NYJ at KC — Week 9 2026 Preview, Odds & Player Props
KC -9.5 over NYJ with an over/under of 46.5 · Sunday, 11/8. KC's implied 22.5 points forecast 4.1 red-zone trips; NYJ projects 3.0. Below: both offenses quarter by quarter, every posted player prop with how it has graded this season, and the players to watch — from play-by-play data nobody else publishes.
What the market expects, and how fast and pass-heavy each team plays.
Team
Exp pts
Season avg
Opp allows
Plays/g
Pass rate
RZ trips
NYJJets
18.5−2.7 vs avg
21.2
18.7
57.9
57%
3.0projected
KCChiefs
28.0+4.1 vs avg
23.9
23.5
60.1
57%
4.1projected
Kansas City −9.5 with a 46.5 total works out to 18.5 to 28.0. Only Chiefs is forecast to beat their season scoring average. Kansas City runs 2.2 more plays a game, so more volume for Chiefs props.
Recent form
The last 8 games against the spread and against the total.
NYJJetsAgainst the spreadW+1.5W+3.5–+7.0L+3.5W−2.5W+7.5L−3.5L−1.54-3Game totalsU39.5U44.5O49.5U43.5U38.5O43.5O39.5O46.54-4
KCChiefsAgainst the spreadW−2.5L−6.0W−10.0L−5.5W−7.5L+3.0L+1.53-4Game totalsU42.5O46.5U45.5O47.5U41.5U43.5O41.53-4
Best prop spots
The softest spots in each defense, and how the props there have done this season.
Jets TEs vs Kansas City
Hot
67TE yds allowed6th most
Most allowedFewest
Props here no results yet
Chiefs TEs vs NY
Hot
57TE yds allowed9th most
Most allowedFewest
Props here no results yet
Chiefs run game vs NY
Warm
125rush yds allowed11th most
Most allowedFewest
Props here no results yet
Line movement
Since open
Game lines
SpreadJets+9.5 → +9.5
TotalOver / under46.5 → 46.5
MoneylineJets+370 → +370
Jets offense vs Kansas City defenseWhat NY gains, and what Kansas City gives up
Points
Tough
21.2NY gains25th
1st32nd
18.7Kansas City allows29th most
Most allowedFewest
Rush yards
Tough
106NY gains21st
1st32nd
97Kansas City allows25th most
Most allowedFewest
Pass yards
Warm
215NY gains19th
1st32nd
223Kansas City allows15th most
Most allowedFewest
Total yards
Even
321NY gains22nd
1st32nd
320Kansas City allows21st most
Most allowedFewest
Yards to WRs
Even
126NY gains17th
1st32nd
112Kansas City allows24th most
Most allowedFewest
EPA per play
Even
0.044NY gains11th
1st32nd
-0.034Kansas City allows22nd most
Most allowedFewest
Jets players
OOver UUnder –No line
Player
This week’s prop
Avg
vs line
Weeks 1 to 8
Record
Adonai MitchellWR
rec yds 44.5
66.2
+21.7
OO––––UO
3-1 O
Adonai MitchellWR
receptions 3.5
4.0
+0.5
OO––––UO
3-1 O
Chiefs offense vs NY defenseWhat Kansas City gains, and what NY gives up
Points
Even
23.9Kansas City gains11th
1st32nd
23.5NY allows17th most
Most allowedFewest
Rush yards
Warm
135Kansas City gains6th
1st32nd
125NY allows11th most
Most allowedFewest
Pass yards
Tough
249Kansas City gains8th
1st32nd
194NY allows28th most
Most allowedFewest
Total yards
Even
384Kansas City gains5th
1st32nd
319NY allows22nd most
Most allowedFewest
Yards to WRs
Tough
109Kansas City gains23rd
1st32nd
99NY allows30th most
Most allowedFewest
EPA per play
Warm
0.126Kansas City gains4th
1st32nd
0.023NY allows14th most
Most allowedFewest
Chiefs players
OOver UUnder –No line
No posted props for this team yet.
Both offenses, quarter by quarter (2026 yards per game)
Methodology: computed from nflverse play-by-play; a quarter's yards are the yards gained on plays snapped in that quarter. Averages use each player's games played, not team games.
Updated 2026-11-04.