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TB @ CAR

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TB at CAR — Week 7 2026 Preview, Odds & Player Props

CAR -3 over TB with an over/under of 44.5 · Sunday, 10/25. CAR's implied 21 points forecast 3.7 red-zone trips; TB projects 4.3. Below: both offenses quarter by quarter, every posted player prop with how it has graded this season, and the players to watch — from play-by-play data nobody else publishes.

Spread

Money

Total

TBBuccaneers1-5

+3.0open +3.0

+140open +136

O 44.5open 44.5

CARPanthers3-2

−3.0open −3.0

−166open −162

U 44.5open 44.5

Sun, Oct 251:00 PM ETWeek 7See all 341 props

OverviewTBBuccaneersCARPanthers

Injuries

GAME STATUSFrom this week’s report. Props marked affected may move.Props flagged 1

TBTAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS3 out

OUTAntoine Winfield Jr.Safety • Rib

OUTEmeka EgbukaWide Receiver • Concussion

OUTLuke GoedekeOffensive Tackle • Calf

QUESTIONABLEBaker MayfieldQuarterback • Thumb⚡ pass yds 208.5

CARCAROLINA PANTHERS2 out

OUTJaelan PhillipsLinebacker • Hamstring

OUTThomas IncoomLinebacker • Calf

QUESTIONABLEBam Martin-ScottLinebacker • Hamstring

QUESTIONABLEMonroe FreelingOffensive Tackle • Knee

Game environment

What the market expects, and how fast and pass-heavy each team plays.

Team	Exp pts	Season avg	Opp allows	Plays/g	Pass rate	RZ trips
TBBuccaneers	20.8+1.0 vs avg	19.8	24.6	62.3	58%	4.3projected
CARPanthers	23.8−5.4 vs avg	29.2	23.0	67.6	63%	3.7projected

Carolina −3.0 with a 44.5 total works out to 20.8 to 23.8. Only Buccaneers is forecast to beat their season scoring average. Carolina runs 5.3 more plays a game, so more volume for Panthers props.

Recent form

The last 6 games against the spread and against the total.

TBBuccaneersAgainst the spreadL+3.5L−8.5L−1.5–+3.0W+9.5L+2.5 1-4Game totalsO50.5O41.5U42.5U38.5U49.5O37.5 3-3

CARPanthersAgainst the spreadL+3.0W−2.5L−2.5W+4.5W−3.0 3-2Game totalsO47.5U43.5U41.5O52.5U39.5 2-3

Best prop spots

The softest spots in each defense, and how the props there have done this season.

Buccaneers run game vs Carolina

Hot

133rush yds allowed6th most

Most allowedFewest

Bucky Irvingrush yds 65.5UOUOOU–3-3

Kenny Gainwellrush yds 11.5UUUUO––1-4

Props here 4 over, 7 under

Buccaneers TEs vs Carolina

Hot

56TE yds allowed10th most

Most allowedFewest

Cade Ottonrec yds 39.5UOOOUU–3-3

Props here 3 over, 3 under

Panthers TEs vs Tampa Bay

Warm

56TE yds allowed11th most

Most allowedFewest

Darren Wallerrec yds 20.5OOOU–U–3-2

Tommy Tremblerec yds 15.5OUOU–O–3-2

Props here 6 over, 4 under

Line movement

Since open

Game lines

Player	This week’s prop	Avg	vs line	Weeks 1 to 7	Record
Baker MayfieldQB	pass yds 208.5	205.0	−3.5	UUO––––	1-2 U
Bucky IrvingRB	rush yds 65.5	75.3	+9.8	UOUOOU–	3-3
Chris Godwin Jr.WR	rec yds 42.5	36.0	−6.5	UOUOOO–	4-2 O
Cade OttonTE	rec yds 39.5	31.0	−8.5	UOOOUU–	3-3
Jalen McMillanWR	rec yds 34.5	0.0	−34.5	–UU––––	0-2 U
Ted Hurst IIIWR	rec yds 34.5	28.2	−6.3	O–OOUO–	4-1 O
Tez JohnsonWR	rec yds 25.5	27.0	+1.5	U––OO––	2-1 O
Baker MayfieldQB	rush yds 16.5	21.7	+5.2	OOU––––	2-1 O
Bucky IrvingRB	rec yds 16.5	12.3	−4.2	OUUUUU–	1-5 U
Kenny GainwellRB	rec yds 13.5	10.8	−2.7	UUOOU––	2-3 U
Kenny GainwellRB	rush yds 11.5	8.8	−2.7	UUUUO––	1-4 U
Sean TuckerRB	rush yds 8.5	18.0	+9.5	––––O––	1-0 O
Chris Godwin Jr.WR	receptions 4.5	3.8	−0.7	UUUOUO–	2-4 U
Cade OttonTE	receptions 3.5	3.2	−0.3	UOUOUU–	2-4 U
Bucky IrvingRB	receptions 2.5	2.8	+0.3	OOUUUO–	3-3
Kenny GainwellRB	receptions 2.5	2.2	−0.3	UOOOO––	4-1 O
Jalen McMillanWR	receptions 2.5	0.0	−2.5	–UU––––	0-2 U
Ted Hurst IIIWR	receptions 2.5	1.8	−0.7	O–UOUO–	3-2 O
Tez JohnsonWR	receptions 2.5	1.0	−1.5	U––OU––	1-2 U

Most allowedFewest

Panthers players

OOver UUnder –No line

Player	This week’s prop	Avg	vs line	Weeks 1 to 7	Record
Bryce YoungQB	pass yds 257.5	309.8	+52.3	OOOO–O–	5-0 O
Tetairoa McMillanWR	rec yds 70.5	94.2	+23.7	OOUO–O–	4-1 O
Chuba HubbardRB	rush yds 70.5	85.2	+14.7	UUOO–O–	3-2 O
Jalen CokerWR	rec yds 67.5	79.8	+12.3	OOU––O–	3-1 O
Darren WallerTE	rec yds 20.5	29.6	+9.1	OOOU–U–	3-2 O
Tommy TrembleTE	rec yds 15.5	25.6	+10.1	OUOU–O–	3-2 O
Chuba HubbardRB	rec yds 14.5	17.0	+2.5	OUOU–U–	2-3 U
Xavier LegetteWR	rec yds 12.5	32.0	+19.5	UO–––––	1-1
John Metchie IIIWR	rec yds 11.5	37.0	+25.5	–––O–––	1-0 O
Bryce YoungQB	rush yds 10.5	5.0	−5.5	UUUU–U–	0-5 U
Tetairoa McMillanWR	receptions 5.5	6.4	+0.9	OOUO–O–	4-1 O
Jalen CokerWR	receptions 5.5	6.0	+0.5	OOU––O–	3-1 O
Chuba HubbardRB	receptions 2.5	2.2	−0.3	OUOU–U–	2-3 U
Darren WallerTE	receptions 2.5	2.6	+0.1	OOOU–U–	3-2 O
Xavier LegetteWR	receptions 1.5	1.0	−0.5	UO–––––	1-1
Tommy TrembleTE	receptions 1.5	3.0	+1.5	OUOO–O–	4-1 O
John Metchie IIIWR	receptions 1.5	3.0	+1.5	–––O–––	1-0 O

Both offenses, quarter by quarter (2026 yards per game)

Offense	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
TB passing	39.5	52.3	44.0	50.2
TB rushing	29.7	31.7	42.8	23.7
CAR passing	55.8	115.2	75.8	63.0
CAR rushing	16.2	10.0	44.8	37.8

Quarter splits computed from nflverse play-by-play — the data this site exists to publish. Deeper cuts: TB offense · CAR defense · CAR offense · TB defense

Players to watch

TB: Baker Mayfield (QB, 17.4 proj), Bucky Irving (RB, 14 proj), Chris Godwin Jr. (WR, 11.5 proj)

CAR: Bryce Young (QB, 13.7 proj), Tetairoa McMillan (WR, 12.6 proj), Chuba Hubbard (RB, 10.4 proj)

FAQ

Who is favored in TB at CAR in Week 7?

CAR is favored by 3 points, with an over/under of 44.5.

When do the Tampa Bay Buccaneers play the Carolina Panthers?

Week 7 of the 2026 season: Sunday, 10/25 (2026-10-25), TB at CAR.

Which player props look good in TB at CAR?

No posted-line disagreements yet — player props for this game post closer to kickoff; the quarter tendencies on this page are final.

all week-7 previews · week-7 slate · Hit Tracker · Prop Lab

Methodology: computed from nflverse play-by-play; a quarter's yards are the yards gained on plays snapped in that quarter. Averages use each player's games played, not team games. Updated 2026-10-25.

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