WeeklyHeater
Week 7 slate ›
GB @ DET
NE @ CHIPIT @ NOSF @ ATLCIN @ BALTB @ CARNYG @ HOUIND @ MINMIA @ NYJCLE @ TENDEN @ ARIGB @ DETLA @ LVKC @ SEADAL @ PHI

GB at DET — Week 7 2026 Preview, Odds & Player Props

DET -3 over GB with an over/under of 53.5 · Sunday, 10/25. DET's implied 27.75 points forecast 5.4 red-zone trips; GB projects 4.2. Below: both offenses quarter by quarter, every posted player prop with how it has graded this season, and the players to watch — from play-by-play data nobody else publishes.
Spread
Money
Total
GBPackers4-2
+3.0open +3.0
+142open +142
O 53.5open 53.5
DETLions3-2
−3.0open −3.0
−170open −170
U 53.5open 53.5
Sun, Oct 254:25 PM ETWeek 7See all 311 props

Injuries

GAME STATUSFrom this week’s report. Props marked affected may move.
GBGREEN BAY PACKERS1 out
OUTZaire FranklinLinebacker • Shin
QUESTIONABLEAaron BanksGuard • Knee
QUESTIONABLEBenjamin St-JusteCornerback • Hamstring
QUESTIONABLEBo MeltonWide Receiver • Back
QUESTIONABLEJordon RileyDefensive Tackle • Achilles
DETDETROIT LIONS
QUESTIONABLEBrian BranchSafety • Achilles
QUESTIONABLECade MaysCenter • Wrist

Game environment

What the market expects, and how fast and pass-heavy each team plays.
TeamExp ptsSeason avgOpp allowsPlays/gPass rateRZ trips
GBPackers25.2+4.0 vs avg21.229.659.767%4.2projected
DETLions28.2−4.6 vs avg32.820.866.061%5.4projected
Detroit −3.0 with a 53.5 total works out to 25.2 to 28.2. Only Packers is forecast to beat their season scoring average. Detroit runs 6.3 more plays a game, so more volume for Lions props.

Recent form

The last 6 games against the spread and against the total.
GBPackersAgainst the spreadL+1.5L−3.5L−4.5–−3.0W+1.5W+1.5 2-3Game totalsO46.5U44.5O42.5U38.5U46.5U54.5 2-4
DETLionsAgainst the spreadL−7.0L+5.5–−7.0L−4.5W−5.5 1-3Game totalsO49.5O54.5O49.5O52.5O55.5 5-0

Best prop spots

The softest spots in each defense, and how the props there have done this season.

Packers passing vs Detroit

Fire
298pass yds allowed1st most
Most allowedFewest
Jordan Lovepass yds 281.5OUOUOU–3-3
Props here 3 over, 3 under

Packers TEs vs Detroit

Fire
88TE yds allowed1st most
Most allowedFewest
Tucker Kraftrec yds 49.5OUUOOU–3-3
Props here 3 over, 3 under

Lions run game vs Green Bay

Warm
115rush yds allowed15th most
Most allowedFewest
Jahmyr Gibbsrush yds 93.5OUOUO––3-2
Sione Vakirush yds 9.5–OOUO––3-1
Props here 6 over, 3 under

Line movement

Since open
Game lines
SpreadPackers+3.0 → +3.0
TotalOver / under53.5 → 53.5
MoneylinePackers+142 → +142

Packers offense vs Detroit defenseWhat Green Bay gains, and what Detroit gives up

Points

Fire
21.2Green Bay gains23rd
1st32nd
29.6Detroit allows3rd most
Most allowedFewest

Rush yards

Even
62Green Bay gains32nd
1st32nd
108Detroit allows18th most
Most allowedFewest

Pass yards

Fire
270Green Bay gains4th
1st32nd
298Detroit allows1st most
Most allowedFewest

Total yards

Fire
332Green Bay gains18th
1st32nd
406Detroit allows1st most
Most allowedFewest

Yards to WRs

Fire
189Green Bay gains4th
1st32nd
181Detroit allows2nd most
Most allowedFewest

EPA per play

Fire
-0.01Green Bay gains15th
1st32nd
0.152Detroit allows2nd most
Most allowedFewest

Packers players

OOver UUnder –No line
PlayerThis week’s propAvgvs lineWeeks 1 to 7Record
Jordan LoveQBpass yds 281.5280.7−0.8OUOUOU–3-3
Christian WatsonWRrec yds 76.589.7+13.2OUOUOU–3-3
Matthew GoldenWRrec yds 74.583.5+9.0OOOUOO–5-1 O
Tucker KraftTErec yds 49.541.5−8.0OUUOOU–3-3
Josh JacobsRBrush yds 49.5——–––––––—
Savion WilliamsWRrec yds 22.532.0+9.5–––––O–1-0 O
MarShawn LloydRBrush yds 10.520.3+9.8UUUUOU–1-5 U
Pierre StrongRBrush yds 9.528.0+18.5–––––O–1-0 O
Josh JacobsRBrec yds 9.5——–––––––—
Jordan LoveQBrush yds 7.51.7−5.8UUUUUO–1-5 U
Pierre StrongRBrec yds 7.539.0+31.5–––––O–1-0 O
Matthew GoldenWRreceptions 5.55.0−0.5OUOUOO–4-2 O
Christian WatsonWRreceptions 4.54.8+0.3OUOUOU–3-3
Tucker KraftTEreceptions 4.54.2−0.3UUOOOO–4-2 O
Savion WilliamsWRreceptions 2.54.0+1.5–––––O–1-0 O
Pierre StrongRBreceptions 1.55.0+3.5–––––O–1-0 O
Josh JacobsRBreceptions 1.5——–––––––—

Lions offense vs Green Bay defenseWhat Detroit gains, and what Green Bay gives up

Points

Even
32.8Detroit gains2nd
1st32nd
20.8Green Bay allows23rd most
Most allowedFewest

Rush yards

Warm
115Detroit gains13th
1st32nd
115Green Bay allows15th most
Most allowedFewest

Pass yards

Tough
280Detroit gains3rd
1st32nd
194Green Bay allows27th most
Most allowedFewest

Total yards

Even
394Detroit gains4th
1st32nd
309Green Bay allows24th most
Most allowedFewest

Yards to WRs

Even
170Detroit gains7th
1st32nd
134Green Bay allows17th most
Most allowedFewest

EPA per play

Tough
0.18Detroit gains3rd
1st32nd
-0.056Green Bay allows26th most
Most allowedFewest

Lions players

OOver UUnder –No line
PlayerThis week’s propAvgvs lineWeeks 1 to 7Record
Jared GoffQBpass yds 281.5297.0+15.5UOOOU––3-2 O
Jahmyr GibbsRBrush yds 93.5100.8+7.3OUOUO––3-2 O
Amon-Ra St. BrownWRrec yds 80.574.4−6.1UOUUU––1-4 U
Jameson WilliamsWRrec yds 53.555.2+1.7UUUOU––1-4 U
Sam LaPortaTErec yds 49.563.2+13.7OOUOO––4-1 O
Jahmyr GibbsRBrec yds 40.546.8+6.3UOOUO––3-2 O
Isaac TeSlaaWRrec yds 23.537.4+13.9UOOOU––3-2 O
Sione VakiRBrush yds 9.511.0+1.5–OOUO––3-1 O
Amon-Ra St. BrownWRreceptions 7.57.4−0.1OOUOU––3-2 O
Sam LaPortaTEreceptions 5.55.4−0.1OOUOO––4-1 O
Jahmyr GibbsRBreceptions 4.55.4+0.9OOOUO––4-1 O
Jameson WilliamsWRreceptions 3.53.6+0.1OUOOU––3-2 O
Isaac TeSlaaWRreceptions 1.51.8+0.3UOOOU––3-2 O
Jared GoffQBrush yds 0.53.2+2.7OOOUU––3-2 O

Both offenses, quarter by quarter (2026 yards per game)

OffenseQ1Q2Q3Q4
GB passing70.547.276.386.7
GB rushing21.813.516.77.8
DET passing34.491.883.087.8
DET rushing21.433.833.425.6

Quarter splits computed from nflverse play-by-play — the data this site exists to publish. Deeper cuts: GB offense · DET defense · DET offense · GB defense

Players to watch

GB: Josh Jacobs (RB, 16.2 proj), Jordan Love (QB, 15.7 proj), Tucker Kraft (TE, 12.5 proj)

DET: Jahmyr Gibbs (RB, 21.5 proj), Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR, 18.9 proj), Jared Goff (QB, 17.9 proj)

FAQ

Who is favored in GB at DET in Week 7?

DET is favored by 3 points, with an over/under of 53.5.

When do the Green Bay Packers play the Detroit Lions?

Week 7 of the 2026 season: Sunday, 10/25 (2026-10-25), GB at DET.

Which player props look good in GB at DET?

No posted-line disagreements yet — player props for this game post closer to kickoff; the quarter tendencies on this page are final.

all week-7 previews · week-7 slate · Hit Tracker · Prop Lab

Methodology: computed from nflverse play-by-play; a quarter's yards are the yards gained on plays snapped in that quarter. Averages use each player's games played, not team games. Updated 2026-10-25.

Open the live model — any player, any line, all four quarters →

Free printable draft sheets — cheat sheet, boom-or-bust sleepers, week-1 schedule

The college wing — Saturday slates with captured lines, every FBS final graded against the spread, quarter box scores

About Weekly Heater · Help & support

llms.txt