EPA per play

Even
-0.008Las Vegas gains17th
1st32nd
-0.002NY allows18th most
Most allowedFewest

Raiders players

OOver UUnder –No line
PlayerThis week’s propAvgvs lineWeeks 1 to 7Record
Brock BowersTErec yds 65.591.0+25.5––OOOUO4-1 O
Brock BowersTEreceptions 5.56.8+1.3––OUOUU2-3 U

Jets offense vs Las Vegas defenseWhat NY gains, and what Las Vegas gives up

Points

Fire
19.6NY gains27th
1st32nd
28.1Las Vegas allows4th most
Most allowedFewest

Rush yards

Fire
97NY gains22nd
1st32nd
145Las Vegas allows3rd most
Most allowedFewest

Pass yards

Warm
207NY gains21st
1st32nd
230Las Vegas allows11th most
Most allowedFewest

Total yards

Fire
305NY gains23rd
1st32nd
375Las Vegas allows4th most
Most allowedFewest

Yards to WRs

Warm
109NY gains24th
1st32nd
133Las Vegas allows16th most
Most allowedFewest

EPA per play

Hot
0.013NY gains15th
1st32nd
0.054Las Vegas allows10th most
Most allowedFewest

Jets players

OOver UUnder –No line
PlayerThis week’s propAvgvs lineWeeks 1 to 7Record
Adonai MitchellWRrec yds 44.541.0−3.5OO––––U2-1 O
Adonai MitchellWRreceptions 3.53.0−0.5OO––––U2-1 O

Both offenses, quarter by quarter (2026 yards per game)

OffenseQ1Q2Q3Q4
LV passing50.180.163.383.3
LV rushing18.717.623.015.4
NYJ passing46.042.372.970.7
NYJ rushing23.323.031.718.4

Quarter splits computed from nflverse play-by-play — the data this site exists to publish. Deeper cuts: LV offense · NYJ defense · NYJ offense · LV defense

Players to watch

LV: Brock Bowers (TE, 14.9 proj), Ashton Jeanty (RB, 14.4 proj), Kirk Cousins (QB, 11.1 proj)

NYJ: Garrett Wilson (WR, 14.5 proj), Breece Hall (RB, 13.5 proj), Geno Smith (QB, 12.7 proj)

FAQ

Who is favored in LV at NYJ in Week 8?

NYJ is favored by 1.5 points, with an over/under of 45.5.

When do the Las Vegas Raiders play the New York Jets?

Week 8 of the 2026 season: Sunday, 11/1 (2026-11-01), LV at NYJ.

Which player props look good in LV at NYJ?

No posted-line disagreements yet — player props for this game post closer to kickoff; the quarter tendencies on this page are final.

Methodology: computed from nflverse play-by-play; a quarter's yards are the yards gained on plays snapped in that quarter. Averages use each player's games played, not team games. Updated 2026-10-27.

Open the live model — any player, any line, all four quarters →

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