WeeklyHeater

SF at DAL — Week 10 2026 Preview, Odds & Player Props

SF -3.5 over DAL with an over/under of 55.5 · Sunday, 11/15. DAL's implied 25.5 points forecast 4.8 red-zone trips; SF projects 4.2. Below: both offenses quarter by quarter, every posted player prop with how it has graded this season, and the players to watch — from play-by-play data nobody else publishes.
Spread
Money
Total
SF49ers7-1
−3.5open −3.5
−205open −205
O 55.5open 55.5
DALCowboys4-5
+3.5open +3.5
+170open +170
U 55.5open 55.5
Sun, Nov 154:25 PM ETWeek 10

Game environment

What the market expects, and how fast and pass-heavy each team plays.
TeamExp ptsSeason avgOpp allowsPlays/gPass rateRZ trips
SF49ers29.5+0.1 vs avg29.426.258.452%4.2projected
DALCowboys26.0−1.3 vs avg27.319.565.060%4.8projected
San Francisco −3.5 with a 55.5 total works out to 29.5 to 26.0. Only 49ers is forecast to beat their season scoring average. Dallas runs 6.6 more plays a game, so more volume for Cowboys props.

Recent form

The last 8 games against the spread and against the total.
SF49ersAgainst the spreadW+3.5W−12.5L−7.5W−3.0W+3.0L−7.5L−2.5W−8.5 5-3Game totalsU47.5O44.5O48.5U48.5O46.5U52.5U49.5O51.5 4-4
DALCowboysAgainst the spreadL−3.0W−4.5–+3.0W+3.0L−9.5L−1.5W−4.5L−7.0L−4.5 3-5Game totalsO47.5O51.5O54.5O48.5U49.5U54.5O43.5O54.5U51.5 6-3

Best prop spots

The softest spots in each defense, and how the props there have done this season.

49ers run game vs Dallas

Fire
148rush yds allowed2nd most
Most allowedFewest
Props here no results yet

49ers WRs vs Dallas

Hot
146WR yds allowed10th most
Most allowedFewest
Props here no results yet

Cowboys TEs vs San Francisco

Hot
56TE yds allowed10th most
Most allowedFewest
Props here no results yet

Line movement

Since open
Game lines
Spread49ers−3.5 → −3.5
TotalOver / under55.5 → 55.5
Moneyline49ers−205 → −205

49ers offense vs Dallas defenseWhat San Francisco gains, and what Dallas gives up

Points

Hot
29.4San Francisco gains3rd
1st32nd
26.2Dallas allows8th most
Most allowedFewest

Rush yards

Fire
136San Francisco gains7th
1st32nd
148Dallas allows2nd most
Most allowedFewest

Pass yards

Warm
242San Francisco gains11th
1st32nd
225Dallas allows15th most
Most allowedFewest

Total yards

Fire
378San Francisco gains6th
1st32nd
374Dallas allows3rd most
Most allowedFewest

Yards to WRs

Hot
138San Francisco gains13th
1st32nd
146Dallas allows10th most
Most allowedFewest

EPA per play

Fire
0.18San Francisco gains1st
1st32nd
0.091Dallas allows3rd most
Most allowedFewest

49ers players

OOver UUnder –No line
No posted props for this team yet.

Cowboys offense vs San Francisco defenseWhat Dallas gains, and what San Francisco gives up

Points

Tough
27.3Dallas gains6th
1st32nd
19.5San Francisco allows27th most
Most allowedFewest

Rush yards

Tough
104Dallas gains21st
1st32nd
82San Francisco allows31st most
Most allowedFewest

Pass yards

Tough
257Dallas gains6th
1st32nd
211San Francisco allows26th most
Most allowedFewest

Total yards

Tough
361Dallas gains10th
1st32nd
293San Francisco allows30th most
Most allowedFewest

Yards to WRs

Even
214Dallas gains1st
1st32nd
115San Francisco allows22nd most
Most allowedFewest

EPA per play

Tough
0.097Dallas gains7th
1st32nd
-0.073San Francisco allows25th most
Most allowedFewest

Cowboys players

OOver UUnder –No line
PlayerThis week’s propAvgvs lineWeeks 1 to 10Record
George PickensWRrec yds 62.566.6+4.1UUOOOOUU––4-4
Malik DavisRBrush yds 12.5——––––––––––—
Emari DemercadoRBrush yds 7.57.5−0.0UU––––––––0-2 U
George PickensWRreceptions 4.54.9+0.4UOOUOOUU––4-4

Both offenses, quarter by quarter (2026 yards per game)

OffenseQ1Q2Q3Q4
SF passing69.157.860.660.0
SF rushing34.541.424.435.0
DAL passing46.163.365.389.8
DAL rushing27.725.624.725.7

Quarter splits computed from nflverse play-by-play — the data this site exists to publish. Deeper cuts: SF offense · DAL defense · DAL offense · SF defense

Players to watch

SF: Christian McCaffrey (RB, 22.5 proj), Brock Purdy (QB, 20.8 proj), George Kittle (TE, 14.6 proj)

DAL: CeeDee Lamb (WR, 20.1 proj), Dak Prescott (QB, 18.4 proj), Javonte Williams (RB, 16.8 proj)

FAQ

Who is favored in SF at DAL in Week 10?

SF is favored by 3.5 points, with an over/under of 55.5.

When do the San Francisco 49ers play the Dallas Cowboys?

Week 10 of the 2026 season: Sunday, 11/15 (2026-11-15), SF at DAL.

Which player props look good in SF at DAL?

No posted-line disagreements yet — player props for this game post closer to kickoff; the quarter tendencies on this page are final.

Methodology: computed from nflverse play-by-play; a quarter's yards are the yards gained on plays snapped in that quarter. Averages use each player's games played, not team games. Updated 2026-11-13.

Open the live model — any player, any line, all four quarters →

llms.txt