THE COLLEGE EFFICIENCY BOARD

WEEK 2 · 2026 · drives, quarters, comebacks · built 2026-09-13 05:18 UTC

Drive efficiency, first-quarter scoring and in-game win probability for 124 FBS teams in college football week 2, 2026. NC State averaged 60.2 yards per drive, the most in the country. The biggest comeback: Texas trailed by 20 and beat Ohio State 24–23.

The comebacks — biggest deficits erased

Every team that trailed and still won, ranked by how far behind they fell. Win probability is ESPN's live model at the winner's lowest valid point; treat it as colour, not gospel.

WinnerResult DeficitLow win prob
Texasbeat Ohio State 24–23down 201.2%
Ohiobeat Jacksonville State 29–27down 140.0%
Boise Statebeat Memphis 38–20down 1424.4%
Californiabeat Syracuse 21–18down 127.0%
UABbeat UL Monroe 26–20down 1133.5%
South Floridabeat Army 28–24down 100.1%
Dukebeat Illinois 31–27down 1016.0%
UTSAbeat Texas State 31–26down 1017.0%
Central Michiganbeat Colgate 13–10down 1023.7%
Tulanebeat South Alabama 28–24down 1032.5%
Iowabeat Iowa State 16–13down 1054.2%
Wake Forestbeat Purdue 38–36down 710.8%

Fast starts — first-quarter scoring

First-quarter points scored and allowed per game, then points by quarter. Sorted by first-quarter margin.

TeamQ1 for Q1 againstQ1 marginQ1Q2Q3 Q4Gm
Houston28.00.0+28.028.021.021.07.01
Miami21.00.0+21.021.028.028.00.01
Virginia21.00.0+21.021.07.014.017.01
NC State21.00.0+21.021.028.014.010.01
Georgia21.00.0+21.021.028.014.07.01
West Virginia21.00.0+21.021.07.017.07.01
Notre Dame21.00.0+21.021.021.010.00.01
Indiana20.00.0+20.020.021.014.00.01
James Madison21.03.0+18.021.021.024.021.01
Massachusetts17.00.0+17.017.06.014.00.01
Auburn17.00.0+17.017.010.016.00.01
Boston College14.00.0+14.014.06.00.08.01
Louisville17.03.0+14.017.014.014.014.01
Virginia Tech17.03.0+14.017.017.03.07.01
Miami (OH)14.00.0+14.014.028.03.00.01
Vanderbilt14.00.0+14.014.00.021.00.01
Colorado21.07.0+14.021.021.03.07.01
SMU14.00.0+14.014.028.07.07.01
Baylor17.03.0+14.017.017.07.03.01
Nebraska14.00.0+14.014.021.00.021.01
Wisconsin17.03.0+14.017.06.07.06.01
Missouri State14.00.0+14.014.020.014.00.01
North Texas13.00.0+13.013.07.014.010.01
Mississippi State14.03.0+11.014.014.03.07.01
Toledo14.03.0+11.014.021.021.07.01
Florida International14.03.0+11.014.07.09.03.01
Ohio State10.00.0+10.010.010.03.00.01
Colorado State17.07.0+10.017.031.03.07.01
South Alabama10.00.0+10.010.00.07.07.01
LSU10.00.0+10.010.00.014.021.01
Liberty14.06.0+8.014.03.00.07.01
Michigan7.00.0+7.07.03.00.07.01
North Carolina7.00.0+7.07.014.014.00.01
South Florida7.00.0+7.07.00.07.014.01
Florida10.03.0+7.010.035.07.00.01
Michigan State7.00.0+7.07.07.014.07.01
UTSA7.00.0+7.07.00.010.014.01
UL Monroe7.00.0+7.07.010.03.00.01
Akron7.00.0+7.07.014.010.014.01
Ball State7.00.0+7.07.014.00.020.01

Drive efficiency

Per-drive rates, so teams that played twice stay comparable. Time of possession is minutes per game on offence.

TeamYds/drive Plays/driveScore%TD%3rd down RZ trips/gmTOPTO/gmGm
NC State60.25.892%83%62%8.037.70.01
Cincinnati58.67.382%82%58%7.032.50.01
Miami58.24.980%73%33%11.037.01.01
Mississippi State56.67.878%56%50%4.030.21.01
Boise State55.47.650%40%35%4.039.90.01
Miami (OH)53.96.975%62%44%4.038.30.01
Auburn53.58.055%36%39%5.032.51.01
Nebraska52.56.770%70%44%4.031.40.01
Houston51.25.392%92%78%10.038.30.01
Indiana51.16.270%70%33%6.033.50.01
Michigan State50.67.956%56%60%6.031.41.01
Louisville49.25.269%62%56%7.028.60.01
Memphis49.25.045%18%8%4.020.11.01
Penn State48.47.156%33%38%5.028.80.01
Missouri State48.26.658%58%37%6.034.10.01
TCU48.04.957%57%14%7.029.41.01
Wake Forest47.47.978%44%36%5.027.60.01
James Madison47.35.283%75%40%7.022.30.01
North Carolina46.26.056%56%33%4.026.30.01
Notre Dame46.26.670%60%53%7.032.30.01
Arkansas State45.87.275%62%56%5.031.90.01
Akron45.36.664%55%31%5.034.91.01
Colorado State45.04.867%47%44%5.026.70.01
South Alabama44.77.440%30%53%3.037.50.01
West Virginia44.45.375%58%46%4.025.31.01
Illinois44.37.956%33%46%3.033.11.01
Florida43.55.755%45%40%4.028.30.01
Purdue42.97.864%36%37%7.032.20.01
SMU42.84.462%62%33%7.024.11.01
South Carolina42.75.842%33%44%4.025.91.01
Toledo42.55.969%62%35%5.033.81.01
San José State42.17.555%27%13%3.030.61.01
Texas State41.56.942%25%45%6.031.61.01
Kansas State41.46.358%33%56%6.034.32.01
Ole Miss40.96.070%50%25%5.022.70.01
Tulane40.95.240%40%38%3.022.10.01
Duke40.26.456%44%18%4.026.70.01
UAB40.18.067%22%53%1.031.81.01
UTEP40.14.667%50%18%4.023.21.01
Wisconsin39.65.660%30%33%1.024.70.01
Georgia State39.46.655%27%35%4.037.71.01
Virginia39.35.267%58%33%8.028.00.01
Colorado39.35.457%50%19%3.029.70.01
Jacksonville State38.95.743%29%50%9.028.31.01
Maryland38.36.246%38%33%6.035.50.01
Army38.07.044%33%21%3.035.71.01
Oklahoma State38.05.860%27%15%8.036.92.01
Virginia Tech37.88.164%36%36%7.038.30.01
Kent State37.86.142%33%57%4.037.11.01
South Florida37.75.540%40%50%2.024.20.01
Baylor37.66.357%36%41%5.032.63.01
Florida Atlantic36.86.658%42%47%3.033.70.01
Tulsa36.66.736%27%18%3.030.00.01
Florida International36.45.643%29%30%4.036.41.01
Tennessee36.26.164%55%42%3.028.81.01
Georgia Tech35.76.536%18%57%4.031.12.01
Massachusetts35.55.250%38%25%3.024.90.01
North Texas35.05.867%42%53%6.032.20.01
Ball State34.85.454%38%23%5.033.00.01
Navy34.45.033%33%27%2.026.12.01
BYU34.15.640%40%40%5.026.30.01
Syracuse34.17.038%15%45%5.034.11.01
Sam Houston33.76.127%18%33%1.029.30.01
Ohio State33.56.145%18%38%5.028.50.01
UTSA33.56.845%36%18%4.028.10.01
Western Michigan33.34.454%54%55%5.028.10.01
LSU33.25.960%33%40%10.034.14.01
Rutgers33.16.227%27%27%4.034.52.01
Missouri33.05.350%43%37%7.031.33.01
Oregon State32.65.229%21%29%3.029.91.01
Boston College32.25.242%25%24%4.025.52.01
Georgia32.14.053%53%38%5.028.41.01
Texas31.97.236%27%37%4.031.32.01
Charlotte31.96.530%0%29%3.037.22.01
Middle Tennessee31.56.536%18%11%3.032.81.01
Troy31.35.546%31%19%4.031.20.01
East Carolina31.25.731%23%15%5.023.90.01
Alabama31.15.567%33%42%6.032.21.01
Coastal Carolina31.15.050%43%31%4.029.80.01
Arizona30.76.330%20%50%3.033.61.01
New Mexico30.64.259%59%36%6.033.40.01
Northern Illinois30.36.136%18%26%5.028.61.01
UL Monroe29.96.540%20%23%4.027.91.01
UCLA29.85.533%33%42%4.034.91.01
Minnesota29.77.222%0%29%2.029.50.01
Washington29.46.533%8%33%4.035.10.01
Kennesaw State29.35.227%18%15%3.021.60.01
Temple29.26.322%11%29%2.033.02.01
Oklahoma29.05.718%9%29%1.026.72.01
App State28.15.436%21%29%5.035.90.01
Vanderbilt26.94.936%21%22%6.028.41.01
Delaware26.25.438%15%16%3.031.32.01
Washington State25.64.60%0%17%1.025.72.01
Arizona State24.94.643%14%13%2.030.03.01
Ohio24.36.945%18%37%5.031.31.01
Iowa24.05.636%9%20%2.029.70.01
Texas Tech23.75.436%36%32%3.029.20.01
Michigan23.65.427%18%31%3.033.20.01
California23.65.117%17%19%2.025.80.01
Pittsburgh23.46.117%8%26%2.036.10.01
UNLV23.06.217%0%47%3.027.62.01
Marshall22.84.738%23%22%5.027.01.01
Utah State22.84.817%17%38%1.024.72.01
Eastern Michigan22.35.811%11%47%1.028.51.01
Buffalo22.35.231%15%16%2.024.91.01
Old Dominion22.24.138%15%23%2.021.61.01
Liberty21.94.533%20%7%4.028.92.01
Texas A&M21.74.846%31%15%5.029.70.01
Wyoming21.25.125%25%33%4.028.91.01
Central Michigan20.35.38%8%47%4.032.52.01
UConn20.34.718%18%25%0.024.00.01
Georgia Southern19.54.87%7%16%1.028.30.01
Western Kentucky19.54.429%24%39%3.031.03.01
San Diego State19.55.318%9%33%1.025.01.01
Oregon18.94.631%23%28%1.023.11.01
Kansas18.85.215%15%21%3.028.52.01
Clemson18.44.938%6%17%5.031.61.01
Kentucky18.25.425%8%6%1.027.62.01
Iowa State17.94.625%8%29%3.030.30.01
Southern Miss16.35.327%9%33%1.027.21.01
UCF14.74.417%8%17%1.023.60.01
Bowling Green13.04.418%9%21%1.028.11.01
Louisiana Tech10.43.77%7%25%1.025.73.01
Rice10.04.29%0%20%1.027.64.01

Drive data covers 80 games, week 2. A red-zone trip is any drive reaching the opponent's 20. Third-down rate is conversions per attempt. Time of possession counts only drives credited to that offence.