WeeklyHeater

NYG at HOU — Week 7 2026 Preview, Odds & Player Props

HOU -10.5 over NYG with an over/under of 42.5 · Sunday, 10/25. HOU's implied 22 points forecast 4.0 red-zone trips; NYG projects 4.2. Below: both offenses quarter by quarter, every posted player prop with how it has graded this season, and the players to watch — from play-by-play data nobody else publishes.
Spread
Money
Total
NYGGiants3-2-1
+10.5open +10.5
+390open +390
O 42.5open 42.5
HOUTexans2-4
−10.5open −10.5
−520open −520
U 42.5open 42.5
Sun, Oct 251:00 PM ETWeek 7See all 341 props

Injuries

GAME STATUSFrom this week’s report. Props marked affected may move.Props flagged 1
NYGNEW YORK GIANTS3 out
OUTGreg Newsome IICornerback • Concussion
OUTJevon HollandSafety • Concussion
OUTTremaine EdmundsLinebacker • Shoulder
DOUBTFULTheo JohnsonTight End • Neck
QUESTIONABLEJermaine EluemunorOffensive Tackle • Calf
HOUHOUSTON TEXANS4 out
OUTBlake FisherOffensive Tackle • Thumb
OUTDavid MontgomeryRunning Back • Groin
OUTJalen PitreSafety • Shoulder
OUTReed BlankenshipSafety • Concussion
QUESTIONABLETank DellWide Receiver • Knee⚡ rec yds 8.5

Game environment

What the market expects, and how fast and pass-heavy each team plays.
TeamExp ptsSeason avgOpp allowsPlays/gPass rateRZ trips
NYGGiants16.0−6.7 vs avg22.723.865.359%4.2projected
HOUTexans26.5+2.5 vs avg24.023.361.762%4.0projected
Houston −10.5 with a 42.5 total works out to 16.0 to 26.5. Only Texans is forecast to beat their season scoring average. NY runs 3.6 more plays a game, so more volume for Giants props.

Recent form

The last 6 games against the spread and against the total.
NYGGiantsAgainst the spreadW+3.0L+6.5W−2.5W+2.5W+3.5L+1.5 4-2Game totalsO47.5U47.5U37.5O44.5O41.5O46.5 4-2
HOUTexansAgainst the spreadL+1.5L−3.0L−1.5L−3.0W−6.5W+2.5 2-4Game totalsO44.5U45.5U41.5O48.5U37.5O42.5 3-3

Best prop spots

The softest spots in each defense, and how the props there have done this season.

Giants WRs vs Houston

Fire
193WR yds allowed1st most
Most allowedFewest
Malik Nabersrec yds 71.5OUUOOO–4-2
Malachi Fieldsrec yds 18.5OOUOUU–3-3
Props here 7 over, 5 under

Texans run game vs NY

Hot
136rush yds allowed5th most
Most allowedFewest
Woody Marksrush yds 61.5OUUUOO–3-3
Props here 3 over, 3 under

Giants passing vs Houston

Hot
246pass yds allowed6th most
Most allowedFewest
J.J. McCarthypass yds 201.5–––––––—
Props here no results yet

Line movement

Since open
Game lines
SpreadGiants+10.5 → +10.5
TotalOver / under42.5 → 42.5
MoneylineGiants+390 → +390

Giants offense vs Houston defenseWhat NY gains, and what Houston gives up

Points

Warm
22.7NY gains19th
1st32nd
23.8Houston allows13th most
Most allowedFewest

Rush yards

Tough
106NY gains19th
1st32nd
84Houston allows30th most
Most allowedFewest

Pass yards

Hot
229NY gains15th
1st32nd
246Houston allows6th most
Most allowedFewest

Total yards

Even
336NY gains16th
1st32nd
330Houston allows18th most
Most allowedFewest

Yards to WRs

Fire
112NY gains24th
1st32nd
193Houston allows1st most
Most allowedFewest

EPA per play

Warm
-0.025NY gains18th
1st32nd
-0.005Houston allows15th most
Most allowedFewest

Giants players

OOver UUnder –No line
PlayerThis week’s propAvgvs lineWeeks 1 to 7Record
J.J. McCarthyQBpass yds 201.5——–––––––—
Malik NabersWRrec yds 71.582.3+10.8OUUOOO–4-2 O
Isaiah LikelyTErec yds 49.563.8+14.3OUUOOO–4-2 O
Cam SkatteboRBrush yds 31.549.0+17.5OUOUUU–2-4 U
Tyrone Tracy Jr.RBrush yds 23.514.0−9.5U––––––0-1 U
J.J. McCarthyQBrush yds 23.526.0+2.5–––––O–1-0 O
Malachi FieldsWRrec yds 18.527.5+9.0OOUOUU–3-3
Najee HarrisRBrush yds 18.523.2+4.7––OOUU–2-2
Darnell MooneyWRrec yds 16.518.2+1.7OOOUUU–3-3
Tyrone Tracy Jr.RBrec yds 8.5——–––––––—
Devin SingletaryRBrec yds 7.50.0−7.5–U–––––0-1 U
Malik NabersWRreceptions 5.56.8+1.3OUOOOO–5-1 O
Isaiah LikelyTEreceptions 5.56.5+1.0OOUOOO–5-1 O
Devin SingletaryRBrush yds 5.512.5+7.0OU–––––1-1
Malachi FieldsWRreceptions 1.52.0+0.5UUUOUO–2-4 U
Darnell MooneyWRreceptions 1.51.3−0.2OOOUOU–4-2 O
Devin SingletaryRBreceptions 1.50.0−1.5–U–––––0-1 U
Tyrone Tracy Jr.RBreceptions 1.5——–––––––—

Texans offense vs NY defenseWhat Houston gains, and what NY gives up

Points

Warm
24.0Houston gains14th
1st32nd
23.3NY allows14th most
Most allowedFewest

Rush yards

Hot
85Houston gains26th
1st32nd
136NY allows5th most
Most allowedFewest

Pass yards

Tough
270Houston gains5th
1st32nd
190NY allows28th most
Most allowedFewest

Total yards

Even
355Houston gains10th
1st32nd
327NY allows19th most
Most allowedFewest

Yards to WRs

Tough
194Houston gains3rd
1st32nd
116NY allows25th most
Most allowedFewest

EPA per play

Warm
0.04Houston gains13th
1st32nd
0.022NY allows12th most
Most allowedFewest

Texans players

OOver UUnder –No line
PlayerThis week’s propAvgvs lineWeeks 1 to 7Record
C.J. StroudQBpass yds 256.5285.7+29.2OOUOOO–5-1 O
Nico CollinsWRrec yds 65.580.8+15.3O––OUO–3-1 O
Woody MarksRBrush yds 61.534.2−27.3OUUUOO–3-3
Dalton SchultzTErec yds 31.546.2+14.7OOUUUO–3-3
Marvin Harrison Jr.WRrec yds 30.523.8−6.7UUOU–O–2-3 U
Jaylin NoelWRrec yds 28.555.7+27.2OOUOOO–5-1 O
Xavier HutchinsonWRrec yds 12.540.2+27.7OOOOOU–5-1 O
Kayshon BoutteWRrec yds 11.528.2+16.7UUUOOU–2-4 U
C.J. StroudQBrush yds 9.512.7+3.2OOUOUU–3-3
Foster MoreauTErec yds 8.514.0+5.5–O–U–O–2-1 O
Tank DellWRrec yds 8.5——–––––––—
Nico CollinsWRreceptions 4.55.5+1.0O––OUU–2-2
Dalton SchultzTEreceptions 3.54.7+1.2OOUUUO–3-3
Marvin Harrison Jr.WRreceptions 2.51.6−0.9UUOU–O–2-3 U
Jaylin NoelWRreceptions 2.52.8+0.3OUUOOO–4-2 O
Kayshon BoutteWRreceptions 1.52.3+0.8UUUOOO–3-3
Xavier HutchinsonWRreceptions 1.53.0+1.5OUUOOO–4-2 O
Foster MoreauTEreceptions 1.51.7+0.2–O–U–O–2-1 O
Tank DellWRreceptions 1.5——–––––––—

Both offenses, quarter by quarter (2026 yards per game)

OffenseQ1Q2Q3Q4
NYG passing43.053.549.795.5
NYG rushing25.821.724.233.2
HOU passing64.274.055.092.5
HOU rushing19.323.323.518.7

Quarter splits computed from nflverse play-by-play — the data this site exists to publish. Deeper cuts: NYG offense · HOU defense · HOU offense · NYG defense

Players to watch

NYG: Jaxson Dart (QB, 17.3 proj), Malik Nabers (WR, 16.5 proj), Cam Skattebo (RB, 16 proj)

HOU: Nico Collins (WR, 15.6 proj), C.J. Stroud (QB, 14.3 proj), David Montgomery (RB, 11.2 proj)

FAQ

Who is favored in NYG at HOU in Week 7?

HOU is favored by 10.5 points, with an over/under of 42.5.

When do the New York Giants play the Houston Texans?

Week 7 of the 2026 season: Sunday, 10/25 (2026-10-25), NYG at HOU.

Which player props look good in NYG at HOU?

No posted-line disagreements yet — player props for this game post closer to kickoff; the quarter tendencies on this page are final.

Methodology: computed from nflverse play-by-play; a quarter's yards are the yards gained on plays snapped in that quarter. Averages use each player's games played, not team games. Updated 2026-10-25.

Open the live model — any player, any line, all four quarters →

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