WeeklyHeater

DET at MIA — Week 9 2026 Preview, Odds & Player Props

DET -7 over MIA with an over/under of 50.5 · Sunday, 11/8. MIA's implied 19.25 points forecast 3.3 red-zone trips; DET projects 5.4. Below: both offenses quarter by quarter, every posted player prop with how it has graded this season, and the players to watch — from play-by-play data nobody else publishes.
Spread
Money
Total
DETLions5-2
−7.0open −7.0
−360open −360
O 50.5open 50.5
MIADolphins1-6
+7.0open +7.0
+285open +285
U 50.5open 50.5
Sun, Nov 81:00 PM ETWeek 9See all 14 props

Game environment

What the market expects, and how fast and pass-heavy each team plays.
TeamExp ptsSeason avgOpp allowsPlays/gPass rateRZ trips
DETLions28.8−0.2 vs avg29.025.966.057%5.4projected
MIADolphins21.8+5.1 vs avg16.725.756.752%3.3projected
Detroit −7.0 with a 50.5 total works out to 28.8 to 21.8. Only Dolphins is forecast to beat their season scoring average. Detroit runs 9.3 more plays a game, so more volume for Lions props.

Recent form

The last 7 games against the spread and against the total.
DETLionsAgainst the spreadL−7.0L+5.5–−7.0L−4.5W−5.5L−3.5W−3.0 2-4Game totalsO49.5O54.5O49.5O52.5O55.5U55.5U46.5 5-2
MIADolphinsAgainst the spreadL+3.0L+12.5L+10.0W+10.0–+7.0W+3.5W+7.0 3-3Game totalsU40.5O44.5U45.5U38.5O44.5O39.5O41.5 4-3

Best prop spots

The softest spots in each defense, and how the props there have done this season.

Dolphins passing vs Detroit

Fire
277pass yds allowed1st most
Most allowedFewest
Props here no results yet

Dolphins TEs vs Detroit

Fire
83TE yds allowed1st most
Most allowedFewest
Props here no results yet

Lions TEs vs Miami

Hot
68TE yds allowed5th most
Most allowedFewest
Props here no results yet

Line movement

Since open
Game lines
SpreadLions−7.0 → −7.0
TotalOver / under50.5 → 50.5
MoneylineLions−360 → −360

Lions offense vs Miami defenseWhat Detroit gains, and what Miami gives up

Points

Hot
29.0Detroit gains3rd
1st32nd
25.9Miami allows9th most
Most allowedFewest

Rush yards

Even
132Detroit gains7th
1st32nd
116Miami allows17th most
Most allowedFewest

Pass yards

Even
264Detroit gains4th
1st32nd
221Miami allows17th most
Most allowedFewest

Total yards

Warm
396Detroit gains1st
1st32nd
337Miami allows16th most
Most allowedFewest

Yards to WRs

Tough
175Detroit gains7th
1st32nd
102Miami allows29th most
Most allowedFewest

EPA per play

Fire
0.113Detroit gains6th
1st32nd
0.131Miami allows1st most
Most allowedFewest

Lions players

OOver UUnder –No line
No posted props for this team yet.

Dolphins offense vs Detroit defenseWhat Miami gains, and what Detroit gives up

Points

Hot
16.7Miami gains31st
1st32nd
25.7Detroit allows10th most
Most allowedFewest

Rush yards

Even
124Miami gains13th
1st32nd
98Detroit allows23rd most
Most allowedFewest

Pass yards

Fire
167Miami gains30th
1st32nd
277Detroit allows1st most
Most allowedFewest

Total yards

Fire
291Miami gains27th
1st32nd
375Detroit allows4th most
Most allowedFewest

Yards to WRs

Fire
64Miami gains31st
1st32nd
166Detroit allows2nd most
Most allowedFewest

EPA per play

Fire
-0.045Miami gains23rd
1st32nd
0.11Detroit allows3rd most
Most allowedFewest

Dolphins players

OOver UUnder –No line
PlayerThis week’s propAvgvs lineWeeks 1 to 8Record
Jalen TolbertWRrec yds 10.5——––––––––—
Jalen TolbertWRreceptions 1.5——––––––––—

Both offenses, quarter by quarter (2026 yards per game)

OffenseQ1Q2Q3Q4
DET passing49.485.677.368.3
DET rushing22.932.038.937.7
MIA passing35.059.429.657.1
MIA rushing35.925.932.928.7

Quarter splits computed from nflverse play-by-play — the data this site exists to publish. Deeper cuts: DET offense · MIA defense · MIA offense · DET defense

Players to watch

DET: Jahmyr Gibbs (RB, 21.5 proj), Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR, 18.9 proj), Jared Goff (QB, 17.9 proj)

MIA: De'Von Achane (RB, 19.5 proj), Malik Willis (QB, 11.4 proj)

FAQ

Who is favored in DET at MIA in Week 9?

DET is favored by 7 points, with an over/under of 50.5.

When do the Detroit Lions play the Miami Dolphins?

Week 9 of the 2026 season: Sunday, 11/8 (2026-11-08), DET at MIA.

Which player props look good in DET at MIA?

No posted-line disagreements yet — player props for this game post closer to kickoff; the quarter tendencies on this page are final.

Methodology: computed from nflverse play-by-play; a quarter's yards are the yards gained on plays snapped in that quarter. Averages use each player's games played, not team games. Updated 2026-11-04.

Open the live model — any player, any line, all four quarters →

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