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SF at ATL — Week 7 2026 Preview, Odds & Player Props

SF -2.5 over ATL with an over/under of 49.5 · Sunday, 10/25. ATL's implied 19.75 points forecast 3.4 red-zone trips; SF projects 4.2. Below: both offenses quarter by quarter, every posted player prop with how it has graded this season, and the players to watch — from play-by-play data nobody else publishes.
Spread
Money
Total
SF49ers6-0
−2.5open −2.5
−148open −148
O 49.5open 49.5
ATLFalcons2-4
+2.5open +2.5
+124open +124
U 49.5open 49.5
Sun, Oct 251:00 PM ETWeek 7See all 290 props

Injuries

GAME STATUSFrom this week’s report. Props marked affected may move.
SFSAN FRANCISCO 49ERS5 out
OUTDeebo Samuel Sr.Wide Receiver • Hamstring
OUTGarret WallowLinebacker • Hamstring
OUTLuke GiffordLinebacker • Groin
OUTMarques SigleSafety • Ankle
OUTMike EvansWide Receiver • Ribs
ATLATLANTA FALCONS5 out
OUTBeaux CollinsWide Receiver • Hip
OUTBilly Bowman Jr.Cornerback • Hamstring
OUTBrian RobinsonRunning Back • Hamstring
OUTCameron WilliamsOffensive Tackle • Ankle
OUTDivine DeabloLinebacker • Forearm

Game environment

What the market expects, and how fast and pass-heavy each team plays.
TeamExp ptsSeason avgOpp allowsPlays/gPass rateRZ trips
SF49ers26.0−3.5 vs avg29.525.556.252%4.2projected
ATLFalcons23.5−0.2 vs avg23.718.359.852%3.4projected
San Francisco −2.5 with a 49.5 total works out to 26.0 to 23.5. Both teams are forecast to fall short of their season scoring average. Atlanta runs 3.6 more plays a game, so more volume for Falcons props.

Recent form

The last 6 games against the spread and against the total.
SF49ersAgainst the spreadW+3.5W−12.5L−7.5W−3.0W+3.0L−7.5 4-2Game totalsU47.5O44.5O48.5U48.5O46.5U52.5 3-3
ATLFalconsAgainst the spreadL+6.5L+2.5W+4.5W+1.5L−3.5L+1.5 2-4Game totalsU40.5U43.5O42.5O47.5O44.5O51.5 4-2

Best prop spots

The softest spots in each defense, and how the props there have done this season.

49ers WRs vs Atlanta

Fire
173WR yds allowed4th most
Most allowedFewest
Brandin Cooksrec yds 23.5–––––––—
Props here no results yet

49ers passing vs Atlanta

Hot
252pass yds allowed5th most
Most allowedFewest
Brock Purdypass yds 242.5UOOUUO–3-3
Props here 3 over, 3 under

Falcons WRs vs San Francisco

Even
126WR yds allowed21st most
Most allowedFewest
Drake Londonrec yds 83.5UUOOOU–3-3
Jahan Dotsonrec yds 27.5OUUOOO–4-2
Props here 7 over, 5 under

Line movement

Since open
Game lines
Spread49ers−2.5 → −2.5
TotalOver / under49.5 → 49.5
Moneyline49ers−148 → −148

49ers offense vs Atlanta defenseWhat San Francisco gains, and what Atlanta gives up

Points

Hot
29.5San Francisco gains3rd
1st32nd
25.5Atlanta allows10th most
Most allowedFewest

Rush yards

Tough
129San Francisco gains6th
1st32nd
85Atlanta allows29th most
Most allowedFewest

Pass yards

Hot
239San Francisco gains12th
1st32nd
252Atlanta allows5th most
Most allowedFewest

Total yards

Warm
368San Francisco gains9th
1st32nd
337Atlanta allows15th most
Most allowedFewest

Yards to WRs

Fire
140San Francisco gains15th
1st32nd
173Atlanta allows4th most
Most allowedFewest

EPA per play

Even
0.209San Francisco gains1st
1st32nd
-0.022Atlanta allows17th most
Most allowedFewest

49ers players

OOver UUnder –No line
PlayerThis week’s propAvgvs lineWeeks 1 to 7Record
Brock PurdyQBpass yds 242.5243.3+0.8UOOUUO–3-3
George KittleTErec yds 70.556.2−14.3UOOOUO–4-2 O
Christian McCaffreyRBrush yds 60.558.3−2.2OUOUOO–4-2 O
Christian McCaffreyRBrec yds 44.531.7−12.8UOOUUO–3-3
Kaelon BlackRBrush yds 29.521.0−8.5–UUUOO–2-3 U
Brandin CooksWRrec yds 23.5——–––––––—
Brock PurdyQBrush yds 20.526.0+5.5OOOOUO–5-1 O
Kyle JuszczykRBrec yds 11.59.3−2.2U–UO–––1-2 U
Christian McCaffreyRBreceptions 5.54.7−0.8OUUUUO–2-4 U
George KittleTEreceptions 5.54.3−1.2UOOUOU–3-3
Brandin CooksWRreceptions 2.5——–––––––—
Kyle JuszczykRBreceptions 1.50.7−0.8U–UO–––1-2 U

Falcons offense vs San Francisco defenseWhat Atlanta gains, and what San Francisco gives up

Points

Tough
23.7Atlanta gains16th
1st32nd
18.3San Francisco allows29th most
Most allowedFewest

Rush yards

Tough
150Atlanta gains4th
1st32nd
91San Francisco allows25th most
Most allowedFewest

Pass yards

Even
196Atlanta gains23rd
1st32nd
210San Francisco allows22nd most
Most allowedFewest

Total yards

Tough
346Atlanta gains12th
1st32nd
301San Francisco allows29th most
Most allowedFewest

Yards to WRs

Even
136Atlanta gains16th
1st32nd
126San Francisco allows21st most
Most allowedFewest

EPA per play

Tough
-0.057Atlanta gains21st
1st32nd
-0.057San Francisco allows27th most
Most allowedFewest

Falcons players

OOver UUnder –No line
PlayerThis week’s propAvgvs lineWeeks 1 to 7Record
Michael Penix Jr.QBpass yds 228.5236.0+7.5––OUOU–2-2
Tua TagovailoaQBpass yds 206.5——–––––––—
Bijan RobinsonRBrush yds 88.5106.8+18.3OUOOUU–3-3
Drake LondonWRrec yds 83.591.7+8.2UUOOOU–3-3
Kyle PittsTErec yds 33.528.2−5.3UUUOOO–3-3
Bijan RobinsonRBrec yds 27.524.0−3.5OUUUOU–2-4 U
Jahan DotsonWRrec yds 27.539.3+11.8OUUOOO–4-2 O
Olamide ZaccheausWRrec yds 7.53.0−4.5–UUUU––0-4 U
Drake LondonWRreceptions 5.55.2−0.3UUOUOU–2-4 U
Zachariah BranchWRrec yds 5.59.5+4.0–––O–U–1-1
Austin HooperTErec yds 4.56.7+2.2––OOU––2-1 O
Bijan RobinsonRBreceptions 3.53.3−0.2OUUUOU–2-4 U
Kyle PittsTEreceptions 3.52.5−1.0UUUOOO–3-3
Tua TagovailoaQBrush yds 2.5——–––––––—
Jahan DotsonWRreceptions 2.51.8−0.7UOUOOO–4-2 O
Olamide ZaccheausWRreceptions 1.50.8−0.7–UOUU––1-3 U
Michael Penix Jr.QBrush yds 1.51.2−0.3––UUOU–1-3 U
Zachariah BranchWRreceptions 1.52.0+0.5–––O–O–2-0 O
Austin HooperTEreceptions 0.51.0+0.5––OOU––2-1 O

Both offenses, quarter by quarter (2026 yards per game)

OffenseQ1Q2Q3Q4
SF passing68.065.758.251.5
SF rushing21.741.230.834.5
ATL passing20.269.230.890.8
ATL rushing44.035.345.724.5

Quarter splits computed from nflverse play-by-play — the data this site exists to publish. Deeper cuts: SF offense · ATL defense · ATL offense · SF defense

Players to watch

SF: Christian McCaffrey (RB, 23.6 proj), Brock Purdy (QB, 19 proj), George Kittle (TE, 15 proj)

ATL: Bijan Robinson (RB, 21.4 proj), Drake London (WR, 16.7 proj), Tua Tagovailoa (QB, 12.6 proj)

FAQ

Who is favored in SF at ATL in Week 7?

SF is favored by 2.5 points, with an over/under of 49.5.

When do the San Francisco 49ers play the Atlanta Falcons?

Week 7 of the 2026 season: Sunday, 10/25 (2026-10-25), SF at ATL.

Which player props look good in SF at ATL?

No posted-line disagreements yet — player props for this game post closer to kickoff; the quarter tendencies on this page are final.

all week-7 previews · week-7 slate · Hit Tracker · Prop Lab

Methodology: computed from nflverse play-by-play; a quarter's yards are the yards gained on plays snapped in that quarter. Averages use each player's games played, not team games. Updated 2026-10-25.

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