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MIA @ NYJ

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MIA at NYJ — Week 7 2026 Preview, Odds & Player Props

NYJ -4.5 over MIA with an over/under of 39.5 · Sunday, 10/25. NYJ's implied 18.25 points forecast 3.0 red-zone trips; MIA projects 3.3. Below: both offenses quarter by quarter, every posted player prop with how it has graded this season, and the players to watch — from play-by-play data nobody else publishes.

Spread

Money

Total

MIADolphins0-5

+4.5open +4.5

+185open +185

O 39.5open 39.5

NYJJets2-4

−4.5open −4.5

−225open −225

U 39.5open 39.5

Sun, Oct 251:00 PM ETWeek 7See all 323 props

OverviewMIADolphinsNYJJets

Injuries

GAME STATUSFrom this week’s report. Props marked affected may move.

MIAMIAMI DOLPHINS1 out

OUTReese TaylorCornerback • Quadricep

DOUBTFULRob Beal Jr.Defensive End • Hamstring

QUESTIONABLEKyle LouisSafety • Knee

QUESTIONABLEWillie Gay Jr.Linebacker • Illness

NYJNEW YORK JETS3 out

OUTFrancisco MauigoaLinebacker • Quadricep

OUTJoseph OssaiDefensive End • Ankle

OUTMax MitchellOffensive Tackle • Concussion

QUESTIONABLEBreece HallRunning Back • Quadricep

QUESTIONABLEDylan ParhamGuard • Knee

Game environment

What the market expects, and how fast and pass-heavy each team plays.

Team	Exp pts	Season avg	Opp allows	Plays/g	Pass rate	RZ trips
MIADolphins	17.5+3.5 vs avg	14.0	20.3	54.8	53%	3.3projected
NYJJets	22.0+3.3 vs avg	18.7	26.4	58.2	56%	3.0projected

NY −4.5 with a 39.5 total works out to 17.5 to 22.0. Both teams are forecast to beat their season scoring average. NY runs 3.4 more plays a game, so more volume for Jets props.

Recent form

The last 5 games against the spread and against the total.

MIADolphinsAgainst the spreadL+3.0L+12.5L+10.0W+10.0–+7.0 1-3Game totalsU40.5O44.5U45.5U38.5O44.5 2-3

NYJJetsAgainst the spreadW+1.5W+3.5–+7.0L+3.5W−2.5W+7.5 4-1Game totalsU39.5U44.5O49.5U43.5U38.5O43.5 2-4

Best prop spots

The softest spots in each defense, and how the props there have done this season.

Jets TEs vs Miami

Fire

76TE yds allowed3rd most

Most allowedFewest

Kenyon Sadiqrec yds 21.5OUOUUU–2-4

Mason Taylorrec yds 20.5UU––OO–2-2

Props here 4 over, 6 under

Dolphins run game vs NY

Warm

124rush yds allowed11th most

Most allowedFewest

Ollie Gordon IIrush yds 52.5––OOO––3-0

Jaylen Wrightrush yds 14.5–––UU––0-2

Props here 3 over, 2 under

Jets run game vs Miami

Even

114rush yds allowed17th most

Most allowedFewest

Props here no results yet

Line movement

Since open

Game lines

Player	This week’s prop	Avg	vs line	Weeks 1 to 7	Record
Malik WillisQB	pass yds 182.5	169.8	−12.7	OOOUU––	3-2 O
Ollie Gordon IIRB	rush yds 52.5	76.3	+23.8	––OOO––	3-0 O
Malik WashingtonWR	rec yds 39.5	52.4	+12.9	OOOOU––	4-1 O
Caleb DouglasWR	rec yds 35.5	56.5	+21.0	OU–––––	1-1
Malik WillisQB	rush yds 29.5	37.2	+7.7	UUOUO––	2-3 U
Greg DulcichTE	rec yds 20.5	25.4	+4.9	UUOUO––	2-3 U
Chris BellWR	rec yds 20.5	18.4	−2.1	OUOUU––	2-3 U
Jaylen WrightRB	rush yds 14.5	9.0	−5.5	–––UU––	0-2 U
Jalen TolbertWR	rec yds 10.5	—	—	–––––––	—
Ollie Gordon IIRB	rec yds 7.5	0.0	−7.5	–––UU––	0-2 U
Malik WashingtonWR	receptions 3.5	4.6	+1.1	OOOOO––	5-0 O
Greg DulcichTE	receptions 2.5	2.6	+0.1	UUOUO––	2-3 U
Caleb DouglasWR	receptions 2.5	3.5	+1.0	OU–––––	1-1
Chris BellWR	receptions 1.5	1.0	−0.5	UUOUU––	1-4 U
Jalen TolbertWR	receptions 1.5	—	—	–––––––	—
Ollie Gordon IIRB	receptions 1.5	1.0	−0.5	–––OU––	1-1

Most allowedFewest

Jets players

OOver UUnder –No line

Player	This week’s prop	Avg	vs line	Weeks 1 to 7	Record
Geno SmithQB	pass yds 220.5	222.7	+2.2	UOOUUO–	3-3
Garrett WilsonWR	rec yds 62.5	69.7	+7.2	OUOUOU–	3-3
Adonai MitchellWR	rec yds 44.5	61.5	+17.0	OO–––––	2-0 O
Kenyon SadiqTE	rec yds 21.5	26.3	+4.8	OUOUUU–	2-4 U
Mason TaylorTE	rec yds 20.5	13.8	−6.7	UU––OO–	2-2
Braelon AllenRB	rec yds 14.5	11.3	−3.2	–––UUO–	1-2 U
Geno SmithQB	rush yds 6.5	7.0	+0.5	OOOUUU–	3-3
Garrett WilsonWR	receptions 5.5	5.8	+0.3	OUOUOU–	3-3
Adonai MitchellWR	receptions 3.5	4.5	+1.0	OO–––––	2-0 O
Mason TaylorTE	receptions 2.5	2.2	−0.3	UU––OO–	2-2
Kenyon SadiqTE	receptions 2.5	2.5	−0.0	OUOUUU–	2-4 U

Both offenses, quarter by quarter (2026 yards per game)

Offense	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
MIA passing	29.2	55.0	38.0	47.6
MIA rushing	36.6	23.8	39.4	26.8
NYJ passing	40.8	47.8	69.5	64.5
NYJ rushing	26.5	22.8	29.3	15.8

Quarter splits computed from nflverse play-by-play — the data this site exists to publish. Deeper cuts: MIA offense · NYJ defense · NYJ offense · MIA defense

Players to watch

MIA: De'Von Achane (RB, 19.5 proj), Malik Willis (QB, 11.4 proj)

NYJ: Garrett Wilson (WR, 14.5 proj), Breece Hall (RB, 13.5 proj), Geno Smith (QB, 12.7 proj)

FAQ

Who is favored in MIA at NYJ in Week 7?

NYJ is favored by 4.5 points, with an over/under of 39.5.

When do the Miami Dolphins play the New York Jets?

Week 7 of the 2026 season: Sunday, 10/25 (2026-10-25), MIA at NYJ.

Which player props look good in MIA at NYJ?

No posted-line disagreements yet — player props for this game post closer to kickoff; the quarter tendencies on this page are final.

all week-7 previews · week-7 slate · Hit Tracker · Prop Lab

Methodology: computed from nflverse play-by-play; a quarter's yards are the yards gained on plays snapped in that quarter. Averages use each player's games played, not team games. Updated 2026-10-25.

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