WeeklyHeater

LA at ARI — Week 10 2026 Preview, Odds & Player Props

LA -9.5 over ARI with an over/under of 39.5 · Sunday, 11/15. ARI's implied 17 points forecast 2.7 red-zone trips; LA projects 4.9. Below: both offenses quarter by quarter, every posted player prop with how it has graded this season, and the players to watch — from play-by-play data nobody else publishes.
Spread
Money
Total
LARams5-4
−9.5open −9.5
−500open −470
O 39.5open 40.5
ARICardinals3-6
+9.5open +9.5
+380open +360
U 39.5open 40.5
Sun, Nov 154:05 PM ETWeek 10

Game environment

What the market expects, and how fast and pass-heavy each team plays.
TeamExp ptsSeason avgOpp allowsPlays/gPass rateRZ trips
LARams24.5+0.7 vs avg23.828.366.061%4.9projected
ARICardinals15.0−4.8 vs avg19.820.166.763%2.7projected
LA −9.5 with a 39.5 total works out to 24.5 to 15.0. Only Rams is forecast to beat their season scoring average.

Recent form

The last 9 games against the spread and against the total.
LARamsAgainst the spreadL−3.5W−6.5L−1.5W−3.5L−3.5L−12.5W−3.5W−6.5W−4.5 5-4Game totalsU47.5U47.5O43.5O42.5O55.5U51.5O49.5U46.5U48.5 4-5
ARICardinalsAgainst the spreadW+8.5L+3.5W+7.5L−2.5L+5.5W+12.5L+4.5W+7.0L+8.5 4-5Game totalsU47.5U40.5O48.5O44.5O55.5U51.5O44.5O54.5U39.5 5-4

Best prop spots

The softest spots in each defense, and how the props there have done this season.

Rams run game vs Arizona

Warm
123rush yds allowed13th most
Most allowedFewest
Props here no results yet

Rams TEs vs Arizona

Warm
51TE yds allowed13th most
Most allowedFewest
Props here no results yet

Cardinals TEs vs LA

Warm
49TE yds allowed16th most
Most allowedFewest
Props here no results yet

Line movement

Since open
Game lines
SpreadRams−9.5 → −9.5
TotalOver / under40.5 → 39.5 ▼1
MoneylineRams−470 → −500 ▼30

Rams offense vs Arizona defenseWhat LA gains, and what Arizona gives up

Points

Fire
23.8LA gains13th
1st32nd
28.3Arizona allows2nd most
Most allowedFewest

Rush yards

Warm
126LA gains9th
1st32nd
123Arizona allows13th most
Most allowedFewest

Pass yards

Even
254LA gains7th
1st32nd
215Arizona allows20th most
Most allowedFewest

Total yards

Warm
381LA gains5th
1st32nd
338Arizona allows15th most
Most allowedFewest

Yards to WRs

Warm
163LA gains9th
1st32nd
141Arizona allows15th most
Most allowedFewest

EPA per play

Hot
0.041LA gains10th
1st32nd
0.073Arizona allows7th most
Most allowedFewest

Rams players

OOver UUnder –No line
PlayerThis week’s propAvgvs lineWeeks 1 to 10Record
Puka NacuaWRrec yds 87.5102.1+14.6U––OOUUUO–3-4 U
Puka NacuaWRreceptions 6.510.0+3.5U––OOUOOO–5-2 O

Cardinals offense vs LA defenseWhat Arizona gains, and what LA gives up

Points

Tough
19.8Arizona gains26th
1st32nd
20.1LA allows25th most
Most allowedFewest

Rush yards

Even
103Arizona gains22nd
1st32nd
104LA allows20th most
Most allowedFewest

Pass yards

Tough
215Arizona gains18th
1st32nd
199LA allows28th most
Most allowedFewest

Total yards

Tough
318Arizona gains22nd
1st32nd
303LA allows28th most
Most allowedFewest

Yards to WRs

Tough
113Arizona gains20th
1st32nd
106LA allows27th most
Most allowedFewest

EPA per play

Tough
-0.036Arizona gains21st
1st32nd
-0.111LA allows29th most
Most allowedFewest

Cardinals players

OOver UUnder –No line
No posted props for this team yet.

Both offenses, quarter by quarter (2026 yards per game)

OffenseQ1Q2Q3Q4
LA passing42.377.160.285.6
LA rushing25.231.135.333.7
ARI passing47.153.954.275.9
ARI rushing37.616.622.426.1

Quarter splits computed from nflverse play-by-play — the data this site exists to publish. Deeper cuts: LA offense · ARI defense · ARI offense · LA defense

Players to watch

LA: Puka Nacua (WR, 24.4 proj), Matthew Stafford (QB, 17.8 proj), Kyren Williams (RB, 16.8 proj)

ARI: Trey McBride (TE, 18.3 proj), Michael Wilson (WR, 13.2 proj), Tyler Allgeier (RB, 8.9 proj)

FAQ

Who is favored in LA at ARI in Week 10?

LA is favored by 9.5 points, with an over/under of 39.5.

When do the Los Angeles Rams play the Arizona Cardinals?

Week 10 of the 2026 season: Sunday, 11/15 (2026-11-15), LA at ARI.

Which player props look good in LA at ARI?

No posted-line disagreements yet — player props for this game post closer to kickoff; the quarter tendencies on this page are final.

Methodology: computed from nflverse play-by-play; a quarter's yards are the yards gained on plays snapped in that quarter. Averages use each player's games played, not team games. Updated 2026-11-13.

Open the live model — any player, any line, all four quarters →

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