KC at DEN — Week 8 2026 Preview, Odds & Player Props
KC -1.5 over DEN with an over/under of 41.5 · Sunday, 11/1. DEN's implied 20 points forecast 3.5 red-zone trips; KC projects 4.1. Below: both offenses quarter by quarter, every posted player prop with how it has graded this season, and the players to watch — from play-by-play data nobody else publishes.
What the market expects, and how fast and pass-heavy each team plays.
Team
Exp pts
Season avg
Opp allows
Plays/g
Pass rate
RZ trips
KCChiefs
21.5−2.3 vs avg
23.8
20.1
59.0
56%
4.1projected
DENBroncos
20.0−0.6 vs avg
20.6
17.2
56.6
58%
3.5projected
Kansas City −1.5 with a 41.5 total works out to 21.5 to 20.0. Both teams are forecast to fall short of their season scoring average. Kansas City runs 2.4 more plays a game, so more volume for Chiefs props.
Recent form
The last 6 games against the spread and against the total.
KCChiefsAgainst the spreadW−2.5L−6.0W−10.0L−5.5W−7.5L+3.03-3Game totalsU42.5O46.5U45.5O47.5U41.5U43.52-4
DENBroncosAgainst the spreadL+2.5W−2.5W+1.5L+3.0W−3.5W+3.0W−4.55-2Game totalsU42.5U45.5O43.5U48.5U42.5U40.5O44.52-5
Best prop spots
The softest spots in each defense, and how the props there have done this season.
Chiefs run game vs Denver
Hot
134rush yds allowed5th most
Most allowedFewest
Props here no results yet
Broncos TEs vs Kansas City
Hot
72TE yds allowed6th most
Most allowedFewest
Props here no results yet
Chiefs TEs vs Denver
Hot
65TE yds allowed8th most
Most allowedFewest
Props here no results yet
Line movement
Since open
Game lines
SpreadChiefs−1.5 → −1.5
TotalOver / under41.5 → 41.5
MoneylineChiefs−125 → −125
Chiefs offense vs Denver defenseWhat Kansas City gains, and what Denver gives up
Points
Tough
23.8Kansas City gains14th
1st32nd
20.1Denver allows26th most
Most allowedFewest
Rush yards
Hot
143Kansas City gains5th
1st32nd
134Denver allows5th most
Most allowedFewest
Pass yards
Even
239Kansas City gains12th
1st32nd
216Denver allows20th most
Most allowedFewest
Total yards
Warm
382Kansas City gains6th
1st32nd
350Denver allows11th most
Most allowedFewest
Yards to WRs
Warm
115Kansas City gains19th
1st32nd
137Denver allows13th most
Most allowedFewest
EPA per play
Tough
0.118Kansas City gains5th
1st32nd
-0.049Denver allows26th most
Most allowedFewest
Chiefs players
OOver UUnder –No line
No posted props for this team yet.
Broncos offense vs Kansas City defenseWhat Denver gains, and what Kansas City gives up
Points
Tough
20.6Denver gains24th
1st32nd
17.2Kansas City allows31st most
Most allowedFewest
Rush yards
Even
96Denver gains24th
1st32nd
100Kansas City allows21st most
Most allowedFewest
Pass yards
Warm
176Denver gains27th
1st32nd
224Kansas City allows16th most
Most allowedFewest
Total yards
Even
272Denver gains30th
1st32nd
324Kansas City allows20th most
Most allowedFewest
Yards to WRs
Tough
106Denver gains26th
1st32nd
111Kansas City allows26th most
Most allowedFewest
EPA per play
Tough
-0.041Denver gains22nd
1st32nd
-0.056Kansas City allows27th most
Most allowedFewest
Broncos players
OOver UUnder –No line
No posted props for this team yet.
Both offenses, quarter by quarter (2026 yards per game)
Methodology: computed from nflverse play-by-play; a quarter's yards are the yards gained on plays snapped in that quarter. Averages use each player's games played, not team games.
Updated 2026-10-27.
Weekly