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BUF @ MIN

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BUF at MIN — Week 9 2026 Preview, Odds & Player Props

BUF -3.5 over MIN with an over/under of 46.5 · Monday, 11/9. MIN's implied 21.5 points forecast 3.9 red-zone trips; BUF projects 4.3. Below: both offenses quarter by quarter, every posted player prop with how it has graded this season, and the players to watch — from play-by-play data nobody else publishes.

Spread

Money

Total

BUFBills6-1

−3.5open −3.5

−180open −180

O 46.5open 46.5

MINVikings6-1

+3.5open +3.5

+150open +150

U 46.5open 46.5

Mon, Nov 98:15 PM ETWeek 9See all 3 props

OverviewBUFBillsMINVikings

Game environment

What the market expects, and how fast and pass-heavy each team plays.

Team	Exp pts	Season avg	Opp allows	Plays/g	Pass rate	RZ trips
BUFBills	25.0−8.3 vs avg	33.3	13.3	61.3	52%	4.3projected
MINVikings	21.5+1.5 vs avg	20.0	25.9	57.4	53%	3.9projected

Buffalo −3.5 with a 46.5 total works out to 25.0 to 21.5. Only Vikings is forecast to beat their season scoring average. Buffalo runs 3.9 more plays a game, so more volume for Bills props.

Recent form

The last 7 games against the spread and against the total.

BUFBillsAgainst the spreadW−1.5W−5.5W−7.0L−7.0W+3.5L−5.5W−3.0 5-2Game totalsO44.5O54.5U50.5O49.5O55.5O53.5U54.5 5-2

MINVikingsAgainst the spreadW−1.5W+4.5W+1.5L−10.0W−2.5L−6.5L+3.0 4-3Game totalsO46.5U46.5U42.5U38.5U41.5U41.5U46.5 1-6

Best prop spots

The softest spots in each defense, and how the props there have done this season.

Vikings passing vs Buffalo

Fire

255pass yds allowed3rd most

Most allowedFewest

Props here no results yet

Vikings WRs vs Buffalo

Hot

152WR yds allowed6th most

Most allowedFewest

Jordan Addisonrec yds 40.5UUOU––UO2-4

Props here 2 over, 4 under

Bills run game vs Minnesota

Warm

117rush yds allowed16th most

Most allowedFewest

Props here no results yet

Line movement

Since open

Game lines

Player	This week’s prop	Avg	vs line	Weeks 1 to 8	Record
DJ MooreWR	rec yds 48.5	52.0	+3.5	OUOU–––O	3-2 O
DJ MooreWR	receptions 3.5	3.2	−0.3	OUOU–––U	2-3 U

Most allowedFewest

Vikings players

OOver UUnder –No line

Player	This week’s prop	Avg	vs line	Weeks 1 to 8	Record
Jordan AddisonWR	rec yds 40.5	41.5	+1.0	UUOU––UO	2-4 U
Jordan AddisonWR	receptions 3.5	2.7	−0.8	UUOU––UU	1-5 U

Both offenses, quarter by quarter (2026 yards per game)

Offense	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
BUF passing	50.4	79.4	41.3	85.0
BUF rushing	35.0	37.6	20.1	55.7
MIN passing	45.7	57.6	27.3	54.9
MIN rushing	31.0	19.7	28.1	35.0

Quarter splits computed from nflverse play-by-play — the data this site exists to publish. Deeper cuts: BUF offense · MIN defense · MIN offense · BUF defense

Players to watch

BUF: Josh Allen (QB, 23 proj), James Cook (RB, 17.5 proj), DJ Moore (WR, 11.1 proj)

MIN: Kyler Murray (QB, 16.6 proj), Justin Jefferson (WR, 13.6 proj), Jauan Jennings (WR, 12.2 proj)

FAQ

Who is favored in BUF at MIN in Week 9?

BUF is favored by 3.5 points, with an over/under of 46.5.

When do the Buffalo Bills play the Minnesota Vikings?

Week 9 of the 2026 season: Monday, 11/9 (2026-11-09), BUF at MIN.

Which player props look good in BUF at MIN?

No posted-line disagreements yet — player props for this game post closer to kickoff; the quarter tendencies on this page are final.

all week-9 previews · week-9 slate · Hit Tracker · Prop Lab

Methodology: computed from nflverse play-by-play; a quarter's yards are the yards gained on plays snapped in that quarter. Averages use each player's games played, not team games. Updated 2026-11-04.

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