DET at MIA — Week 9 2026 Preview, Odds & Player Props
DET -7 over MIA with an over/under of 50.5 · Sunday, 11/8. MIA's implied 19.25 points forecast 3.3 red-zone trips; DET projects 5.4. Below: both offenses quarter by quarter, every posted player prop with how it has graded this season, and the players to watch — from play-by-play data nobody else publishes.
What the market expects, and how fast and pass-heavy each team plays.
Team
Exp pts
Season avg
Opp allows
Plays/g
Pass rate
RZ trips
DETLions
28.8−0.2 vs avg
29.0
25.9
66.0
57%
5.4projected
MIADolphins
21.8+5.1 vs avg
16.7
25.7
56.7
52%
3.3projected
Detroit −7.0 with a 50.5 total works out to 28.8 to 21.8. Only Dolphins is forecast to beat their season scoring average. Detroit runs 9.3 more plays a game, so more volume for Lions props.
Recent form
The last 7 games against the spread and against the total.
DETLionsAgainst the spreadL−7.0L+5.5–−7.0L−4.5W−5.5L−3.5W−3.02-4Game totalsO49.5O54.5O49.5O52.5O55.5U55.5U46.55-2
MIADolphinsAgainst the spreadL+3.0L+12.5L+10.0W+10.0–+7.0W+3.5W+7.03-3Game totalsU40.5O44.5U45.5U38.5O44.5O39.5O41.54-3
Best prop spots
The softest spots in each defense, and how the props there have done this season.
Dolphins passing vs Detroit
Fire
277pass yds allowed1st most
Most allowedFewest
Props here no results yet
Dolphins TEs vs Detroit
Fire
83TE yds allowed1st most
Most allowedFewest
Props here no results yet
Lions TEs vs Miami
Hot
68TE yds allowed5th most
Most allowedFewest
Props here no results yet
Line movement
Since open
Game lines
SpreadLions−7.0 → −7.0
TotalOver / under50.5 → 50.5
MoneylineLions−360 → −360
Lions offense vs Miami defenseWhat Detroit gains, and what Miami gives up
Points
Hot
29.0Detroit gains3rd
1st32nd
25.9Miami allows9th most
Most allowedFewest
Rush yards
Even
132Detroit gains7th
1st32nd
116Miami allows17th most
Most allowedFewest
Pass yards
Even
264Detroit gains4th
1st32nd
221Miami allows17th most
Most allowedFewest
Total yards
Warm
396Detroit gains1st
1st32nd
337Miami allows16th most
Most allowedFewest
Yards to WRs
Tough
175Detroit gains7th
1st32nd
102Miami allows29th most
Most allowedFewest
EPA per play
Fire
0.113Detroit gains6th
1st32nd
0.131Miami allows1st most
Most allowedFewest
Lions players
OOver UUnder –No line
No posted props for this team yet.
Dolphins offense vs Detroit defenseWhat Miami gains, and what Detroit gives up
Points
Hot
16.7Miami gains31st
1st32nd
25.7Detroit allows10th most
Most allowedFewest
Rush yards
Even
124Miami gains13th
1st32nd
98Detroit allows23rd most
Most allowedFewest
Pass yards
Fire
167Miami gains30th
1st32nd
277Detroit allows1st most
Most allowedFewest
Total yards
Fire
291Miami gains27th
1st32nd
375Detroit allows4th most
Most allowedFewest
Yards to WRs
Fire
64Miami gains31st
1st32nd
166Detroit allows2nd most
Most allowedFewest
EPA per play
Fire
-0.045Miami gains23rd
1st32nd
0.11Detroit allows3rd most
Most allowedFewest
Dolphins players
OOver UUnder –No line
Player
This week’s prop
Avg
vs line
Weeks 1 to 8
Record
Jalen TolbertWR
rec yds 10.5
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Jalen TolbertWR
receptions 1.5
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Both offenses, quarter by quarter (2026 yards per game)
Methodology: computed from nflverse play-by-play; a quarter's yards are the yards gained on plays snapped in that quarter. Averages use each player's games played, not team games.
Updated 2026-11-04.