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JAX at BAL — Week 9 2026 Preview, Odds & Player Props

JAX -10 over BAL with an over/under of 42.5 · Thursday, 11/5. BAL's implied 26.5 points forecast 5.1 red-zone trips; JAX projects 4.5. Below: both offenses quarter by quarter, every posted player prop with how it has graded this season, and the players to watch — from play-by-play data nobody else publishes.
Spread
Money
Total
JAXJaguars5-2
−10.0open −10.0
−500open −500
O 42.5open 42.5
BALRavens4-4
+10.0open +10.0
+380open +380
U 42.5open 42.5
Thu, Nov 58:15 PM ETWeek 9See all 271 props

Game environment

What the market expects, and how fast and pass-heavy each team plays.
TeamExp ptsSeason avgOpp allowsPlays/gPass rateRZ trips
JAXJaguars26.2−1.8 vs avg28.025.458.352%4.5projected
BALRavens16.2−6.2 vs avg22.415.959.253%5.1projected
Jacksonville −10.0 with a 42.5 total works out to 26.2 to 16.2. Both teams are forecast to fall short of their season scoring average.

Recent form

The last 7 games against the spread and against the total.
JAXJaguarsAgainst the spreadW−8.5L+2.5W−3.0W+2.5L−7.5L−2.5W−10.0 4-3Game totalsO40.5U45.5U46.5U51.5U41.5O42.5O45.5 3-4
BALRavensAgainst the spreadW−3.0L−8.5–−3.0L−11.5W+3.5L−3.0L+3.0L+3.0 2-5Game totalsO48.5U45.5O54.5U42.5O44.5U39.5O46.5U54.5 4-4

Best prop spots

The softest spots in each defense, and how the props there have done this season.

Ravens WRs vs Jacksonville

Fire
163WR yds allowed3rd most
Most allowedFewest
Zay Flowersrec yds 45.5O–OOUOOU5-2
Rashod Batemanrec yds 16.5UOUOOUOU4-4
Props here 9 over, 6 under

Ravens passing vs Jacksonville

Fire
254pass yds allowed4th most
Most allowedFewest
Joe Fagnanopass yds 166.5––––––––—
Props here no results yet

Jaguars WRs vs Baltimore

Hot
150WR yds allowed7th most
Most allowedFewest
Parker Washingtonrec yds 63.5OOUUOO–U4-3
Jakobi Meyersrec yds 42.5OUOUUO–U3-4
Props here 7 over, 7 under

Line movement

Since open
Game lines
SpreadJaguars−10.0 → −10.0
TotalOver / under42.5 → 42.5
MoneylineJaguars−500 → −500
Biggest prop moves
Zay FlowersRec yds76.5 → 45.5 ▼31
Derrick HenryRush yds82.5 → 70.5 ▼12
Ja'Kobi LaneRec yds27.5 → 16.5 ▼11

Jaguars offense vs Baltimore defenseWhat Jacksonville gains, and what Baltimore gives up

Points

Warm
28.0Jacksonville gains5th
1st32nd
25.4Baltimore allows11th most
Most allowedFewest

Rush yards

Even
124Jacksonville gains12th
1st32nd
103Baltimore allows20th most
Most allowedFewest

Pass yards

Warm
227Jacksonville gains16th
1st32nd
229Baltimore allows12th most
Most allowedFewest

Total yards

Even
351Jacksonville gains10th
1st32nd
332Baltimore allows17th most
Most allowedFewest

Yards to WRs

Hot
133Jacksonville gains15th
1st32nd
150Baltimore allows7th most
Most allowedFewest

EPA per play

Warm
0.161Jacksonville gains3rd
1st32nd
0.013Baltimore allows15th most
Most allowedFewest

Jaguars players

OOver UUnder –No line
PlayerThis week’s propAvgvs lineWeeks 1 to 8Record
Trevor LawrenceQBpass yds 239.5 ▼ from 249.5241.4+1.9OUUUOO–U3-4 U
Bhayshul TutenRBrush yds 67.5 ▲ from 63.570.3+2.8OOOOOU–O6-1 O
Parker WashingtonWRrec yds 63.5 ▼ from 66.561.7−1.8OOUUOO–U4-3 O
Jakobi MeyersWRrec yds 42.5 ▲ from 39.544.1+1.6OUOUUO–U3-4 U
Brenton StrangeTErec yds 32.5 ▼ from 37.547.7+15.2UUUOOO–O4-3 O
Chris Rodriguez Jr.RBrush yds 27.5 ▲ from 24.529.9+2.4UUOOUO–O4-3 O
Josh CameronWRrec yds 15.5 ▲ from 14.521.2+5.7–––OOU–U2-2
Bhayshul TutenRBrec yds 13.5 ▼ from 16.525.9+12.4OUOOOO–O6-1 O
Trevor LawrenceQBrush yds 12.5 ▲ from 11.511.4−1.1UUOUOU–U2-5 U
Brian Thomas Jr.WRrec yds 10.5 ▲ from 9.516.7+6.2OOUUUU–O3-4 U
Travis HunterWRrec yds 7.5 ▼ from 14.513.4+5.9U–UU–O–U1-4 U
Nate BoerkircherTErec yds 7.5 ▼ from 8.519.5+12.0–––––O–O2-0 O
Parker WashingtonWRreceptions 4.53.9−0.6OOUUOU–U3-4 U
Jakobi MeyersWRreceptions 3.53.1−0.4UUOUUO–U2-5 U
Brenton StrangeTEreceptions 3.54.0+0.5UUUOOO–U3-4 U
Bhayshul TutenRBreceptions 2.52.1−0.4UOOOOO–U5-2 O
Brian Thomas Jr.WRreceptions 1.51.4−0.1OOUUUU–U2-5 U
Josh CameronWRreceptions 1.51.2−0.3–––OOU–U2-2
Travis HunterWRreceptions 0.5 ▼ from 1.51.2+0.7U–U––O–U1-3 U
Nate BoerkircherTEreceptions 0.5 ▼ from 1.51.5+1.0–––––O–U1-1

Ravens offense vs Jacksonville defenseWhat Baltimore gains, and what Jacksonville gives up

Points

Tough
22.4Baltimore gains19th
1st32nd
15.9Jacksonville allows31st most
Most allowedFewest

Rush yards

Tough
135Baltimore gains5th
1st32nd
78Jacksonville allows32nd most
Most allowedFewest

Pass yards

Fire
205Baltimore gains21st
1st32nd
254Jacksonville allows4th most
Most allowedFewest

Total yards

Even
340Baltimore gains14th
1st32nd
332Jacksonville allows18th most
Most allowedFewest

Yards to WRs

Fire
135Baltimore gains13th
1st32nd
163Jacksonville allows3rd most
Most allowedFewest

EPA per play

Tough
0.023Baltimore gains14th
1st32nd
-0.099Jacksonville allows29th most
Most allowedFewest

Ravens players

OOver UUnder –No line
PlayerThis week’s propAvgvs lineWeeks 1 to 8Record
Joe FagnanoQBpass yds 166.5——––––––––—
Derrick HenryRBrush yds 70.5 ▼ from 82.579.0+8.5OUUUOUUU2-6 U
Zay FlowersWRrec yds 45.5 ▼ from 76.586.9+41.4O–OOUOOU5-2 O
Mark AndrewsTErec yds 19.5 ▼ from 29.527.2+7.7OOUUUUUU2-6 U
Justice HillRBrush yds 18.5 ▲ from 11.519.4+0.9OUOUOUUO4-4
Rashod BatemanWRrec yds 16.5 ▼ from 25.536.0+19.5UOUOOUOU4-4
Ja'Kobi LaneWRrec yds 16.5 ▼ from 27.522.2+5.7U––––OOU2-2
Justice HillRBrec yds 11.5 ▲ from 10.513.0+1.5OUUOUUOO4-4
Derrick HenryRBrec yds 7.59.4+1.9OOUUOUUU3-5 U
Chris MooreWRrec yds 7.54.0−3.5––U–––––0-1 U
Zay FlowersWRreceptions 3.5 ▼ from 5.55.7+2.2U–OOOOOU5-2 O
Justice HillRBreceptions 2.5 ▲ from 1.52.1−0.4U–UOOOOO5-2 O
Mark AndrewsTEreceptions 2.5 ▼ from 3.53.6+1.1OOUOOUUU4-4
Derrick HenryRBreceptions 1.51.5−0.0OOUOUUUO4-4
Rashod BatemanWRreceptions 1.5 ▼ from 2.52.4+0.9UOUUOUOU3-5 U
Ja'Kobi LaneWRreceptions 1.5 ▼ from 2.52.2+0.7U––––OOU2-2
Chris MooreWRreceptions 0.51.0+0.5––U–––––0-1 U

Both offenses, quarter by quarter (2026 yards per game)

OffenseQ1Q2Q3Q4
JAX passing65.077.763.036.9
JAX rushing32.933.929.726.4
BAL passing56.587.134.844.8
BAL rushing38.533.928.432.8

Quarter splits computed from nflverse play-by-play — the data this site exists to publish. Deeper cuts: JAX offense · BAL defense · BAL offense · JAX defense

Players to watch

JAX: Trevor Lawrence (QB, 19 proj), Jakobi Meyers (WR, 11.9 proj), Brian Thomas Jr. (WR, 11.9 proj)

BAL: Lamar Jackson (QB, 19.3 proj), Derrick Henry (RB, 17.3 proj), Zay Flowers (WR, 13.8 proj)

FAQ

Who is favored in JAX at BAL in Week 9?

JAX is favored by 10 points, with an over/under of 42.5.

When do the Jacksonville Jaguars play the Baltimore Ravens?

Week 9 of the 2026 season: Thursday, 11/5 (2026-11-05), JAX at BAL.

Which player props look good in JAX at BAL?

No posted-line disagreements yet — player props for this game post closer to kickoff; the quarter tendencies on this page are final.

all week-9 previews · week-9 slate · Hit Tracker · Prop Lab

Methodology: computed from nflverse play-by-play; a quarter's yards are the yards gained on plays snapped in that quarter. Averages use each player's games played, not team games. Updated 2026-11-04.

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