Drive efficiency, first-quarter scoring and in-game win probability for 10 FBS teams in college football week 10, 2026. Central Michigan averaged 47.2 yards per drive, the most in the country. The biggest comeback: Buffalo trailed by 15 and beat Miami (OH) 34–31.
Every team that trailed and still won, ranked by how far behind they fell. Win probability is ESPN's live model at the winner's lowest valid point; treat it as colour, not gospel.
| Winner | Result | Deficit | Low win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | beat Miami (OH) 34–31 | down 15 | 0.6% |
| Massachusetts | beat Ball State 31–30 | down 7 | 33.1% |
| Ohio | beat Akron 28–20 | down 3 | 52.5% |
| Toledo | beat Sacramento State 20–17 | down 3 | 81.7% |
First-quarter points scored and allowed per game, then points by quarter. Sorted by first-quarter margin.
| Team | Q1 for | Q1 against | Q1 margin | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Gm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ball State | 7.0 | 0.0 | +7.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 1 |
| Central Michigan | 7.0 | 0.0 | +7.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 1 |
| Ohio | 7.0 | 3.0 | +4.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 1 |
| Miami (OH) | 7.0 | 3.0 | +4.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 1 |
| Toledo | 7.0 | 3.0 | +4.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 1 |
| Akron | 3.0 | 7.0 | -4.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 1 |
| Buffalo | 3.0 | 7.0 | -4.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 15.0 | 1 |
| Sacramento State | 3.0 | 7.0 | -4.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 1 |
| Massachusetts | 0.0 | 7.0 | -7.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1 |
| Eastern Michigan | 0.0 | 7.0 | -7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 1 |
Per-drive rates, so teams that played twice stay comparable. Time of possession is minutes per game on offence.
| Team | Yds/drive | Plays/drive | Score% | TD% | 3rd down | RZ trips/gm | TOP | TO/gm | Gm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Michigan | 47.2 | 8.4 | 56% | 56% | 35% | 5.0 | 40.9 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Akron | 38.8 | 7.6 | 55% | 9% | 36% | 4.0 | 35.4 | 2.0 | 1 |
| Massachusetts | 38.1 | 5.1 | 38% | 31% | 45% | 5.0 | 33.1 | 2.0 | 1 |
| Buffalo | 37.1 | 5.8 | 50% | 36% | 29% | 7.0 | 27.3 | 3.0 | 1 |
| Ohio | 34.3 | 4.7 | 30% | 30% | 36% | 1.0 | 23.9 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Miami (OH) | 30.6 | 6.2 | 33% | 25% | 33% | 3.0 | 32.6 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Ball State | 26.5 | 5.0 | 38% | 31% | 26% | 4.0 | 26.4 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Toledo | 23.1 | 5.2 | 31% | 15% | 30% | 3.0 | 29.4 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Eastern Michigan | 19.6 | 5.5 | 12% | 12% | 20% | 1.0 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Sacramento State | 17.6 | 5.0 | 23% | 15% | 24% | 3.0 | 30.3 | 1.0 | 1 |
Drive data covers 5 games, week 10. A red-zone trip is any drive reaching the opponent's 20. Third-down rate is conversions per attempt. Time of possession counts only drives credited to that offence.