Drive efficiency, first-quarter scoring and in-game win probability for 16 FBS teams in college football week 11, 2026. Western Michigan averaged 55.6 yards per drive, the most in the country. The biggest comeback: Miami (OH) trailed by 17 and beat Ohio 34–17.
Every team that trailed and still won, ranked by how far behind they fell. Win probability is ESPN's live model at the winner's lowest valid point; treat it as colour, not gospel.
| Winner | Result | Deficit | Low win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami (OH) | beat Ohio 34–17 | down 17 | 8.1% |
| Bowling Green | beat Kent State 33–28 | down 7 | 20.9% |
| Buffalo | beat Ball State 28–7 | down 7 | 38.0% |
| Louisiana | beat UL Monroe 42–21 | down 7 | 65.8% |
| Memphis | beat South Florida 52–41 | down 3 | 33.3% |
First-quarter points scored and allowed per game, then points by quarter. Sorted by first-quarter margin.
| Team | Q1 for | Q1 against | Q1 margin | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Gm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis | 21.0 | 0.0 | +21.0 | 21.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 1 |
| Western Michigan | 7.0 | 0.0 | +7.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 1 |
| Ohio | 7.0 | 0.0 | +7.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Ball State | 7.0 | 0.0 | +7.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Central Michigan | 7.0 | 0.0 | +7.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 1 |
| Toledo | 7.0 | 0.0 | +7.0 | 7.0 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Bowling Green | 7.0 | 7.0 | +0.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 1 |
| Kent State | 7.0 | 7.0 | +0.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 1 |
| UL Monroe | 7.0 | 7.0 | +0.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 1 |
| Louisiana | 7.0 | 7.0 | +0.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 14.0 | 1 |
| Akron | 0.0 | 7.0 | -7.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 1 |
| Miami (OH) | 0.0 | 7.0 | -7.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 20.0 | 1 |
| Buffalo | 0.0 | 7.0 | -7.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 1 |
| Sacramento State | 0.0 | 7.0 | -7.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Massachusetts | 0.0 | 7.0 | -7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 |
| South Florida | 0.0 | 21.0 | -21.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 21.0 | 3.0 | 1 |
Per-drive rates, so teams that played twice stay comparable. Time of possession is minutes per game on offence.
| Team | Yds/drive | Plays/drive | Score% | TD% | 3rd down | RZ trips/gm | TOP | TO/gm | Gm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Michigan | 55.6 | 8.0 | 60% | 60% | 67% | 4.0 | 42.7 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Central Michigan | 49.6 | 8.4 | 44% | 44% | 41% | 3.0 | 39.8 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Memphis | 42.3 | 5.0 | 57% | 50% | 33% | 5.0 | 22.4 | 0.0 | 1 |
| South Florida | 39.1 | 6.1 | 47% | 33% | 25% | 7.0 | 37.5 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Louisiana | 35.4 | 5.1 | 56% | 56% | 20% | 5.0 | 24.1 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Kent State | 34.5 | 5.4 | 31% | 31% | 30% | 3.0 | 30.2 | 0.0 | 1 |
| UL Monroe | 33.5 | 7.2 | 36% | 27% | 47% | 5.0 | 35.2 | 3.0 | 1 |
| Toledo | 32.2 | 5.7 | 25% | 17% | 31% | 3.0 | 34.5 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Ball State | 32.1 | 7.5 | 0% | 0% | 26% | 0.0 | 27.7 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Miami (OH) | 28.1 | 4.6 | 38% | 23% | 18% | 4.0 | 24.2 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Buffalo | 27.3 | 5.1 | 38% | 31% | 33% | 2.0 | 31.9 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Ohio | 24.7 | 5.1 | 25% | 12% | 15% | 4.0 | 35.3 | 2.0 | 1 |
| Bowling Green | 23.5 | 4.2 | 40% | 27% | 31% | 2.0 | 29.2 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Sacramento State | 22.1 | 4.5 | 10% | 10% | 27% | 1.0 | 19.9 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Akron | 21.1 | 3.7 | 20% | 20% | 12% | 0.0 | 16.4 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Massachusetts | 13.6 | 4.9 | 8% | 0% | 17% | 0.0 | 25.1 | 1.0 | 1 |
Drive data covers 8 games, week 11. A red-zone trip is any drive reaching the opponent's 20. Third-down rate is conversions per attempt. Time of possession counts only drives credited to that offence.