WeeklyHeater

LAC at BAL — Week 10 2026 Preview, Odds & Player Props

BAL -4.5 over LAC with an over/under of 38.5 · Monday, 11/16. BAL's implied 26.5 points forecast 5.1 red-zone trips; LAC projects 5.6. Below: both offenses quarter by quarter, every posted player prop with how it has graded this season, and the players to watch — from play-by-play data nobody else publishes.
Spread
Money
Total
LACChargers0-8
+4.5open +5.5
+190open +185
O 38.5open 38.5
BALRavens4-5
−4.5open −5.5
−230open −225
U 38.5open 38.5
Mon, Nov 168:15 PM ETWeek 10

Game environment

What the market expects, and how fast and pass-heavy each team plays.
TeamExp ptsSeason avgOpp allowsPlays/gPass rateRZ trips
LACChargers17.0+1.9 vs avg15.126.262.155%5.6projected
BALRavens21.5+0.5 vs avg21.027.458.751%5.1projected
Baltimore −4.5 with a 38.5 total works out to 17.0 to 21.5. Both teams are forecast to beat their season scoring average. LA runs 3.4 more plays a game, so more volume for Chargers props.

Recent form

The last 8 games against the spread and against the total.
LACChargersAgainst the spreadL−8.5L−6.5L+7.0–+7.0L+3.5L+7.5L+6.5L+5.5 0-7Game totalsU47.5U43.5U50.5O42.5U42.5U41.5U46.5O40.5 2-6
BALRavensAgainst the spreadW−3.0L−8.5–−3.0L−11.5W+3.5L−3.0L+3.0L+3.0L+8.5 2-6Game totalsO48.5U45.5O54.5U42.5O44.5U39.5O46.5U54.5O40.5 5-4

Best prop spots

The softest spots in each defense, and how the props there have done this season.

Ravens WRs vs LA

Fire
154WR yds allowed3rd most
Most allowedFewest
Chris Moorerec yds 7.5––U–––––––0-1
Props here 0 over, 1 under

Chargers WRs vs Baltimore

Hot
148WR yds allowed7th most
Most allowedFewest
Ladd McConkeyrec yds 52.5OUOU–U–O––3-3
Props here 3 over, 3 under

Chargers passing vs Baltimore

Hot
230pass yds allowed10th most
Most allowedFewest
Props here no results yet

Line movement

Since open
Game lines
SpreadChargers+5.5 → +4.5 ▼1
TotalOver / under38.5 → 38.5
MoneylineChargers+185 → +190 ▲5

Chargers offense vs Baltimore defenseWhat LA gains, and what Baltimore gives up

Points

Hot
15.1LA gains32nd
1st32nd
26.2Baltimore allows7th most
Most allowedFewest

Rush yards

Even
114LA gains16th
1st32nd
101Baltimore allows22nd most
Most allowedFewest

Pass yards

Hot
177LA gains26th
1st32nd
230Baltimore allows10th most
Most allowedFewest

Total yards

Even
292LA gains26th
1st32nd
331Baltimore allows17th most
Most allowedFewest

Yards to WRs

Hot
121LA gains18th
1st32nd
148Baltimore allows7th most
Most allowedFewest

EPA per play

Warm
-0.245LA gains32nd
1st32nd
0.017Baltimore allows14th most
Most allowedFewest

Chargers players

OOver UUnder –No line
PlayerThis week’s propAvgvs lineWeeks 1 to 10Record
Ladd McConkeyWRrec yds 52.547.7−4.8OUOU–U–O––3-3
Ladd McConkeyWRreceptions 4.52.8−1.7OUUU–U–O––2-4 U

Ravens offense vs LA defenseWhat Baltimore gains, and what LA gives up

Points

Hot
21.0Baltimore gains22nd
1st32nd
27.4LA allows5th most
Most allowedFewest

Rush yards

Warm
139Baltimore gains4th
1st32nd
124LA allows12th most
Most allowedFewest

Pass yards

Even
188Baltimore gains23rd
1st32nd
221LA allows19th most
Most allowedFewest

Total yards

Warm
327Baltimore gains19th
1st32nd
345LA allows13th most
Most allowedFewest

Yards to WRs

Fire
123Baltimore gains15th
1st32nd
154LA allows3rd most
Most allowedFewest

EPA per play

Even
-0.015Baltimore gains17th
1st32nd
0.003LA allows17th most
Most allowedFewest

Ravens players

OOver UUnder –No line
PlayerThis week’s propAvgvs lineWeeks 1 to 10Record
Chris MooreWRrec yds 7.54.0−3.5––U–––––––0-1 U
Chris MooreWRreceptions 0.51.0+0.5––U–––––––0-1 U

Both offenses, quarter by quarter (2026 yards per game)

OffenseQ1Q2Q3Q4
LAC passing33.149.057.961.9
LAC rushing22.835.529.027.2
BAL passing50.780.032.741.3
BAL rushing38.734.126.238.8

Quarter splits computed from nflverse play-by-play — the data this site exists to publish. Deeper cuts: LAC offense · BAL defense · BAL offense · LAC defense

Players to watch

LAC: Justin Herbert (QB, 13.6 proj), Omarion Hampton (RB, 10.4 proj), Ladd McConkey (WR, 9.9 proj)

BAL: Derrick Henry (RB, 15.9 proj), Zay Flowers (WR, 15.2 proj), Jacoby Brissett (QB, 14.8 proj)

FAQ

Who is favored in LAC at BAL in Week 10?

BAL is favored by 4.5 points, with an over/under of 38.5.

When do the Los Angeles Chargers play the Baltimore Ravens?

Week 10 of the 2026 season: Monday, 11/16 (2026-11-16), LAC at BAL.

Which player props look good in LAC at BAL?

No posted-line disagreements yet — player props for this game post closer to kickoff; the quarter tendencies on this page are final.

Methodology: computed from nflverse play-by-play; a quarter's yards are the yards gained on plays snapped in that quarter. Averages use each player's games played, not team games. Updated 2026-11-13.

Open the live model — any player, any line, all four quarters →

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