WeeklyHeater

DAL at IND — Week 9 2026 Preview, Odds & Player Props

DAL -6 over IND with an over/under of 51.5 · Sunday, 11/8. IND's implied 23 points forecast 4.2 red-zone trips; DAL projects 4.8. Below: both offenses quarter by quarter, every posted player prop with how it has graded this season, and the players to watch — from play-by-play data nobody else publishes.
Spread
Money
Total
DALCowboys3-5
−6.0open −6.0
−270open −270
O 51.5open 51.5
INDColts2-6
+6.0open +6.0
+220open +220
U 51.5open 51.5
Sun, Nov 81:00 PM ETWeek 9

Game environment

What the market expects, and how fast and pass-heavy each team plays.
TeamExp ptsSeason avgOpp allowsPlays/gPass rateRZ trips
DALCowboys28.8+1.4 vs avg27.427.864.461%4.8projected
INDColts22.8+2.7 vs avg20.126.664.257%4.2projected
Dallas −6.0 with a 51.5 total works out to 28.8 to 22.8. Both teams are forecast to beat their season scoring average.

Recent form

The last 8 games against the spread and against the total.
DALCowboysAgainst the spreadL−3.0W−4.5–+3.0W+3.0L−9.5L−1.5W−4.5L−7.0 3-4Game totalsO47.5O51.5O54.5O48.5U49.5U54.5O43.5O54.5 6-2
INDColtsAgainst the spreadL+3.0W+6.0W+1.5W−4.5L+3.0L−6.5W+6.5L+10.0 4-4Game totalsO48.5O46.5U41.5U46.5O41.5O43.5U41.5O45.5 5-3

Best prop spots

The softest spots in each defense, and how the props there have done this season.

Colts run game vs Dallas

Fire
154rush yds allowed1st most
Most allowedFewest
Keenan Allenrush yds 14.5––––––––—
Props here no results yet

Cowboys run game vs Indianapolis

Hot
133rush yds allowed5th most
Most allowedFewest
Malik Davisrush yds 12.5––––––––—
Emari Demercadorush yds 7.5UU––––––0-2
Props here 0 over, 2 under

Colts WRs vs Dallas

Hot
150WR yds allowed8th most
Most allowedFewest
Keenan Allenrec yds 34.5OUO–OOUO5-2
Darius Slaytonrec yds 9.5––––––––—
Props here 5 over, 2 under

Line movement

Since open
Game lines
SpreadCowboys−6.0 → −6.0
TotalOver / under51.5 → 51.5
MoneylineCowboys−270 → −270

Cowboys offense vs Indianapolis defenseWhat Dallas gains, and what Indianapolis gives up

Points

Fire
27.4Dallas gains7th
1st32nd
27.8Indianapolis allows3rd most
Most allowedFewest

Rush yards

Hot
94Dallas gains25th
1st32nd
133Indianapolis allows5th most
Most allowedFewest

Pass yards

Even
248Dallas gains9th
1st32nd
212Indianapolis allows21st most
Most allowedFewest

Total yards

Warm
343Dallas gains13th
1st32nd
344Indianapolis allows11th most
Most allowedFewest

Yards to WRs

Tough
207Dallas gains1st
1st32nd
108Indianapolis allows26th most
Most allowedFewest

EPA per play

Hot
0.091Dallas gains7th
1st32nd
0.065Indianapolis allows9th most
Most allowedFewest

Cowboys players

OOver UUnder –No line
PlayerThis week’s propAvgvs lineWeeks 1 to 8Record
Malik DavisRBrush yds 12.5——––––––––—
Emari DemercadoRBrush yds 7.57.5−0.0UU––––––0-2 U

Colts offense vs Dallas defenseWhat Indianapolis gains, and what Dallas gives up

Points

Hot
20.1Indianapolis gains26th
1st32nd
26.6Dallas allows6th most
Most allowedFewest

Rush yards

Fire
117Indianapolis gains16th
1st32nd
154Dallas allows1st most
Most allowedFewest

Pass yards

Warm
175Indianapolis gains28th
1st32nd
233Dallas allows11th most
Most allowedFewest

Total yards

Fire
292Indianapolis gains26th
1st32nd
386Dallas allows1st most
Most allowedFewest

Yards to WRs

Hot
121Indianapolis gains18th
1st32nd
150Dallas allows8th most
Most allowedFewest

EPA per play

Fire
-0.115Indianapolis gains30th
1st32nd
0.126Dallas allows2nd most
Most allowedFewest

Colts players

OOver UUnder –No line
PlayerThis week’s propAvgvs lineWeeks 1 to 8Record
Tyler WarrenTErec yds 48.538.5−10.0UUOUO––U2-4 U
Keenan AllenWRrec yds 34.546.4+11.9OUO–OOUO5-2 O
Keenan AllenWRrush yds 14.5——––––––––—
Darius SlaytonWRrec yds 9.5——––––––––—
Tyler WarrenTEreceptions 5.55.7+0.2UOOUO––U3-3
Keenan AllenWRreceptions 3.55.1+1.6OUO–OOUO5-2 O
Darius SlaytonWRreceptions 1.5——––––––––—

Both offenses, quarter by quarter (2026 yards per game)

OffenseQ1Q2Q3Q4
DAL passing44.960.967.882.2
DAL rushing25.423.421.424.0
IND passing41.857.139.455.5
IND rushing21.532.134.928.0

Quarter splits computed from nflverse play-by-play — the data this site exists to publish. Deeper cuts: DAL offense · IND defense · IND offense · DAL defense

Players to watch

DAL: Dak Prescott (QB, 17.9 proj), CeeDee Lamb (WR, 16.1 proj), George Pickens (WR, 16 proj)

IND: Jonathan Taylor (RB, 20.5 proj), Daniel Jones (QB, 16.6 proj), Alec Pierce (WR, 11.6 proj)

FAQ

Who is favored in DAL at IND in Week 9?

DAL is favored by 6 points, with an over/under of 51.5.

When do the Dallas Cowboys play the Indianapolis Colts?

Week 9 of the 2026 season: Sunday, 11/8 (2026-11-08), DAL at IND.

Which player props look good in DAL at IND?

No posted-line disagreements yet — player props for this game post closer to kickoff; the quarter tendencies on this page are final.

Methodology: computed from nflverse play-by-play; a quarter's yards are the yards gained on plays snapped in that quarter. Averages use each player's games played, not team games. Updated 2026-11-04.

Open the live model — any player, any line, all four quarters →

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