WeeklyHeater

GB at NE — Week 9 2026 Preview, Odds & Player Props

NE -3 over GB with an over/under of 46.5 · Sunday, 11/8. NE's implied 20.5 points forecast 3.6 red-zone trips; GB projects 4.2. Below: both offenses quarter by quarter, every posted player prop with how it has graded this season, and the players to watch — from play-by-play data nobody else publishes.
Spread
Money
Total
GBPackers5-3
+3.0open +3.0
+130open +130
O 46.5open 46.5
NEPatriots5-3
−3.0open −3.0
−155open −155
U 46.5open 46.5
Sun, Nov 84:25 PM ETWeek 9See all 4 props

Game environment

What the market expects, and how fast and pass-heavy each team plays.
TeamExp ptsSeason avgOpp allowsPlays/gPass rateRZ trips
GBPackers21.8+0.4 vs avg21.420.261.267%4.2projected
NEPatriots24.8+1.8 vs avg23.020.560.653%3.6projected
New England −3.0 with a 46.5 total works out to 21.8 to 24.8. Both teams are forecast to beat their season scoring average.

Recent form

The last 8 games against the spread and against the total.
GBPackersAgainst the spreadL+1.5L−3.5L−4.5–−3.0W+1.5W+1.5W+3.5W−3.5 4-3Game totalsO46.5U44.5O42.5U38.5U46.5U54.5U55.5U47.5 2-6
NEPatriotsAgainst the spread–+3.0W−4.5L+3.0W+7.0W−3.5L−7.5L+3.0L−7.0 3-4Game totalsU44.5U41.5U46.5O49.5O45.5O43.5O50.5O41.5 5-3

Best prop spots

The softest spots in each defense, and how the props there have done this season.

Patriots WRs vs Green Bay

Hot
147WR yds allowed9th most
Most allowedFewest
A.J. Brownrec yds 57.5U––––UU–0-3
Props here 0 over, 3 under

Packers TEs vs New England

Warm
51TE yds allowed15th most
Most allowedFewest
Props here no results yet

Patriots run game vs Green Bay

Even
112rush yds allowed18th most
Most allowedFewest
TreVeyon Hendersonrush yds 26.5–OUOUOU–3-3
Props here 3 over, 3 under

Line movement

Since open
Game lines
SpreadPackers+3.0 → +3.0
TotalOver / under46.5 → 46.5
MoneylinePackers+130 → +130

Packers offense vs New England defenseWhat Green Bay gains, and what New England gives up

Points

Even
21.4Green Bay gains24th
1st32nd
20.2New England allows24th most
Most allowedFewest

Rush yards

Tough
63Green Bay gains32nd
1st32nd
93New England allows27th most
Most allowedFewest

Pass yards

Even
271Green Bay gains2nd
1st32nd
217New England allows20th most
Most allowedFewest

Total yards

Tough
334Green Bay gains16th
1st32nd
310New England allows25th most
Most allowedFewest

Yards to WRs

Even
185Green Bay gains3rd
1st32nd
118New England allows21st most
Most allowedFewest

EPA per play

Even
0.005Green Bay gains17th
1st32nd
0.009New England allows17th most
Most allowedFewest

Packers players

OOver UUnder –No line
No posted props for this team yet.

Patriots offense vs Green Bay defenseWhat New England gains, and what Green Bay gives up

Points

Even
23.0New England gains16th
1st32nd
20.5Green Bay allows23rd most
Most allowedFewest

Rush yards

Even
125New England gains11th
1st32nd
112Green Bay allows18th most
Most allowedFewest

Pass yards

Tough
244New England gains11th
1st32nd
204Green Bay allows25th most
Most allowedFewest

Total yards

Even
369New England gains8th
1st32nd
316Green Bay allows23rd most
Most allowedFewest

Yards to WRs

Hot
157New England gains10th
1st32nd
147Green Bay allows9th most
Most allowedFewest

EPA per play

Tough
0.063New England gains9th
1st32nd
-0.069Green Bay allows26th most
Most allowedFewest

Patriots players

OOver UUnder –No line
PlayerThis week’s propAvgvs lineWeeks 1 to 8Record
A.J. BrownWRrec yds 57.533.7−23.8U––––UU–0-3 U
TreVeyon HendersonRBrush yds 26.533.8+7.3–OUOUOU–3-3
TreVeyon HendersonRBrec yds 7.55.5−2.0–UUUUOO–2-4 U
A.J. BrownWRreceptions 4.53.0−1.5U––––UU–0-3 U

Both offenses, quarter by quarter (2026 yards per game)

OffenseQ1Q2Q3Q4
GB passing73.562.271.873.2
GB rushing19.115.217.09.2
NE passing52.657.688.055.4
NE rushing28.638.030.226.1

Quarter splits computed from nflverse play-by-play — the data this site exists to publish. Deeper cuts: GB offense · NE defense · NE offense · GB defense

Players to watch

GB: Josh Jacobs (RB, 16.2 proj), Jordan Love (QB, 15.7 proj), Tucker Kraft (TE, 12.5 proj)

NE: Drake Maye (QB, 19.2 proj), A.J. Brown (WR, 15.2 proj), Rhamondre Stevenson (RB, 12.5 proj)

FAQ

Who is favored in GB at NE in Week 9?

NE is favored by 3 points, with an over/under of 46.5.

When do the Green Bay Packers play the New England Patriots?

Week 9 of the 2026 season: Sunday, 11/8 (2026-11-08), GB at NE.

Which player props look good in GB at NE?

No posted-line disagreements yet — player props for this game post closer to kickoff; the quarter tendencies on this page are final.

Methodology: computed from nflverse play-by-play; a quarter's yards are the yards gained on plays snapped in that quarter. Averages use each player's games played, not team games. Updated 2026-11-04.

Open the live model — any player, any line, all four quarters →

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