CLE at NO — Week 9 2026 Preview, Odds & Player Props
NO -2.5 over CLE with an over/under of 43.5 · Sunday, 11/8. NO's implied 20.75 points forecast 3.7 red-zone trips; CLE projects 2.6. Below: both offenses quarter by quarter, every posted player prop with how it has graded this season, and the players to watch — from play-by-play data nobody else publishes.
What the market expects, and how fast and pass-heavy each team plays.
Team
Exp pts
Season avg
Opp allows
Plays/g
Pass rate
RZ trips
CLEBrowns
20.5+3.1 vs avg
17.4
27.7
59.8
60%
2.6projected
NOSaints
23.0−0.1 vs avg
23.1
21.6
65.4
63%
3.7projected
New Orleans −2.5 with a 43.5 total works out to 20.5 to 23.0. Only Browns is forecast to beat their season scoring average. New Orleans runs 5.6 more plays a game, so more volume for Saints props.
Recent form
The last 8 games against the spread and against the total.
CLEBrownsAgainst the spreadL+8.5W+8.5W+2.5W+2.5L+2.5W+3.0W−1.5L+3.55-3Game totalsO40.5O41.5U41.5O38.5U38.5U39.5O36.5U38.54-4
NOSaintsAgainst the spreadW+7.0W+8.5L−4.5L−1.5L+2.5W−1.5L+3.03-4Game totalsO49.5U45.5O43.5O47.5U41.5O46.5U43.54-3
Best prop spots
The softest spots in each defense, and how the props there have done this season.
Browns TEs vs New Orleans
Fire
69TE yds allowed3rd most
Most allowedFewest
Props here no results yet
Browns run game vs New Orleans
Fire
141rush yds allowed4th most
Most allowedFewest
Quinshon Judkinsrush yds 46.5UUOUU–OU2-5
Props here 2 over, 5 under
Saints run game vs Cleveland
Hot
128rush yds allowed9th most
Most allowedFewest
Props here no results yet
Line movement
Since open
Game lines
SpreadBrowns+2.5 → +2.5
TotalOver / under43.5 → 43.5
MoneylineBrowns+120 → +120
Browns offense vs New Orleans defenseWhat Cleveland gains, and what New Orleans gives up
Points
Fire
17.4Cleveland gains29th
1st32nd
27.7New Orleans allows4th most
Most allowedFewest
Rush yards
Fire
98Cleveland gains24th
1st32nd
141New Orleans allows4th most
Most allowedFewest
Pass yards
Hot
204Cleveland gains22nd
1st32nd
234New Orleans allows10th most
Most allowedFewest
Total yards
Hot
303Cleveland gains24th
1st32nd
374New Orleans allows5th most
Most allowedFewest
Yards to WRs
Warm
34Cleveland gains32nd
1st32nd
136New Orleans allows15th most
Most allowedFewest
EPA per play
Hot
-0.079Cleveland gains25th
1st32nd
0.075New Orleans allows6th most
Most allowedFewest
Browns players
OOver UUnder –No line
Player
This week’s prop
Avg
vs line
Weeks 1 to 8
Record
Quinshon JudkinsRB
rush yds 46.5
48.9
+2.4
UUOUU–OU
2-5 U
Quinshon JudkinsRB
rec yds 15.5
19.1
+3.6
OOUOU–UO
4-3 O
Quinshon JudkinsRB
receptions 2.5
3.0
+0.5
OOUOO–UO
5-2 O
Saints offense vs Cleveland defenseWhat New Orleans gains, and what Cleveland gives up
Points
Even
23.1New Orleans gains14th
1st32nd
21.6Cleveland allows20th most
Most allowedFewest
Rush yards
Hot
87New Orleans gains28th
1st32nd
128Cleveland allows9th most
Most allowedFewest
Pass yards
Tough
230New Orleans gains14th
1st32nd
197Cleveland allows27th most
Most allowedFewest
Total yards
Even
316New Orleans gains23rd
1st32nd
324Cleveland allows20th most
Most allowedFewest
Yards to WRs
Even
142New Orleans gains12th
1st32nd
113Cleveland allows23rd most
Most allowedFewest
EPA per play
Even
-0.037New Orleans gains22nd
1st32nd
-0.017Cleveland allows19th most
Most allowedFewest
Saints players
OOver UUnder –No line
Player
This week’s prop
Avg
vs line
Weeks 1 to 8
Record
Noah FantTE
rec yds 17.5
10.2
−7.3
–UO–UUO–
2-3 U
Noah FantTE
receptions 1.5
1.4
−0.1
–UO–UUO–
2-3 U
Both offenses, quarter by quarter (2026 yards per game)
Methodology: computed from nflverse play-by-play; a quarter's yards are the yards gained on plays snapped in that quarter. Averages use each player's games played, not team games.
Updated 2026-11-04.
Weekly