WeeklyHeater

HOU at LAC — Week 9 2026 Preview, Odds & Player Props

HOU -4.5 over LAC with an over/under of 40.5 · Sunday, 11/8. LAC's implied 28.5 points forecast 5.6 red-zone trips; HOU projects 4.0. Below: both offenses quarter by quarter, every posted player prop with how it has graded this season, and the players to watch — from play-by-play data nobody else publishes.
Spread
Money
Total
HOUTexans2-5
−4.5open −4.5
−218open −218
O 40.5open 40.5
LACChargers0-7
+4.5open +4.5
+180open +180
U 40.5open 40.5
Sun, Nov 84:05 PM ETWeek 9See all 1 props

Game environment

What the market expects, and how fast and pass-heavy each team plays.
TeamExp ptsSeason avgOpp allowsPlays/gPass rateRZ trips
HOUTexans22.5−1.1 vs avg23.625.060.761%4.0projected
LACChargers18.0+3.9 vs avg14.124.361.155%5.6projected
Houston −4.5 with a 40.5 total works out to 22.5 to 18.0. Only Chargers is forecast to beat their season scoring average.

Recent form

The last 7 games against the spread and against the total.
HOUTexansAgainst the spreadL+1.5L−3.0L−1.5L−3.0W−6.5W+2.5L−10.0 2-5Game totalsO44.5U45.5U41.5O48.5U37.5O42.5O42.5 4-3
LACChargersAgainst the spreadL−8.5L−6.5L+7.0–+7.0L+3.5L+7.5L+6.5 0-6Game totalsU47.5U43.5U50.5O42.5U42.5U41.5U46.5 1-6

Best prop spots

The softest spots in each defense, and how the props there have done this season.

Chargers WRs vs Houston

Fire
182WR yds allowed1st most
Most allowedFewest
Props here no results yet

Chargers passing vs Houston

Hot
244pass yds allowed5th most
Most allowedFewest
Props here no results yet

Texans run game vs LA

Hot
126rush yds allowed10th most
Most allowedFewest
Props here no results yet

Line movement

Since open
Game lines
SpreadTexans−4.5 → −4.5
TotalOver / under40.5 → 40.5
MoneylineTexans−218 → −218

Texans offense vs LA defenseWhat Houston gains, and what LA gives up

Points

Warm
23.6Houston gains12th
1st32nd
25.0LA allows13th most
Most allowedFewest

Rush yards

Hot
85Houston gains29th
1st32nd
126LA allows10th most
Most allowedFewest

Pass yards

Tough
254Houston gains7th
1st32nd
198LA allows26th most
Most allowedFewest

Total yards

Even
339Houston gains15th
1st32nd
325LA allows19th most
Most allowedFewest

Yards to WRs

Even
180Houston gains6th
1st32nd
129LA allows18th most
Most allowedFewest

EPA per play

Even
0.027Houston gains13th
1st32nd
-0.04LA allows24th most
Most allowedFewest

Texans players

OOver UUnder –No line
PlayerThis week’s propAvgvs lineWeeks 1 to 8Record
Nico CollinsWRrec yds 69.565.8−3.7O––OUOU–3-2 O
Marvin Harrison Jr.WRrec yds 34.520.8−13.7UUOU–OU–2-4 U
Nico CollinsWRreceptions 5.54.8−0.7O––OUUU–2-3 U
Marvin Harrison Jr.WRreceptions 2.51.5−1.0UUOU–OU–2-4 U

Chargers offense vs Houston defenseWhat LA gains, and what Houston gives up

Points

Warm
14.1LA gains32nd
1st32nd
24.3Houston allows15th most
Most allowedFewest

Rush yards

Even
111LA gains18th
1st32nd
98Houston allows24th most
Most allowedFewest

Pass yards

Hot
177LA gains26th
1st32nd
244Houston allows5th most
Most allowedFewest

Total yards

Warm
288LA gains28th
1st32nd
342Houston allows15th most
Most allowedFewest

Yards to WRs

Fire
120LA gains19th
1st32nd
182Houston allows1st most
Most allowedFewest

EPA per play

Warm
-0.256LA gains32nd
1st32nd
0.031Houston allows11th most
Most allowedFewest

Chargers players

OOver UUnder –No line
No posted props for this team yet.

Both offenses, quarter by quarter (2026 yards per game)

OffenseQ1Q2Q3Q4
HOU passing58.175.749.083.9
HOU rushing18.723.022.620.4
LAC passing32.352.657.357.6
LAC rushing23.335.428.623.9

Quarter splits computed from nflverse play-by-play — the data this site exists to publish. Deeper cuts: HOU offense · LAC defense · LAC offense · HOU defense

Players to watch

HOU: Nico Collins (WR, 15.6 proj), C.J. Stroud (QB, 14.3 proj), David Montgomery (RB, 11.2 proj)

LAC: Justin Herbert (QB, 17.6 proj), Omarion Hampton (RB, 15.1 proj), Quentin Johnston (WR, 12.7 proj)

FAQ

Who is favored in HOU at LAC in Week 9?

HOU is favored by 4.5 points, with an over/under of 40.5.

When do the Houston Texans play the Los Angeles Chargers?

Week 9 of the 2026 season: Sunday, 11/8 (2026-11-08), HOU at LAC.

Which player props look good in HOU at LAC?

No posted-line disagreements yet — player props for this game post closer to kickoff; the quarter tendencies on this page are final.

Methodology: computed from nflverse play-by-play; a quarter's yards are the yards gained on plays snapped in that quarter. Averages use each player's games played, not team games. Updated 2026-11-04.

Open the live model — any player, any line, all four quarters →

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