WeeklyHeater

LA at WAS — Week 9 2026 Preview, Odds & Player Props

LA -5.5 over WAS with an over/under of 47.5 · Sunday, 11/8. WAS's implied 20.5 points forecast 3.6 red-zone trips; LA projects 4.9. Below: both offenses quarter by quarter, every posted player prop with how it has graded this season, and the players to watch — from play-by-play data nobody else publishes.
Spread
Money
Total
LARams4-4
−5.5open −5.5
−230open −230
O 47.5open 47.5
WASCommanders2-4-1
+5.5open +5.5
+190open +190
U 47.5open 47.5
Sun, Nov 81:00 PM ETWeek 9See all 12 props

Game environment

What the market expects, and how fast and pass-heavy each team plays.
TeamExp ptsSeason avgOpp allowsPlays/gPass rateRZ trips
LARams26.5+2.3 vs avg24.226.065.261%4.9projected
WASCommanders21.0−1.7 vs avg22.721.062.157%3.6projected
LA −5.5 with a 47.5 total works out to 26.5 to 21.0. Only Rams is forecast to beat their season scoring average. LA runs 3.1 more plays a game, so more volume for Rams props.

Recent form

The last 8 games against the spread and against the total.
LARamsAgainst the spreadL−3.5W−6.5L−1.5W−3.5L−3.5L−12.5W−3.5W−6.5 4-4Game totalsU47.5U47.5O43.5O42.5O55.5U51.5O49.5U46.5 4-4
WASCommandersAgainst the spreadW+6.0L+4.5W+8.5L+4.5L−3.5W+7.5W−6.0 4-3Game totalsO43.5O51.5O40.5U46.5O41.5U52.5U40.5 4-3

Best prop spots

The softest spots in each defense, and how the props there have done this season.

Rams passing vs Washington

Hot
243pass yds allowed6th most
Most allowedFewest
Props here no results yet

Rams TEs vs Washington

Hot
67TE yds allowed7th most
Most allowedFewest
Props here no results yet

Commanders run game vs LA

Even
109rush yds allowed19th most
Most allowedFewest
Jacory Croskey-Merrittrush yds 40.5OUUUO–––2-3
Props here 2 over, 3 under

Line movement

Since open
Game lines
SpreadRams−5.5 → −5.5
TotalOver / under47.5 → 47.5
MoneylineRams−230 → −230

Rams offense vs Washington defenseWhat LA gains, and what Washington gives up

Points

Hot
24.2LA gains10th
1st32nd
26.0Washington allows7th most
Most allowedFewest

Rush yards

Even
126LA gains10th
1st32nd
100Washington allows21st most
Most allowedFewest

Pass yards

Hot
259LA gains6th
1st32nd
243Washington allows6th most
Most allowedFewest

Total yards

Warm
385LA gains4th
1st32nd
343Washington allows14th most
Most allowedFewest

Yards to WRs

Warm
160LA gains9th
1st32nd
138Washington allows14th most
Most allowedFewest

EPA per play

Warm
0.046LA gains10th
1st32nd
0.028Washington allows13th most
Most allowedFewest

Rams players

OOver UUnder –No line
PlayerThis week’s propAvgvs lineWeeks 1 to 8Record
Puka NacuaWRrec yds 87.594.2+6.7U––OOUUU2-4 U
Puka NacuaWRreceptions 6.59.3+2.8U––OOUOO4-2 O

Commanders offense vs LA defenseWhat Washington gains, and what LA gives up

Points

Even
22.7Washington gains17th
1st32nd
21.0LA allows21st most
Most allowedFewest

Rush yards

Even
127Washington gains9th
1st32nd
109LA allows19th most
Most allowedFewest

Pass yards

Tough
201Washington gains23rd
1st32nd
193LA allows29th most
Most allowedFewest

Total yards

Tough
328Washington gains20th
1st32nd
302LA allows28th most
Most allowedFewest

Yards to WRs

Tough
119Washington gains21st
1st32nd
105LA allows27th most
Most allowedFewest

EPA per play

Tough
-0.009Washington gains18th
1st32nd
-0.103LA allows30th most
Most allowedFewest

Commanders players

OOver UUnder –No line
PlayerThis week’s propAvgvs lineWeeks 1 to 8Record
Terry McLaurinWRrec yds 51.546.0−5.5UUO–OU––2-3 U
Jacory Croskey-MerrittRBrush yds 40.547.8+7.3OUUUO–––2-3 U
Treylon BurksWRrec yds 12.564.0+51.5–––O–––O2-0 O
Terry McLaurinWRreceptions 4.53.0−1.5UUO–OU––2-3 U
Treylon BurksWRreceptions 1.52.0+0.5–––U–––O1-1

Both offenses, quarter by quarter (2026 yards per game)

OffenseQ1Q2Q3Q4
LA passing44.076.454.195.4
LA rushing26.131.134.833.5
WAS passing36.347.156.075.1
WAS rushing30.739.726.130.0

Quarter splits computed from nflverse play-by-play — the data this site exists to publish. Deeper cuts: LA offense · WAS defense · WAS offense · LA defense

Players to watch

LA: Puka Nacua (WR, 22.5 proj), Matthew Stafford (QB, 18.8 proj), Davante Adams (WR, 16.3 proj)

WAS: Jayden Daniels (QB, 18.4 proj), Terry McLaurin (WR, 13 proj), Stefon Diggs (WR, 12.8 proj)

FAQ

Who is favored in LA at WAS in Week 9?

LA is favored by 5.5 points, with an over/under of 47.5.

When do the Los Angeles Rams play the Washington Commanders?

Week 9 of the 2026 season: Sunday, 11/8 (2026-11-08), LA at WAS.

Which player props look good in LA at WAS?

No posted-line disagreements yet — player props for this game post closer to kickoff; the quarter tendencies on this page are final.

Methodology: computed from nflverse play-by-play; a quarter's yards are the yards gained on plays snapped in that quarter. Averages use each player's games played, not team games. Updated 2026-11-04.

Open the live model — any player, any line, all four quarters →

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