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WAS @ SF
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WAS at SF — Week 6 2026 Preview, Odds & Player Props

SF -7.5 over WAS with an over/under of 52.5 · Monday, 10/19. SF's implied 22.75 points forecast 4.2 red-zone trips; WAS projects 3.6. Below: both offenses quarter by quarter, every posted player prop with how it has graded this season, and the players to watch — from play-by-play data nobody else publishes.
Spread
Money
Total
WASCommanders1-3-1
+7.5open +7.5
+350open +330
O 52.5open 51.5
SF49ers5-0
−7.5open −7.5
−455open −425
U 52.5open 51.5
Mon, Oct 198:15 PM ETWeek 6See all 353 props

Injuries

GAME STATUSFrom this week’s report. Props marked affected may move.Props flagged 3
WASWASHINGTON COMMANDERS4 out
OUTJacory Croskey-MerrittRunning Back • Groin⚡ rush yds 40.5
OUTCharles OmenihuDefensive End • Groin
OUTJavontae Jean-BaptisteLinebacker • Pectoral
OUTMarcus MariotaQuarterback • Knee
QUESTIONABLEStefon DiggsWide Receiver • Hamstring⚡ rec yds 40.5
SFSAN FRANCISCO 49ERS4 out
OUTDeebo Samuel Sr.Wide Receiver • Hamstring
OUTGarret WallowLinebacker • Hamstring
OUTMarques SigleSafety • Ankle
OUTNick BosaDefensive End • Knee
QUESTIONABLEMike EvansWide Receiver • Ribs⚡ rec yds 70.5

Game environment

What the market expects, and how fast and pass-heavy each team plays.
TeamExp ptsSeason avgOpp allowsPlays/gPass rateRZ trips
WASCommanders22.5−0.5 vs avg23.018.663.855%3.6projected
SF49ers30.0−0.8 vs avg30.829.855.452%4.2projected
San Francisco −7.5 with a 52.5 total works out to 22.5 to 30.0. Both teams are forecast to fall short of their season scoring average. Washington runs 8.4 more plays a game, so more volume for Commanders props.

Recent form

The last 5 games against the spread and against the total.
WASCommandersAgainst the spreadW+6.0L+4.5W+8.5L+4.5L−3.5 2-3Game totalsO43.5O51.5O40.5U46.5O41.5 4-1
SF49ersAgainst the spreadW+3.5W−12.5L−7.5W−3.0W+3.0 4-1Game totalsU47.5O44.5O48.5U48.5O46.5 3-2

Best prop spots

The softest spots in each defense, and how the props there have done this season.

49ers passing vs Washington

Fire
255pass yds allowed4th most
Most allowedFewest
Brock Purdypass yds 249.5UOOUU–2-3
Props here 2 over, 3 under

49ers TEs vs Washington

Hot
74TE yds allowed6th most
Most allowedFewest
George Kittlerec yds 64.5UOOOU–3-2
Props here 3 over, 2 under

Commanders WRs vs San Francisco

Even
123WR yds allowed20th most
Most allowedFewest
Terry McLaurinrec yds 44.5UUO–O–2-2
Stefon Diggsrec yds 40.5OUUU––1-3
Props here 3 over, 5 under

Line movement

Since open
Game lines
SpreadCommanders+7.5 → +7.5
TotalOver / under51.5 → 52.5 ▲1
MoneylineCommanders+330 → +350 ▲20
Biggest prop moves
Mike EvansRec yds43.5 → 70.5 ▲27
Rachaad WhiteRush yds25.5 → 47.5 ▲22
Brock PurdyPass yds234.5 → 249.5 ▲15

Commanders offense vs San Francisco defenseWhat Washington gains, and what San Francisco gives up

Points

Tough
23.0Washington gains17th
1st32nd
18.6San Francisco allows29th most
Most allowedFewest

Rush yards

Even
140Washington gains6th
1st32nd
98San Francisco allows22nd most
Most allowedFewest

Pass yards

Tough
188Washington gains24th
1st32nd
200San Francisco allows26th most
Most allowedFewest

Total yards

Tough
328Washington gains19th
1st32nd
298San Francisco allows29th most
Most allowedFewest

Yards to WRs

Even
115Washington gains21st
1st32nd
123San Francisco allows20th most
Most allowedFewest

EPA per play

Tough
-0.015Washington gains16th
1st32nd
-0.067San Francisco allows28th most
Most allowedFewest

Commanders players

OOver UUnder –No line
PlayerThis week’s propAvgvs lineWeeks 1 to 6Record
Jayden DanielsQBpass yds 206.5 ▲ from 198.5153.0−53.5UU––O–1-2 U
Rachaad WhiteRBrush yds 47.5 ▲ from 25.529.5−18.0UOO–U–2-2
Terry McLaurinWRrec yds 44.550.8+6.3UUO–O–2-2
Jacory Croskey-MerrittRBrush yds 40.5 ▼ from 55.547.8+7.3OUUUO–2-3 U
Stefon DiggsWRrec yds 40.542.5+2.0OUUU––1-3 U
Jayden DanielsQBrush yds 39.5 ▲ from 31.567.7+28.2UO––O–2-1 O
Chig OkonkwoTErec yds 24.527.0+2.5U––UO–1-2 U
Antonio WilliamsWRrec yds 20.5 ▼ from 21.522.8+2.3–UOUU–1-3 U
Austin EkelerRBrush yds 19.5——––––––—
Rachaad WhiteRBrec yds 12.5 ▲ from 9.513.2+0.7UOU–U–1-3 U
Treylon BurksWRrec yds 12.547.0+34.5–––O––1-0 O
Terry McLaurinWRreceptions 3.53.5−0.0UUO–O–2-2
Stefon DiggsWRreceptions 3.54.5+1.0OOOU––3-1 O
Rachaad WhiteRBreceptions 2.5 ▲ from 1.52.5−0.0UOU–U–1-3 U
Chig OkonkwoTEreceptions 2.52.7+0.2U––UO–1-2 U
Antonio WilliamsWRreceptions 2.52.8+0.3–OOOU–3-1 O
Treylon BurksWRreceptions 1.51.0−0.5–––U––0-1 U

49ers offense vs Washington defenseWhat San Francisco gains, and what Washington gives up

Points

Fire
30.8San Francisco gains3rd
1st32nd
29.8Washington allows1st most
Most allowedFewest

Rush yards

Even
130San Francisco gains8th
1st32nd
97Washington allows24th most
Most allowedFewest

Pass yards

Fire
237San Francisco gains12th
1st32nd
255Washington allows4th most
Most allowedFewest

Total yards

Hot
367San Francisco gains9th
1st32nd
352Washington allows9th most
Most allowedFewest

Yards to WRs

Hot
142San Francisco gains15th
1st32nd
160Washington allows8th most
Most allowedFewest

EPA per play

Hot
0.209San Francisco gains1st
1st32nd
0.04Washington allows10th most
Most allowedFewest

49ers players

OOver UUnder –No line
PlayerThis week’s propAvgvs lineWeeks 1 to 6Record
Brock PurdyQBpass yds 249.5 ▲ from 234.5239.2−10.3UOOUU–2-3 U
Mike EvansWRrec yds 70.5 ▲ from 43.565.2−5.3UOUOO–3-2 O
George KittleTErec yds 64.553.6−10.9UOOOU–3-2 O
Christian McCaffreyRBrush yds 61.5 ▼ from 64.557.2−4.3OUOUO–3-2 O
Christian McCaffreyRBrec yds 39.5 ▲ from 38.527.4−12.1UOOUU–2-3 U
Kaelon BlackRBrush yds 24.5 ▲ from 22.517.8−6.7–UUUO–1-3 U
Brock PurdyQBrush yds 18.5 ▲ from 17.525.6+7.1OOOOU–4-1 O
Mike EvansWRreceptions 5.5 ▲ from 3.54.8−0.7OUUOO–3-2 O
George KittleTEreceptions 5.5 ▲ from 4.54.2−1.3UOOUO–3-2 O
Christian McCaffreyRBreceptions 4.53.8−0.7OUUUU–1-4 U

Both offenses, quarter by quarter (2026 yards per game)

OffenseQ1Q2Q3Q4
WAS passing36.843.248.668.4
WAS rushing34.044.631.429.6
SF passing57.460.262.059.6
SF rushing20.637.031.839.2

Quarter splits computed from nflverse play-by-play — the data this site exists to publish. Deeper cuts: WAS offense · SF defense · SF offense · WAS defense

Players to watch

WAS: Jayden Daniels (QB, 18.4 proj), Terry McLaurin (WR, 13 proj), Stefon Diggs (WR, 12.8 proj)

SF: Christian McCaffrey (RB, 23.6 proj), Brock Purdy (QB, 19 proj), George Kittle (TE, 15 proj)

FAQ

Who is favored in WAS at SF in Week 6?

SF is favored by 7.5 points, with an over/under of 52.5.

When do the Washington Commanders play the San Francisco 49ers?

Week 6 of the 2026 season: Monday, 10/19 (2026-10-19), WAS at SF.

Which player props look good in WAS at SF?

No posted-line disagreements yet — player props for this game post closer to kickoff; the quarter tendencies on this page are final.

all week-6 previews · week-6 slate · Hit Tracker · Prop Lab

Methodology: computed from nflverse play-by-play; a quarter's yards are the yards gained on plays snapped in that quarter. Averages use each player's games played, not team games. Updated 2026-10-19.

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