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IND at MIN — Week 7 2026 Preview, Odds & Player Props

MIN -6.5 over IND with an over/under of 41.5 · Sunday, 10/25. MIN's implied 21.5 points forecast 3.9 red-zone trips; IND projects 4.2. Below: both offenses quarter by quarter, every posted player prop with how it has graded this season, and the players to watch — from play-by-play data nobody else publishes.
Spread
Money
Total
INDColts2-4
+6.5open +6.5
+225open +230
O 41.5open 41.5
MINVikings5-0
−6.5open −6.5
−278open −285
U 41.5open 41.5
Sun, Oct 251:00 PM ETWeek 7See all 305 props

Injuries

GAME STATUSFrom this week’s report. Props marked affected may move.Props flagged 2
INDINDIANAPOLIS COLTS4 out
OUTTyler WarrenTight End • Groin⚡ rec yds 48.5
OUTAnthony GouldWide Receiver • Concussion
OUTCJ AllenLinebacker • Ankle
OUTSauce GardnerCornerback • Calf
QUESTIONABLEBryce BoettcherLinebacker • Groin
MINMINNESOTA VIKINGS
QUESTIONABLEJordan MasonRunning Back • Thumb⚡ rush yds 46.5

Game environment

What the market expects, and how fast and pass-heavy each team plays.
TeamExp ptsSeason avgOpp allowsPlays/gPass rateRZ trips
INDColts17.5−6.5 vs avg24.012.866.258%4.2projected
MINVikings24.0+2.2 vs avg21.827.359.652%3.9projected
Minnesota −6.5 with a 41.5 total works out to 17.5 to 24.0. Only Vikings is forecast to beat their season scoring average. Indianapolis runs 6.6 more plays a game, so more volume for Colts props.

Recent form

The last 6 games against the spread and against the total.
INDColtsAgainst the spreadL+3.0W+6.0W+1.5W−4.5L+3.0L−6.5 3-3Game totalsO48.5O46.5U41.5U46.5O41.5O43.5 4-2
MINVikingsAgainst the spreadW−1.5W+4.5W+1.5L−10.0W−2.5 4-1Game totalsO46.5U46.5U42.5U38.5U41.5 1-4

Best prop spots

The softest spots in each defense, and how the props there have done this season.

Vikings run game vs Indianapolis

Hot
124rush yds allowed10th most
Most allowedFewest
Jordan Masonrush yds 46.5O––––––1-0
Aaron Jonesrush yds 40.5OOOOO––5-0
Props here 6 over, 0 under

Vikings passing vs Indianapolis

Warm
229pass yds allowed12th most
Most allowedFewest
Kyler Murraypass yds 204.5U–UOO––2-2
Props here 2 over, 2 under

Colts WRs vs Minnesota

Even
122WR yds allowed22nd most
Most allowedFewest
Josh Downsrec yds 44.5UOOUUU–2-4
Keenan Allenrec yds 40.5OUO–OO–4-1
Props here 6 over, 5 under

Line movement

Since open
Game lines
SpreadColts+6.5 → +6.5
TotalOver / under41.5 → 41.5
MoneylineColts+230 → +225 ▼5

Colts offense vs Minnesota defenseWhat Indianapolis gains, and what Minnesota gives up

Points

Tough
24.0Indianapolis gains15th
1st32nd
12.8Minnesota allows32nd most
Most allowedFewest

Rush yards

Tough
112Indianapolis gains16th
1st32nd
87Minnesota allows28th most
Most allowedFewest

Pass yards

Tough
200Indianapolis gains21st
1st32nd
173Minnesota allows30th most
Most allowedFewest

Total yards

Tough
312Indianapolis gains22nd
1st32nd
260Minnesota allows31st most
Most allowedFewest

Yards to WRs

Even
132Indianapolis gains18th
1st32nd
122Minnesota allows22nd most
Most allowedFewest

EPA per play

Tough
-0.062Indianapolis gains22nd
1st32nd
-0.21Minnesota allows32nd most
Most allowedFewest

Colts players

OOver UUnder –No line
PlayerThis week’s propAvgvs lineWeeks 1 to 7Record
Daniel JonesQBpass yds 195.5215.0+19.5UUOUOO–3-3
Jonathan TaylorRBrush yds 72.582.0+9.5OOUOUO–4-2 O
Tyler WarrenTErec yds 48.542.6−5.9UUOUO––2-3 U
Josh DownsWRrec yds 44.548.2+3.7UOOUUU–2-4 U
Keenan AllenWRrec yds 40.545.4+4.9OUO–OO–4-1 O
Laquon TreadwellWRrec yds 19.529.2+9.7––UOOU–2-2
Jonathan TaylorRBrec yds 16.527.2+10.7OOUUOO–4-2 O
Keenan AllenWRrush yds 14.5——–––––––—
Darius SlaytonWRrec yds 9.5——–––––––—
Daniel JonesQBrush yds 6.59.2+2.7UOUUUO–2-4 U
Tyler WarrenTEreceptions 5.56.0+0.5UOOUO––3-2 O
Josh DownsWRreceptions 4.54.0−0.5UOOUUU–2-4 U
Keenan AllenWRreceptions 4.55.2+0.7OUO–OO–4-1 O
Jonathan TaylorRBreceptions 2.52.5−0.0OOUUOU–3-3
Laquon TreadwellWRreceptions 1.52.5+1.0––UOOU–2-2
Darius SlaytonWRreceptions 1.5——–––––––—

Vikings offense vs Indianapolis defenseWhat Minnesota gains, and what Indianapolis gives up

Points

Hot
21.8Minnesota gains22nd
1st32nd
27.3Indianapolis allows6th most
Most allowedFewest

Rush yards

Hot
118Minnesota gains12th
1st32nd
124Indianapolis allows10th most
Most allowedFewest

Pass yards

Warm
167Minnesota gains29th
1st32nd
229Indianapolis allows12th most
Most allowedFewest

Total yards

Hot
286Minnesota gains27th
1st32nd
352Indianapolis allows9th most
Most allowedFewest

Yards to WRs

Even
106Minnesota gains26th
1st32nd
118Indianapolis allows24th most
Most allowedFewest

EPA per play

Hot
-0.099Minnesota gains27th
1st32nd
0.068Indianapolis allows7th most
Most allowedFewest

Vikings players

OOver UUnder –No line
PlayerThis week’s propAvgvs lineWeeks 1 to 7Record
Kyler MurrayQBpass yds 204.5165.5−39.0U–UOO––2-2
Justin JeffersonWRrec yds 71.564.5−7.0OUU–O––2-2
Jordan MasonRBrush yds 46.559.0+12.5O––––––1-0 O
Jordan AddisonWRrec yds 43.540.8−2.7UUOU–––1-3 U
Aaron JonesRBrush yds 40.582.0+41.5OOOOO––5-0 O
T.J. HockensonTErec yds 37.540.4+2.9OUUOU––2-3 U
Kyler MurrayQBrush yds 25.523.2−2.3U–UUO––1-3 U
Aaron JonesRBrec yds 14.514.4−0.1UUOOU––2-3 U
Jauan JenningsWRrec yds 7.52.2−5.3U–UUU––0-4 U
Justin JeffersonWRreceptions 5.54.8−0.7OUU–U––1-3 U
T.J. HockensonTEreceptions 4.54.6+0.1OUUOU––2-3 U
Jordan AddisonWRreceptions 3.52.8−0.7UUOU–––1-3 U
Aaron JonesRBreceptions 2.52.4−0.1UUOOO––3-2 O
Jauan JenningsWRreceptions 0.50.5−0.0U–UUU––0-4 U

Both offenses, quarter by quarter (2026 yards per game)

OffenseQ1Q2Q3Q4
IND passing49.364.037.863.8
IND rushing17.334.334.825.0
MIN passing46.660.230.250.6
MIN rushing29.822.432.831.0

Quarter splits computed from nflverse play-by-play — the data this site exists to publish. Deeper cuts: IND offense · MIN defense · MIN offense · IND defense

Players to watch

IND: Jonathan Taylor (RB, 20.5 proj), Daniel Jones (QB, 16.6 proj), Alec Pierce (WR, 11.6 proj)

MIN: Kyler Murray (QB, 16.6 proj), Justin Jefferson (WR, 13.6 proj), Jauan Jennings (WR, 12.2 proj)

FAQ

Who is favored in IND at MIN in Week 7?

MIN is favored by 6.5 points, with an over/under of 41.5.

When do the Indianapolis Colts play the Minnesota Vikings?

Week 7 of the 2026 season: Sunday, 10/25 (2026-10-25), IND at MIN.

Which player props look good in IND at MIN?

No posted-line disagreements yet — player props for this game post closer to kickoff; the quarter tendencies on this page are final.

all week-7 previews · week-7 slate · Hit Tracker · Prop Lab

Methodology: computed from nflverse play-by-play; a quarter's yards are the yards gained on plays snapped in that quarter. Averages use each player's games played, not team games. Updated 2026-10-25.

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