HOU at CLE — Week 10 2026 Preview, Odds & Player Props
HOU -4.5 over CLE with an over/under of 40.5 · Sunday, 11/15. CLE's implied 16.5 points forecast 2.6 red-zone trips ; HOU projects 4.0. Below: both offenses quarter by quarter, every posted player prop with how it has graded this season, and the players to watch — from play-by-play data nobody else publishes.
Spread
Money
Total
HOU Texans 3-5
−4.5open −4.5
−225open −230
O 40.5open 39.5
CLE Browns 5-4
+4.5open +4.5
+185open +190
U 40.5open 39.5
Overview HOU TexansCLE Browns
Game environment What the market expects, and how fast and pass-heavy each team plays. Team Exp pts Season avg Opp allows Plays/g Pass rate RZ trips HOU Texans 22.5 −3.6 vs avg 26.1 21.8 61.1 61% 4.0projected CLE Browns 18.0 +0.1 vs avg 17.9 24.0 60.8 59% 2.6projected
Houston −4.5 with a 40.5 total works out to 22.5 to 18.0. Only Browns is forecast to beat their season scoring average.
Recent form The last 8 games against the spread and against the total. HOU Texans Against the spread L +1.5 L −3.0 L −1.5 L −3.0 W −6.5 W +2.5 L −10.0 W −5.5 3-5 Game totals O 44.5 U 45.5 U 41.5 O 48.5 U 37.5 O 42.5 O 42.5 O 40.5 5-3 CLE Browns Against the spread L +8.5 W +8.5 W +2.5 W +2.5 L +2.5 W +3.0 W −1.5 L +3.5 W +5.5 6-3 Game totals O 40.5 O 41.5 U 41.5 O 38.5 U 38.5 U 39.5 O 36.5 U 38.5 O 43.5 5-4 Best prop spots The softest spots in each defense, and how the props there have done this season.
Browns WRs vs Houston Fire 176 WR yds allowed 1st most
Props here no results yet
Texans run game vs Cleveland Hot 131 rush yds allowed 6th most
Props here no results yet
Browns passing vs Houston Hot 236 pass yds allowed 6th most
Props here no results yet
Line movement Since open Game lines Spread Texans −4.5 → −4.5
Total Over / under 39.5 → 40.5 ▲1
Moneyline Texans −230 → −225 ▲5
Texans offense vs Cleveland defenseWhat Houston gains, and what Cleveland gives up
Points Even 21.8 Cleveland allows 20th most
Rush yards Hot 131 Cleveland allows 6th most
Pass yards Tough 201 Cleveland allows 27th most
Total yards Warm 332 Cleveland allows 16th most
Yards to WRs Even 113 Cleveland allows 23rd most
EPA per play Even -0.02 Cleveland allows 21st most
Texans players O Over U Under – No linePlayer This week’s prop Avg vs line Weeks 1 to 10 Record Nico Collins WR rec yds 69.5 64.0 −5.5 O – – O U O U – U – 3-3 Marvin Harrison Jr. WR rec yds 34.5 20.7 −13.8 U U O U – O U – U – 2-5 U Nico Collins WR receptions 5.5 4.7 −0.8 O – – O U U U – U – 2-4 U Marvin Harrison Jr. WR receptions 2.5 1.6 −0.9 U U O U – O U – U – 2-5 U
Browns offense vs Houston defenseWhat Cleveland gains, and what Houston gives up
Points Warm 24.0 Houston allows 15th most
Rush yards Even 103 Houston allows 21st most
Pass yards Hot 236 Houston allows 6th most
Total yards Warm 339 Houston allows 14th most
Yards to WRs Fire 176 Houston allows 1st most
EPA per play Warm -0.084 Cleveland gains 26th 0.003 Houston allows 16th most
Browns players O Over U Under – No linePlayer This week’s prop Avg vs line Weeks 1 to 10 Record Quinshon Judkins RB rush yds 46.5 48.1 +1.6 U U O U U – O U U – 2-6 U Quinshon Judkins RB rec yds 15.5 17.0 +1.5 O O U O U – U O U – 4-4 Quinshon Judkins RB receptions 2.5 2.8 +0.3 O O U O O – U O U – 5-3 O
Both offenses, quarter by quarter (2026 yards per game)
Offense Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 HOU passing 59.4 86.5 50.2 86.1 HOU rushing 19.5 21.6 25.0 21.0 CLE passing 26.6 65.6 40.0 101.8 CLE rushing 19.6 25.4 20.6 31.8
Quarter splits computed from nflverse play-by-play — the
data this site exists to publish. Deeper cuts: HOU
offense · CLE defense ·
CLE offense ·
HOU defense
Players to watch HOU: C.J. Stroud (QB, 18.5 proj), Nico Collins (WR, 15.2 proj), Dalton Schultz (TE, 9.6 proj)
CLE: Deshaun Watson (QB, 15.1 proj), Harold Fannin Jr. (TE, 11.7 proj), Quinshon Judkins (RB, 11.7 proj)
FAQ Who is favored in HOU at CLE in Week 10? HOU is favored by 4.5 points, with an over/under of 40.5.
When do the Houston Texans play the Cleveland Browns? Week 10 of the 2026 season: Sunday, 11/15 (2026-11-15), HOU at CLE.
Which player props look good in HOU at CLE? No posted-line disagreements yet — player props for this game post closer to kickoff; the quarter tendencies on this page are final.
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