WeeklyHeater

DEN at ARI — Week 7 2026 Preview, Odds & Player Props

DEN -4.5 over ARI with an over/under of 43.5 · Sunday, 10/25. ARI's implied 17 points forecast 2.7 red-zone trips; DEN projects 3.5. Below: both offenses quarter by quarter, every posted player prop with how it has graded this season, and the players to watch — from play-by-play data nobody else publishes.
Spread
Money
Total
DENBroncos4-2
−4.5open −4.5
−230open −238
O 43.5open 43.5
ARICardinals2-4
+4.5open +4.5
+190open +195
U 43.5open 43.5
Sun, Oct 254:05 PM ETWeek 7See all 327 props

Injuries

GAME STATUSFrom this week’s report. Props marked affected may move.
DENDENVER BRONCOS3 out
OUTJonah EllissLinebacker • Ankle
OUTTalanoa HufangaSafety • Ankle
OUTTyler BadieRunning Back • Thumb
QUESTIONABLEJonah ColemanRunning Back • Ankle
QUESTIONABLEPat Surtain IICornerback • Ankle
ARIARIZONA CARDINALS4 out
OUTAndrew WingardSafety • Knee
OUTJeremiyah LoveRunning Back • Ankle
OUTJon Gaines IIGuard • Knee
OUTWalter NolenDefensive Tackle • Ankle
QUESTIONABLEBudda BakerSafety • Groin

Game environment

What the market expects, and how fast and pass-heavy each team plays.
TeamExp ptsSeason avgOpp allowsPlays/gPass rateRZ trips
DENBroncos24.0+5.0 vs avg19.029.757.058%3.5projected
ARICardinals19.5−1.5 vs avg21.020.866.561%2.7projected
Denver −4.5 with a 43.5 total works out to 24.0 to 19.5. Only Broncos is forecast to beat their season scoring average. Arizona runs 9.5 more plays a game, so more volume for Cardinals props.

Recent form

The last 6 games against the spread and against the total.
DENBroncosAgainst the spreadL+2.5W−2.5W+1.5L+3.0W−3.5W+3.0 4-2Game totalsU42.5U45.5O43.5U48.5U42.5U40.5 1-5
ARICardinalsAgainst the spreadW+8.5L+3.5W+7.5L−2.5L+5.5W+12.5 3-3Game totalsU47.5U40.5O48.5O44.5O55.5U51.5 3-3

Best prop spots

The softest spots in each defense, and how the props there have done this season.

Cardinals run game vs Denver

Fire
141rush yds allowed2nd most
Most allowedFewest
Tyler Allgeierrush yds 42.5OUUOUU–2-4
Bam Knightrush yds 30.5–––––––—
Props here 2 over, 4 under

Broncos TEs vs Arizona

Hot
69TE yds allowed8th most
Most allowedFewest
Evan Engramrec yds 23.5OUUUOU–2-4
Props here 2 over, 4 under

Broncos WRs vs Arizona

Warm
144WR yds allowed11th most
Most allowedFewest
Jaylen Waddlerec yds 52.5UOUUUU–1-5
Courtland Suttonrec yds 33.5UUOUUU–1-5
Props here 2 over, 10 under

Line movement

Since open
Game lines
SpreadBroncos−4.5 → −4.5
TotalOver / under43.5 → 43.5
MoneylineBroncos−238 → −230 ▲8

Broncos offense vs Arizona defenseWhat Denver gains, and what Arizona gives up

Points

Fire
19.0Denver gains26th
1st32nd
29.7Arizona allows1st most
Most allowedFewest

Rush yards

Warm
85Denver gains25th
1st32nd
121Arizona allows13th most
Most allowedFewest

Pass yards

Warm
169Denver gains27th
1st32nd
230Arizona allows11th most
Most allowedFewest

Total yards

Hot
254Denver gains31st
1st32nd
351Arizona allows10th most
Most allowedFewest

Yards to WRs

Warm
98Denver gains29th
1st32nd
144Arizona allows11th most
Most allowedFewest

EPA per play

Hot
-0.079Denver gains25th
1st32nd
0.079Arizona allows5th most
Most allowedFewest

Broncos players

OOver UUnder –No line
PlayerThis week’s propAvgvs lineWeeks 1 to 7Record
Bo NixQBpass yds 221.5174.8−46.7UOUUUU–1-5 U
Jaylen WaddleWRrec yds 52.538.0−14.5UOUUUU–1-5 U
J.K. DobbinsRBrush yds 49.545.0−4.5UUUUOU–1-5 U
Courtland SuttonWRrec yds 33.520.5−13.0UUOUUU–1-5 U
RJ HarveyRBrec yds 24.532.6+8.1O–OOUO–4-1 O
Evan EngramTErec yds 23.522.3−1.2OUUUOU–2-4 U
RJ HarveyRBrush yds 18.516.2−2.3U–UOUO–2-3 U
Troy FranklinWRrec yds 15.56.0−9.5–––UUU–0-3 U
Marvin Mims Jr.WRrec yds 14.59.5−5.0––––UO–1-1
Bo NixQBrush yds 10.56.2−4.3UUUUUU–0-6 U
J.K. DobbinsRBrec yds 5.53.0−2.5U–O––O–2-1 O
Jaylen WaddleWRreceptions 4.53.7−0.8UOUOUU–2-4 U
RJ HarveyRBreceptions 3.54.6+1.1O–OOUU–3-2 O
Courtland SuttonWRreceptions 3.52.2−1.3UUUUUU–0-6 U
Evan EngramTEreceptions 2.52.0−0.5OUUUOU–2-4 U
J.K. DobbinsRBreceptions 1.52.0+0.5––O––O–2-0 O
Troy FranklinWRreceptions 1.51.0−0.5–––UOU–1-2 U
Marvin Mims Jr.WRreceptions 1.52.0+0.5––––OO–2-0 O

Cardinals offense vs Denver defenseWhat Arizona gains, and what Denver gives up

Points

Even
21.0Arizona gains24th
1st32nd
20.8Denver allows22nd most
Most allowedFewest

Rush yards

Fire
97Arizona gains22nd
1st32nd
141Denver allows2nd most
Most allowedFewest

Pass yards

Even
211Arizona gains20th
1st32nd
209Denver allows23rd most
Most allowedFewest

Total yards

Warm
308Arizona gains23rd
1st32nd
350Denver allows11th most
Most allowedFewest

Yards to WRs

Warm
113Arizona gains23rd
1st32nd
142Denver allows13th most
Most allowedFewest

EPA per play

Even
-0.019Arizona gains17th
1st32nd
-0.038Denver allows23rd most
Most allowedFewest

Cardinals players

OOver UUnder –No line
PlayerThis week’s propAvgvs lineWeeks 1 to 7Record
Jacoby BrissettQBpass yds 225.5221.3−4.2OUOUOU–3-3
Trey McBrideTErec yds 64.560.2−4.3OUOUUU–2-4 U
Michael WilsonWRrec yds 48.553.3+4.8OUOOUU–3-3
Tyler AllgeierRBrush yds 42.526.2−16.3OUUOUU–2-4 U
Kendrick BourneWRrec yds 35.537.5+2.0OUUUOO–3-3
Bam KnightRBrush yds 30.5——–––––––—
Jalen BrooksWRrec yds 16.530.0+13.5–––––O–1-0 O
Elijah HigginsTErec yds 12.534.7+22.2–––OOO–3-0 O
Jacoby BrissettQBrush yds 7.510.7+3.2OUUOOU–3-3
Trey McBrideTEreceptions 7.58.2+0.7OOOOOU–5-1 O
Michael WilsonWRreceptions 4.55.5+1.0OUOOUU–3-3
Kendrick BourneWRreceptions 3.53.7+0.2OUUUOO–3-3
Elijah HigginsTEreceptions 1.52.7+1.2–––OOO–3-0 O
Jalen BrooksWRreceptions 1.52.0+0.5–––––O–1-0 O
Reggie VirgilWRreceptions 0.5——–––––––—

Both offenses, quarter by quarter (2026 yards per game)

OffenseQ1Q2Q3Q4
DEN passing45.747.729.851.7
DEN rushing15.020.323.025.8
ARI passing56.054.862.549.2
ARI rushing41.515.218.820.8

Quarter splits computed from nflverse play-by-play — the data this site exists to publish. Deeper cuts: DEN offense · ARI defense · ARI offense · DEN defense

Players to watch

DEN: Bo Nix (QB, 18.1 proj), Courtland Sutton (WR, 13.4 proj), J.K. Dobbins (RB, 12.6 proj)

ARI: Trey McBride (TE, 17.8 proj), Jacoby Brissett (QB, 14.8 proj), James Conner (RB, 14.2 proj)

FAQ

Who is favored in DEN at ARI in Week 7?

DEN is favored by 4.5 points, with an over/under of 43.5.

When do the Denver Broncos play the Arizona Cardinals?

Week 7 of the 2026 season: Sunday, 10/25 (2026-10-25), DEN at ARI.

Which player props look good in DEN at ARI?

No posted-line disagreements yet — player props for this game post closer to kickoff; the quarter tendencies on this page are final.

Methodology: computed from nflverse play-by-play; a quarter's yards are the yards gained on plays snapped in that quarter. Averages use each player's games played, not team games. Updated 2026-10-25.

Open the live model — any player, any line, all four quarters →

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