THE COLLEGE EFFICIENCY BOARD

WEEK 1 · 2026 · drives, quarters, comebacks · built 2026-09-12 14:55 UTC

Drive efficiency, first-quarter scoring and in-game win probability for 138 FBS teams in college football week 1, 2026. South Carolina averaged 65.5 yards per drive, the most in the country. The biggest comeback: Oregon trailed by 10 and beat Boise State 34–27.

The comebacks — biggest deficits erased

Every team that trailed and still won, ranked by how far behind they fell. Win probability is ESPN's live model at the winner's lowest valid point; treat it as colour, not gospel.

Winner	Result	Deficit	Low win prob
Oregon	beat Boise State 34–27	down 10	23.5%
The Citadel	beat Charlotte 43–41	down 7	0.0%
Memphis	beat UNLV 27–21	down 7	12.9%
San José State	beat Eastern Michigan 27–21	down 7	20.6%
Buffalo	beat UAlbany 21–17	down 7	24.8%
Massachusetts	beat Rutgers 37–21	down 7	25.6%
UCLA	beat California 45–24	down 7	26.4%
North Carolina	beat TCU 15–10	down 7	26.7%
Nebraska	beat Ohio 49–21	down 7	37.2%
Troy	beat Sam Houston 24–21	down 7	41.1%
Colorado	beat Georgia Tech 14–13	down 6	5.1%
San Diego State	beat Portland State 53–20	down 6	41.0%

Fast starts — first-quarter scoring

First-quarter points scored and allowed per game, then points by quarter. Sorted by first-quarter margin.

Team	Q1 for	Q1 against	Q1 margin	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Gm
Georgia	28.0	0.0	+28.0	28.0	7.0	14.0	14.0	1
Kansas State	22.0	0.0	+22.0	22.0	14.0	21.0	14.0	1
Mississippi State	21.0	0.0	+21.0	21.0	20.0	7.0	14.0	1
Oklahoma	21.0	0.0	+21.0	21.0	6.0	17.0	7.0	1
UCF	21.0	0.0	+21.0	21.0	17.0	28.0	7.0	1
Arizona State	28.0	7.0	+21.0	28.0	21.0	21.0	0.0	1
Pittsburgh	21.0	0.0	+21.0	21.0	10.0	21.0	7.0	1
Virginia Tech	21.0	0.0	+21.0	21.0	24.0	21.0	7.0	1
UConn	21.0	0.0	+21.0	21.0	14.0	14.0	7.0	1
Army	21.0	0.0	+21.0	21.0	10.0	14.0	14.0	1
Georgia Southern	21.0	0.0	+21.0	21.0	3.0	7.0	0.0	1
Iowa	20.0	0.0	+20.0	20.0	13.0	7.0	0.0	1
Kennesaw State	19.0	0.0	+19.0	19.0	21.0	7.0	0.0	1
Louisiana Tech	21.0	3.0	+18.0	21.0	42.0	14.0	3.0	1
Florida	17.0	0.0	+17.0	17.0	21.0	14.0	14.0	1
Utah	17.0	0.0	+17.0	17.0	14.0	14.0	21.0	1
Maryland	17.0	0.0	+17.0	17.0	17.0	21.0	7.0	1
Penn State	17.0	0.0	+17.0	17.0	7.0	14.0	7.0	1
Kentucky	14.0	0.0	+14.0	14.0	14.0	7.0	10.0	1
LSU	17.0	3.0	+14.0	17.0	14.0	13.0	7.0	1
Missouri	14.0	0.0	+14.0	14.0	26.0	0.0	14.0	1
Texas	14.0	0.0	+14.0	14.0	14.0	21.0	10.0	1
Texas Tech	14.0	0.0	+14.0	14.0	3.0	9.0	7.0	1
BYU	14.0	0.0	+14.0	14.0	28.0	14.0	7.0	1
Iowa State	14.0	0.0	+14.0	14.0	14.0	3.0	7.0	1
West Virginia	14.0	0.0	+14.0	14.0	10.0	0.0	7.0	1
Syracuse	14.0	0.0	+14.0	14.0	27.0	2.0	23.0	1
Minnesota	14.0	0.0	+14.0	14.0	21.0	10.0	14.0	1
Indiana	14.0	0.0	+14.0	14.0	10.0	7.0	21.0	1
Ohio State	14.0	0.0	+14.0	14.0	14.0	14.0	14.0	1
Navy	14.0	0.0	+14.0	14.0	14.0	7.0	7.0	1
Nevada	14.0	0.0	+14.0	14.0	7.0	14.0	14.0	1
Georgia State	14.0	0.0	+14.0	14.0	21.0	24.0	0.0	1
Middle Tennessee	14.0	0.0	+14.0	14.0	7.0	3.0	14.0	1
South Alabama	19.0	7.0	+12.0	19.0	3.0	10.0	7.0	1
Miami	14.0	3.0	+11.0	14.0	14.0	14.0	3.0	1
Illinois	14.0	3.0	+11.0	14.0	7.0	7.0	14.0	1
Alabama	10.0	0.0	+10.0	10.0	28.0	0.0	10.0	1
Virginia	10.0	0.0	+10.0	10.0	7.0	7.0	10.0	1
Wake Forest	10.0	0.0	+10.0	10.0	18.0	3.0	7.0	1

Drive efficiency

Per-drive rates, so teams that played twice stay comparable. Time of possession is minutes per game on offence.

Team	Yds/drive	Plays/drive	Score%	TD%	3rd down	RZ trips/gm	TOP	TO/gm	Gm
South Carolina	65.5	7.2	80%	80%	67%	7.0	34.8	0.0	1
App State	64.2	7.4	90%	70%	9%	9.0	33.1	0.0	1
Florida	62.2	6.2	91%	82%	58%	8.0	31.6	1.0	1
Kansas	58.3	7.7	80%	70%	41%	8.0	33.0	0.0	1
Arizona State	56.5	5.9	83%	83%	36%	5.0	29.7	0.0	1
Navy	55.8	8.8	67%	67%	57%	4.0	39.5	0.0	1
Texas	55.7	7.9	89%	78%	50%	7.0	29.5	0.0	1
Pittsburgh	55.7	6.3	75%	67%	39%	3.0	33.7	0.0	1
Mississippi State	55.5	6.2	77%	62%	31%	6.0	28.2	0.0	1
Army	54.1	6.0	75%	67%	44%	6.0	32.8	0.0	1
Ohio State	53.0	6.0	67%	67%	50%	5.0	31.5	0.0	1
Purdue	53.0	7.7	70%	40%	46%	6.0	37.0	0.0	1
USC	52.1	7.2	55%	55%	62%	6.5	37.9	1.5	2
Georgia	51.7	5.0	75%	75%	57%	8.0	28.3	0.0	1
LSU	51.5	8.2	58%	50%	59%	4.0	36.1	1.0	1
SMU	51.2	6.4	45%	27%	47%	4.0	27.9	2.0	1
Miami	49.4	6.2	64%	55%	58%	5.0	30.7	0.0	1
Minnesota	49.3	7.2	70%	60%	44%	6.0	36.3	1.0	1
Middle Tennessee	48.9	6.1	62%	50%	14%	3.0	25.4	0.0	1
Maryland	48.5	6.2	77%	62%	40%	10.0	29.1	0.0	1
Utah	48.3	5.8	77%	69%	46%	9.0	34.3	0.0	1
Southern Miss	48.1	7.1	58%	58%	38%	8.0	31.2	1.0	1
Kansas State	47.9	5.9	75%	75%	75%	7.0	33.5	1.0	1
Rice	47.8	8.2	50%	40%	53%	5.0	39.5	0.0	1
Tennessee	47.8	5.7	62%	62%	33%	6.0	31.9	2.0	1
Wake Forest	47.6	6.5	64%	36%	44%	7.0	29.3	0.0	1
Air Force	47.2	8.9	67%	44%	41%	5.0	40.8	0.0	1
Texas Tech	47.2	6.5	67%	33%	42%	5.0	32.1	0.0	1
Nebraska	47.1	6.7	64%	64%	31%	4.0	30.5	0.0	1
Georgia State	46.9	6.0	75%	67%	38%	8.0	32.5	0.0	1
Houston	46.8	6.7	55%	36%	44%	5.0	30.7	2.0	1
BYU	46.5	6.3	73%	73%	50%	6.0	33.2	0.0	1
Missouri	46.1	6.6	67%	58%	40%	5.0	34.0	1.0	1
UAB	45.9	10.2	75%	25%	38%	5.0	41.0	1.0	1
UConn	45.4	5.3	57%	57%	38%	5.0	31.5	2.0	1
Vanderbilt	45.0	8.1	50%	25%	31%	4.0	35.6	0.0	1
Alabama	44.3	7.5	64%	45%	41%	6.0	38.7	1.0	1
Illinois	43.9	5.4	62%	62%	56%	4.0	18.9	0.0	1
Kentucky	43.4	5.6	64%	55%	30%	5.0	29.8	0.0	1
UTSA	42.8	5.0	50%	42%	33%	3.0	25.0	0.0	1
Northwestern	42.0	5.2	55%	36%	29%	5.0	25.7	0.0	1
Penn State	41.8	6.1	58%	50%	32%	6.0	36.1	0.0	1
Virginia Tech	41.7	5.2	71%	64%	44%	5.0	28.4	1.0	1
Memphis	40.8	5.2	46%	38%	39%	3.0	26.9	1.0	2
New Mexico	40.5	7.3	70%	40%	43%	4.0	37.5	0.0	1
Nevada	40.2	4.8	58%	58%	50%	5.0	27.3	1.0	1
Texas A&M	39.7	7.2	75%	50%	44%	8.0	43.0	2.0	1
UCF	39.5	4.7	77%	69%	42%	5.0	27.9	1.0	1
Georgia Southern	39.5	6.1	38%	31%	33%	5.0	35.9	1.0	1
North Dakota State	38.9	7.5	58%	32%	48%	4.0	34.6	0.0	2
Oregon	38.6	4.9	46%	31%	25%	3.0	27.1	0.0	1
Louisiana	38.4	5.8	58%	42%	38%	4.0	33.6	1.0	1
Indiana	38.3	5.2	89%	78%	27%	5.0	22.1	0.0	1
Bowling Green	38.3	6.9	30%	10%	47%	3.0	34.6	2.0	1
Syracuse	38.2	6.0	69%	62%	62%	9.0	32.2	0.0	1
Louisiana Tech	38.0	4.3	79%	71%	36%	5.0	24.8	0.0	1
Iowa	37.5	6.2	46%	31%	35%	5.0	33.9	0.0	1
Arizona	37.2	5.5	46%	38%	50%	4.0	32.2	3.0	1
Boston College	37.0	6.7	18%	18%	27%	3.0	31.1	1.0	1
Liberty	36.7	7.4	33%	11%	38%	2.0	37.3	0.0	1
Charlotte	36.6	5.4	43%	43%	36%	6.0	30.1	2.0	1
North Texas	36.5	7.1	40%	10%	33%	4.0	37.3	1.0	1
Michigan State	36.5	8.1	64%	18%	29%	4.0	43.1	0.0	1
Notre Dame	36.3	6.3	60%	40%	27%	4.0	31.4	0.0	1
Arkansas State	36.2	5.0	33%	25%	50%	3.0	30.6	3.0	1
Jacksonville State	36.1	5.8	35%	35%	42%	2.5	25.0	1.0	2
South Alabama	36.1	8.1	64%	36%	47%	6.0	39.8	0.0	1
New Mexico State	36.0	6.1	45%	36%	44%	2.5	28.6	0.0	2
Kennesaw State	36.0	5.8	50%	50%	50%	4.0	34.0	2.0	1
Ole Miss	35.8	6.2	54%	38%	35%	3.0	28.9	1.0	1
Oklahoma	35.5	5.5	73%	45%	31%	5.0	30.4	1.0	1
Colorado State	35.5	6.2	45%	45%	28%	5.0	29.2	0.0	1
Delaware	35.5	5.0	40%	40%	46%	6.0	26.9	1.0	1
Temple	35.2	6.3	40%	30%	12%	4.0	30.9	0.0	1
Utah State	34.8	7.5	25%	17%	48%	4.0	33.2	3.0	1
UNLV	34.7	5.6	24%	24%	25%	3.0	31.5	0.0	2
Florida International	34.6	7.6	20%	10%	30%	2.0	29.8	3.0	1
Baylor	34.5	7.8	23%	15%	38%	4.0	32.5	2.0	1
North Carolina	34.2	6.0	30%	10%	27%	5.0	26.9	2.0	1
Oklahoma State	33.8	7.2	17%	8%	29%	4.0	31.0	1.0	1
Florida Atlantic	33.3	7.5	25%	25%	44%	4.0	28.3	3.0	1
Florida State	33.2	6.2	45%	32%	26%	4.0	31.5	0.0	2
San Diego State	33.2	4.9	62%	54%	40%	7.0	26.0	1.0	1
Texas State	33.1	6.5	18%	9%	56%	3.0	30.1	2.0	1
James Madison	33.0	5.7	44%	22%	50%	4.0	22.5	0.0	1
Arkansas	32.8	6.5	38%	31%	59%	6.0	41.4	1.0	1
West Virginia	32.4	5.4	36%	29%	43%	5.0	32.8	1.0	1
Virginia	32.3	5.8	50%	33%	12%	4.0	38.0	0.0	1
Sam Houston	32.3	5.8	25%	25%	24%	3.0	30.7	1.0	1
Oregon State	32.2	6.2	25%	25%	18%	3.0	28.9	0.0	1
California	32.1	6.3	29%	21%	50%	4.0	34.6	1.0	1
Akron	31.8	6.4	27%	18%	40%	3.0	30.6	1.0	1
UCLA	31.8	3.9	50%	43%	38%	7.0	25.0	1.0	1
Colorado	31.0	7.7	20%	20%	47%	4.0	34.1	1.0	1
Washington	31.0	5.5	33%	25%	21%	6.0	29.0	0.0	1
Auburn	30.3	6.0	23%	15%	48%	3.0	27.4	3.0	1
Coastal Carolina	30.2	5.0	31%	23%	21%	3.0	27.1	1.0	1
Duke	29.8	6.1	23%	15%	38%	5.0	36.6	1.0	1
Western Kentucky	29.8	6.9	17%	17%	27%	3.0	32.4	1.0	1
Massachusetts	29.5	5.5	58%	33%	38%	5.0	36.3	0.0	1
Wisconsin	29.4	6.3	40%	10%	36%	4.0	28.2	1.0	1
Stanford	29.1	5.8	25%	17%	38%	4.0	26.6	0.5	2
Rutgers	28.8	5.2	25%	25%	17%	3.0	23.6	3.0	1
Tulsa	28.5	5.0	33%	25%	15%	3.0	28.9	0.0	1
San José State	28.1	5.2	38%	23%	30%	3.0	26.3	0.5	2
Toledo	28.1	4.2	20%	30%	33%	3.0	16.6	1.0	1
Iowa State	27.8	4.1	50%	42%	33%	5.0	23.0	0.0	1
Cincinnati	27.7	5.2	50%	33%	36%	4.0	28.6	0.0	1
Ohio	26.9	5.7	33%	17%	42%	2.0	29.2	1.0	1
Georgia Tech	26.7	5.3	27%	9%	32%	5.0	25.5	2.0	1
Old Dominion	26.3	4.7	42%	33%	36%	5.0	27.4	2.0	1
Michigan	26.1	4.8	20%	20%	31%	1.0	19.7	2.0	1
Washington State	26.0	5.5	18%	9%	20%	2.0	30.6	3.0	1
Troy	25.9	5.2	31%	23%	33%	3.0	28.9	0.0	1
Louisville	25.8	5.2	50%	29%	35%	2.0	30.7	0.0	1
Boise State	25.3	5.2	38%	23%	22%	5.0	32.8	0.0	1
Sacramento State	25.0	4.9	36%	29%	30%	4.5	30.3	1.0	2
Wyoming	24.5	5.0	27%	9%	18%	2.0	30.4	2.0	1
Hawai'i	23.9	6.2	32%	16%	36%	3.5	30.6	0.5	2
TCU	23.6	7.2	30%	10%	39%	4.0	33.0	0.0	1
Miami (OH)	22.6	4.8	17%	17%	29%	1.0	25.7	0.0	1
Western Michigan	22.4	6.5	36%	0%	33%	3.0	40.1	0.0	1
UL Monroe	22.2	5.5	23%	8%	16%	0.0	31.8	0.0	1
Eastern Michigan	22.0	4.9	25%	21%	16%	3.5	31.1	0.5	2
South Florida	21.4	6.7	56%	11%	33%	4.0	30.1	0.0	1
Buffalo	21.2	5.3	20%	20%	42%	4.0	31.7	0.0	1
Kent State	17.9	4.8	0%	0%	31%	0.0	25.1	0.0	1
Tulane	17.8	4.8	8%	0%	22%	2.0	23.4	1.0	1
NC State	15.1	4.2	8%	8%	29%	2.0	21.8	1.0	1
Central Michigan	14.4	4.8	10%	10%	17%	0.0	22.5	0.0	1
Ball State	14.2	4.7	8%	0%	35%	0.0	28.4	1.0	1
UTEP	14.1	4.5	8%	0%	14%	2.0	29.5	2.0	1
Marshall	13.9	4.6	0%	0%	19%	0.0	23.6	1.0	1
Fresno State	13.6	4.4	20%	0%	33%	1.0	21.0	0.0	1
East Carolina	12.7	3.5	25%	8%	10%	2.0	21.1	1.0	1
Clemson	11.9	3.8	23%	8%	7%	1.0	23.6	1.0	1
Northern Illinois	7.7	3.7	7%	0%	29%	0.0	25.9	2.0	1
Missouri State	6.1	3.6	0%	0%	18%	0.0	16.7	1.0	1

Drive data covers 99 games, week 1. A red-zone trip is any drive reaching the opponent's 20. Third-down rate is conversions per attempt. Time of possession counts only drives credited to that offence.