WeeklyHeater

NYJ at KC — Week 9 2026 Preview, Odds & Player Props

KC -9.5 over NYJ with an over/under of 46.5 · Sunday, 11/8. KC's implied 22.5 points forecast 4.1 red-zone trips; NYJ projects 3.0. Below: both offenses quarter by quarter, every posted player prop with how it has graded this season, and the players to watch — from play-by-play data nobody else publishes.
Spread
Money
Total
NYJJets2-6
+9.5open +9.5
+370open +370
O 46.5open 46.5
KCChiefs5-2
−9.5open −9.5
−485open −485
U 46.5open 46.5
Sun, Nov 81:00 PM ETWeek 9See all 8 props

Game environment

What the market expects, and how fast and pass-heavy each team plays.
TeamExp ptsSeason avgOpp allowsPlays/gPass rateRZ trips
NYJJets18.5−2.7 vs avg21.218.757.957%3.0projected
KCChiefs28.0+4.1 vs avg23.923.560.157%4.1projected
Kansas City −9.5 with a 46.5 total works out to 18.5 to 28.0. Only Chiefs is forecast to beat their season scoring average. Kansas City runs 2.2 more plays a game, so more volume for Chiefs props.

Recent form

The last 8 games against the spread and against the total.
NYJJetsAgainst the spreadW+1.5W+3.5–+7.0L+3.5W−2.5W+7.5L−3.5L−1.5 4-3Game totalsU39.5U44.5O49.5U43.5U38.5O43.5O39.5O46.5 4-4
KCChiefsAgainst the spreadW−2.5L−6.0W−10.0L−5.5W−7.5L+3.0L+1.5 3-4Game totalsU42.5O46.5U45.5O47.5U41.5U43.5O41.5 3-4

Best prop spots

The softest spots in each defense, and how the props there have done this season.

Jets TEs vs Kansas City

Hot
67TE yds allowed6th most
Most allowedFewest
Props here no results yet

Chiefs TEs vs NY

Hot
57TE yds allowed9th most
Most allowedFewest
Props here no results yet

Chiefs run game vs NY

Warm
125rush yds allowed11th most
Most allowedFewest
Props here no results yet

Line movement

Since open
Game lines
SpreadJets+9.5 → +9.5
TotalOver / under46.5 → 46.5
MoneylineJets+370 → +370

Jets offense vs Kansas City defenseWhat NY gains, and what Kansas City gives up

Points

Tough
21.2NY gains25th
1st32nd
18.7Kansas City allows29th most
Most allowedFewest

Rush yards

Tough
106NY gains21st
1st32nd
97Kansas City allows25th most
Most allowedFewest

Pass yards

Warm
215NY gains19th
1st32nd
223Kansas City allows15th most
Most allowedFewest

Total yards

Even
321NY gains22nd
1st32nd
320Kansas City allows21st most
Most allowedFewest

Yards to WRs

Even
126NY gains17th
1st32nd
112Kansas City allows24th most
Most allowedFewest

EPA per play

Even
0.044NY gains11th
1st32nd
-0.034Kansas City allows22nd most
Most allowedFewest

Jets players

OOver UUnder –No line
PlayerThis week’s propAvgvs lineWeeks 1 to 8Record
Adonai MitchellWRrec yds 44.566.2+21.7OO––––UO3-1 O
Adonai MitchellWRreceptions 3.54.0+0.5OO––––UO3-1 O

Chiefs offense vs NY defenseWhat Kansas City gains, and what NY gives up

Points

Even
23.9Kansas City gains11th
1st32nd
23.5NY allows17th most
Most allowedFewest

Rush yards

Warm
135Kansas City gains6th
1st32nd
125NY allows11th most
Most allowedFewest

Pass yards

Tough
249Kansas City gains8th
1st32nd
194NY allows28th most
Most allowedFewest

Total yards

Even
384Kansas City gains5th
1st32nd
319NY allows22nd most
Most allowedFewest

Yards to WRs

Tough
109Kansas City gains23rd
1st32nd
99NY allows30th most
Most allowedFewest

EPA per play

Warm
0.126Kansas City gains4th
1st32nd
0.023NY allows14th most
Most allowedFewest

Chiefs players

OOver UUnder –No line
No posted props for this team yet.

Both offenses, quarter by quarter (2026 yards per game)

OffenseQ1Q2Q3Q4
NYJ passing47.847.871.472.2
NYJ rushing26.431.630.416.8
KC passing55.175.750.974.7
KC rushing31.032.040.730.4

Quarter splits computed from nflverse play-by-play — the data this site exists to publish. Deeper cuts: NYJ offense · KC defense · KC offense · NYJ defense

Players to watch

NYJ: Garrett Wilson (WR, 14.5 proj), Breece Hall (RB, 13.5 proj), Geno Smith (QB, 12.7 proj)

KC: Patrick Mahomes (QB, 19.6 proj), Rashee Rice (WR, 18.4 proj), Kenneth Walker III (RB, 12.2 proj)

FAQ

Who is favored in NYJ at KC in Week 9?

KC is favored by 9.5 points, with an over/under of 46.5.

When do the New York Jets play the Kansas City Chiefs?

Week 9 of the 2026 season: Sunday, 11/8 (2026-11-08), NYJ at KC.

Which player props look good in NYJ at KC?

No posted-line disagreements yet — player props for this game post closer to kickoff; the quarter tendencies on this page are final.

Methodology: computed from nflverse play-by-play; a quarter's yards are the yards gained on plays snapped in that quarter. Averages use each player's games played, not team games. Updated 2026-11-04.

Open the live model — any player, any line, all four quarters →

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