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PIT @ NO

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PIT at NO — Week 7 2026 Preview, Odds & Player Props

PIT -3 over NO with an over/under of 44.5 · Sunday, 10/25. NO's implied 20.75 points forecast 3.7 red-zone trips; PIT projects 4.2. Below: both offenses quarter by quarter, every posted player prop with how it has graded this season, and the players to watch — from play-by-play data nobody else publishes.

Spread

Money

Total

PITSteelers4-2

−3.0open −3.5

−175open −175

O 44.5open 44.5

NOSaints2-4

+3.0open +3.5

+145open +145

U 44.5open 44.5

Sun, Oct 259:30 AM ETWeek 7See all 330 props

OverviewPITSteelersNOSaints

Injuries

GAME STATUSFrom this week’s report. Props marked affected may move.Props flagged 1

PITPITTSBURGH STEELERS2 out

OUTBen SkowronekWide Receiver • Calf

OUTBrandin EcholsCornerback • Hamstring

QUESTIONABLERico DowdleRunning Back • Knee⚡ rush yds 31.5

QUESTIONABLEDeShon ElliottSafety • Knee

NONEW ORLEANS SAINTS

QUESTIONABLECesar RuizGuard • Knee

QUESTIONABLENathan ShepherdDefensive Tackle • Illness

Game environment

What the market expects, and how fast and pass-heavy each team plays.

Team	Exp pts	Season avg	Opp allows	Plays/g	Pass rate	RZ trips
PITSteelers	23.8+1.0 vs avg	22.8	29.7	62.5	67%	4.2projected
NOSaints	20.8−4.5 vs avg	25.3	21.3	66.8	62%	3.7projected

Pittsburgh −3.0 with a 44.5 total works out to 23.8 to 20.8. Only Steelers is forecast to beat their season scoring average. New Orleans runs 4.3 more plays a game, so more volume for Saints props.

Recent form

The last 6 games against the spread and against the total.

PITSteelersAgainst the spreadW−6.5L+4.5W+3.5L−2.5W−3.0W−2.5 4-2Game totalsU40.5U41.5O42.5O38.5O41.5O37.5 4-2

NOSaintsAgainst the spreadW+7.0W+8.5L−4.5L−1.5L+2.5W−1.5 3-3Game totalsO49.5U45.5O43.5O47.5U41.5O46.5 4-2

Best prop spots

The softest spots in each defense, and how the props there have done this season.

Steelers run game vs New Orleans

Fire

139rush yds allowed3rd most

Most allowedFewest

Jaylen Warrenrush yds 61.5OOOOOU–5-1

Rico Dowdlerush yds 31.5UU–––O–1-2

Props here 6 over, 3 under

Steelers TEs vs New Orleans

Fire

76TE yds allowed4th most

Most allowedFewest

Pat Freiermuthrec yds 33.5OUUUOU–2-4

Darnell Washingtonrec yds 25.5OUOOUU–3-3

Props here 5 over, 7 under

Saints run game vs Pittsburgh

Even

104rush yds allowed19th most

Most allowedFewest

Kendre Millerrush yds 38.5–––UOO–2-1

Alvin Kamararush yds 16.5–UOUUO–2-3

Props here 4 over, 4 under

Line movement

Since open

Game lines

Player	This week’s prop	Avg	vs line	Weeks 1 to 7	Record
Aaron RodgersQB	pass yds 233.5	247.8	+14.3	OUOOOO–	5-1 O
Jaylen WarrenRB	rush yds 61.5	76.7	+15.2	OOOOOU–	5-1 O
DK MetcalfWR	rec yds 58.5	53.0	−5.5	UUUOUO–	2-4 U
Germie BernardWR	rec yds 55.5	53.2	−2.3	–O–OOO–	4-0 O
Pat FreiermuthTE	rec yds 33.5	30.0	−3.5	OUUUOU–	2-4 U
Rico DowdleRB	rush yds 31.5	25.7	−5.8	UU–––O–	1-2 U
Michael PittmanWR	rec yds 26.5	29.7	+3.2	O–UU–––	1-2 U
Jaylen WarrenRB	rec yds 26.5	43.0	+16.5	OOOOOU–	5-1 O
Darnell WashingtonTE	rec yds 25.5	26.0	+0.5	OUOOUU–	3-3
Rico DowdleRB	rec yds 8.5	12.3	+3.8	UO–––O–	2-1 O
DK MetcalfWR	receptions 4.5	5.0	+0.5	OUUOUO–	3-3
Germie BernardWR	receptions 4.5	5.8	+1.3	–O–OOO–	4-0 O
Jaylen WarrenRB	receptions 3.5	3.5	−0.0	OUUUOU–	2-4 U
Pat FreiermuthTE	receptions 3.5	3.5	−0.0	OOUUOU–	3-3
Michael PittmanWR	receptions 2.5	2.3	−0.2	U–UU–––	0-3 U
Darnell WashingtonTE	receptions 2.5	2.5	−0.0	OUOOUO–	4-2 O
Aaron RodgersQB	rush yds 1.5	2.8	+1.3	UOOUOU–	3-3
Rico DowdleRB	receptions 1.5	2.3	+0.8	OU–––O–	2-1 O

Most allowedFewest

Saints players

OOver UUnder –No line

Player	This week’s prop	Avg	vs line	Weeks 1 to 7	Record
Tyler ShoughQB	pass yds 228.5	240.5	+12.0	OOUOUU–	3-3
Chris OlaveWR	rec yds 74.5	96.7	+22.2	OOOOUU–	4-2 O
Devaughn VeleWR	rec yds 42.5	49.0	+6.5	OOUOUU–	3-3
Kendre MillerRB	rush yds 38.5	36.3	−2.2	–––UOO–	2-1 O
Juwan JohnsonTE	rec yds 31.5	41.3	+9.8	OOOOUU–	4-2 O
Alvin KamaraRB	rush yds 16.5	24.0	+7.5	–UOUUO–	2-3 U
Tyler ShoughQB	rush yds 15.5	17.3	+1.8	UOOUUO–	3-3
Bryce LanceWR	rec yds 13.5	6.0	−7.5	–UUU–U–	0-4 U
Alvin KamaraRB	rec yds 12.5	15.2	+2.7	–UUOUO–	2-3 U
CJ DonaldsonRB	rush yds 11.5	39.0	+27.5	–––––O–	1-0 O
Noah FantTE	rec yds 10.5	10.0	−0.5	–UO–UU–	1-3 U
Chris OlaveWR	receptions 5.5	7.2	+1.7	OOOOUU–	4-2 O
Kendre MillerRB	rec yds 4.5	5.0	+0.5	–––O–U–	1-1
Juwan JohnsonTE	receptions 3.5	4.2	+0.7	UOOOOU–	4-2 O
Devaughn VeleWR	receptions 3.5	4.7	+1.2	OOUOOU–	4-2 O
Alvin KamaraRB	receptions 2.5	3.0	+0.5	–OUOUU–	2-3 U
Bryce LanceWR	receptions 1.5	1.0	−0.5	–UUU–O–	1-3 U
Noah FantTE	receptions 1.5	1.2	−0.3	–UO–UU–	1-3 U
Kendre MillerRB	receptions 0.5	2.0	+1.5	–––O–O–	2-0 O

Both offenses, quarter by quarter (2026 yards per game)

Offense	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
PIT passing	66.5	64.7	27.3	89.3
PIT rushing	23.2	25.7	20.7	29.7
NO passing	35.3	50.0	62.7	92.5
NO rushing	20.3	25.2	27.8	24.0

Quarter splits computed from nflverse play-by-play — the data this site exists to publish. Deeper cuts: PIT offense · NO defense · NO offense · PIT defense

Players to watch

PIT: Aaron Rodgers (QB, 14.4 proj), Rico Dowdle (RB, 12.6 proj), DK Metcalf (WR, 12.5 proj)

NO: Chris Olave (WR, 15.7 proj), Tyler Shough (QB, 14.4 proj), Travis Etienne (RB, 13.5 proj)

FAQ

Who is favored in PIT at NO in Week 7?

PIT is favored by 3 points, with an over/under of 44.5.

When do the Pittsburgh Steelers play the New Orleans Saints?

Week 7 of the 2026 season: Sunday, 10/25 (2026-10-25), PIT at NO.

Which player props look good in PIT at NO?

No posted-line disagreements yet — player props for this game post closer to kickoff; the quarter tendencies on this page are final.

all week-7 previews · week-7 slate · Hit Tracker · Prop Lab

Methodology: computed from nflverse play-by-play; a quarter's yards are the yards gained on plays snapped in that quarter. Averages use each player's games played, not team games. Updated 2026-10-25.

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