Drive efficiency, first-quarter scoring and in-game win probability for 115 FBS teams in college football week 5, 2026. Oregon State averaged 65.9 yards per drive, the most in the country. The biggest comeback: Kentucky trailed by 17 and beat South Carolina 35–34.
Every team that trailed and still won, ranked by how far behind they fell. Win probability is ESPN's live model at the winner's lowest valid point; treat it as colour, not gospel.
| Winner | Result | Deficit | Low win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky | beat South Carolina 35–34 | down 17 | 6.8% |
| Houston | beat UCF 27–17 | down 17 | 7.9% |
| San Diego State | beat Texas State 31–29 | down 14 | 7.7% |
| Pittsburgh | beat Virginia Tech 35–33 | down 14 | 18.9% |
| North Texas | beat Tulsa 45–44 | down 11 | 23.5% |
| USC | beat Washington 25–21 | down 11 | 35.8% |
| Nebraska | beat Maryland 48–23 | down 9 | 59.0% |
| Syracuse | beat UConn 42–41 | down 7 | 7.0% |
| Minnesota | beat Michigan 20–14 | down 7 | 13.1% |
| Iowa State | beat West Virginia 45–42 | down 7 | 23.1% |
| Florida State | beat Virginia 38–7 | down 7 | 24.1% |
| Western Michigan | beat Buffalo 20–17 | down 7 | 32.8% |
First-quarter points scored and allowed per game, then points by quarter. Sorted by first-quarter margin.
| Team | Q1 for | Q1 against | Q1 margin | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Gm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Atlantic | 28.0 | 3.0 | +25.0 | 28.0 | 21.0 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 1 |
| Wake Forest | 15.0 | 0.0 | +15.0 | 15.0 | 14.0 | 14.0 | 14.0 | 1 |
| LSU | 14.0 | 0.0 | +14.0 | 14.0 | 21.0 | 14.0 | 14.0 | 1 |
| South Carolina | 14.0 | 0.0 | +14.0 | 14.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 1 |
| Wisconsin | 14.0 | 0.0 | +14.0 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 1 |
| Boise State | 14.0 | 0.0 | +14.0 | 14.0 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 1 |
| Memphis | 14.0 | 0.0 | +14.0 | 14.0 | 10.0 | 21.0 | 14.0 | 1 |
| New Mexico | 14.0 | 0.0 | +14.0 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 16.0 | 24.0 | 1 |
| South Alabama | 21.0 | 7.0 | +14.0 | 21.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 1 |
| Baylor | 14.0 | 3.0 | +11.0 | 14.0 | 10.0 | 21.0 | 10.0 | 1 |
| Georgia State | 14.0 | 3.0 | +11.0 | 14.0 | 14.0 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Northwestern | 10.0 | 0.0 | +10.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1 |
| Indiana | 10.0 | 0.0 | +10.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 | 14.0 | 10.0 | 1 |
| Georgia Southern | 10.0 | 0.0 | +10.0 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 1 |
| Maryland | 16.0 | 7.0 | +9.0 | 16.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Alabama | 14.0 | 7.0 | +7.0 | 14.0 | 14.0 | 14.0 | 14.0 | 1 |
| Texas A&M | 14.0 | 7.0 | +7.0 | 14.0 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1 |
| UCF | 7.0 | 0.0 | +7.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Arizona | 7.0 | 0.0 | +7.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 14.0 | 10.0 | 1 |
| Virginia Tech | 14.0 | 7.0 | +7.0 | 14.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 1 |
| Miami | 10.0 | 3.0 | +7.0 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 17.0 | 1 |
| Notre Dame | 14.0 | 7.0 | +7.0 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 1 |
| Virginia | 7.0 | 0.0 | +7.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Minnesota | 7.0 | 0.0 | +7.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 1 |
| Oregon State | 14.0 | 7.0 | +7.0 | 14.0 | 21.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 1 |
| Texas State | 10.0 | 3.0 | +7.0 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 1 |
| North Dakota State | 7.0 | 0.0 | +7.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 1 |
| Eastern Michigan | 7.0 | 0.0 | +7.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 10.0 | 1 |
| Louisiana | 7.0 | 0.0 | +7.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 13.0 | 1 |
| Liberty | 6.0 | 0.0 | +6.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 1 |
| Colorado | 7.0 | 3.0 | +4.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Boston College | 10.0 | 6.0 | +4.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 1 |
| Ohio State | 10.0 | 6.0 | +4.0 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 1 |
| Washington | 7.0 | 3.0 | +4.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Kansas | 3.0 | 0.0 | +3.0 | 3.0 | 17.0 | 14.0 | 21.0 | 1 |
| NC State | 3.0 | 0.0 | +3.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 1 |
| Purdue | 3.0 | 0.0 | +3.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 1 |
| Fresno State | 3.0 | 0.0 | +3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 1 |
| North Texas | 3.0 | 0.0 | +3.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 21.0 | 7.0 | 1 |
| South Florida | 3.0 | 0.0 | +3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1 |
Per-drive rates, so teams that played twice stay comparable. Time of possession is minutes per game on offence.
| Team | Yds/drive | Plays/drive | Score% | TD% | 3rd down | RZ trips/gm | TOP | TO/gm | Gm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oregon State | 65.9 | 7.2 | 73% | 73% | 64% | 5.0 | 40.2 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Kansas | 55.9 | 7.1 | 75% | 58% | 57% | 7.0 | 40.9 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Memphis | 53.2 | 7.0 | 69% | 62% | 50% | 5.0 | 40.4 | 0.0 | 1 |
| LSU | 51.9 | 7.2 | 64% | 64% | 35% | 7.0 | 37.1 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Arizona | 51.8 | 8.0 | 60% | 40% | 44% | 7.0 | 35.6 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Louisiana Tech | 50.6 | 5.9 | 50% | 40% | 36% | 3.0 | 32.4 | 0.0 | 1 |
| New Mexico | 49.6 | 7.1 | 64% | 55% | 44% | 5.0 | 31.8 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Army | 49.6 | 7.7 | 44% | 44% | 53% | 2.0 | 31.9 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Indiana | 49.4 | 5.9 | 67% | 50% | 30% | 8.0 | 33.0 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Boise State | 49.3 | 7.0 | 56% | 44% | 50% | 4.0 | 32.2 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Louisiana | 47.8 | 7.3 | 56% | 22% | 55% | 5.0 | 33.9 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Bowling Green | 47.2 | 6.9 | 44% | 33% | 39% | 3.0 | 27.2 | 0.0 | 1 |
| South Alabama | 47.1 | 5.5 | 58% | 50% | 43% | 4.0 | 30.9 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Georgia | 47.0 | 6.7 | 60% | 50% | 70% | 6.0 | 32.8 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Louisville | 46.8 | 5.0 | 36% | 36% | 40% | 3.0 | 22.1 | 2.0 | 1 |
| Ohio State | 46.4 | 7.6 | 50% | 40% | 44% | 6.0 | 38.0 | 0.0 | 1 |
| James Madison | 46.2 | 5.8 | 58% | 50% | 29% | 4.0 | 27.7 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Miami | 45.5 | 6.4 | 60% | 40% | 21% | 3.0 | 32.3 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Notre Dame | 45.5 | 7.5 | 60% | 50% | 25% | 5.0 | 36.9 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Missouri | 45.4 | 5.4 | 62% | 38% | 50% | 3.0 | 31.7 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Texas A&M | 44.6 | 7.8 | 67% | 44% | 47% | 5.0 | 38.1 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Wake Forest | 44.5 | 6.1 | 73% | 73% | 54% | 8.0 | 28.7 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Eastern Michigan | 44.4 | 7.8 | 67% | 56% | 59% | 5.0 | 34.6 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Alabama | 43.0 | 5.5 | 64% | 64% | 36% | 7.0 | 34.4 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Toledo | 42.9 | 6.8 | 54% | 31% | 39% | 5.0 | 34.1 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Iowa State | 42.4 | 5.5 | 50% | 43% | 43% | 7.0 | 38.1 | 1.0 | 1 |
| NC State | 41.6 | 7.2 | 50% | 25% | 45% | 7.0 | 37.3 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Illinois | 41.4 | 7.3 | 33% | 22% | 43% | 4.0 | 28.4 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Florida Atlantic | 41.1 | 4.5 | 75% | 67% | 33% | 4.0 | 17.1 | 0.0 | 1 |
| UConn | 41.0 | 5.8 | 46% | 46% | 33% | 6.0 | 24.3 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Baylor | 40.6 | 5.9 | 64% | 50% | 37% | 8.0 | 30.9 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Northwestern | 39.7 | 5.5 | 46% | 31% | 27% | 5.0 | 36.0 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Texas State | 39.6 | 7.5 | 43% | 21% | 35% | 4.0 | 40.1 | 3.0 | 1 |
| Massachusetts | 39.5 | 6.6 | 25% | 25% | 55% | 2.0 | 25.2 | 2.0 | 1 |
| Central Michigan | 39.2 | 5.2 | 50% | 50% | 11% | 4.0 | 29.2 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Colorado State | 39.1 | 5.7 | 40% | 40% | 46% | 5.0 | 24.8 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Syracuse | 37.6 | 6.2 | 43% | 43% | 48% | 5.0 | 35.5 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Western Michigan | 37.1 | 7.0 | 44% | 22% | 40% | 3.0 | 31.8 | 0.0 | 1 |
| North Dakota State | 37.0 | 6.5 | 45% | 27% | 31% | 5.0 | 33.0 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Arkansas State | 36.6 | 7.0 | 50% | 25% | 38% | 3.0 | 25.6 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Florida State | 36.5 | 5.1 | 46% | 38% | 36% | 4.0 | 31.8 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Arizona State | 36.3 | 6.5 | 42% | 8% | 33% | 3.0 | 28.7 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Buffalo | 36.0 | 7.3 | 33% | 22% | 31% | 3.0 | 27.8 | 0.0 | 1 |
| West Virginia | 35.9 | 4.5 | 43% | 43% | 25% | 5.0 | 21.8 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Purdue | 35.6 | 6.3 | 50% | 20% | 36% | 6.0 | 31.3 | 0.0 | 1 |
| UAB | 35.5 | 6.7 | 73% | 27% | 38% | 4.0 | 33.7 | 1.0 | 1 |
| South Carolina | 34.6 | 5.8 | 46% | 31% | 37% | 5.0 | 26.5 | 2.0 | 1 |
| Hawai'i | 34.1 | 5.5 | 33% | 8% | 29% | 2.0 | 29.8 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Georgia Southern | 34.0 | 4.6 | 46% | 31% | 19% | 4.0 | 26.4 | 0.0 | 1 |
| North Texas | 33.7 | 5.3 | 44% | 38% | 33% | 7.0 | 34.5 | 2.0 | 1 |
| Wisconsin | 33.5 | 5.7 | 45% | 36% | 35% | 3.0 | 28.8 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Ball State | 33.3 | 5.3 | 42% | 25% | 46% | 2.0 | 25.5 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Miami (OH) | 33.1 | 6.3 | 50% | 10% | 36% | 4.0 | 32.3 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Liberty | 33.0 | 5.8 | 46% | 23% | 18% | 5.0 | 38.5 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Coastal Carolina | 32.8 | 6.4 | 27% | 18% | 29% | 2.0 | 33.3 | 2.0 | 1 |
| UL Monroe | 32.7 | 5.4 | 46% | 38% | 7% | 5.0 | 28.9 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Houston | 32.6 | 6.6 | 42% | 25% | 40% | 7.0 | 33.3 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Georgia State | 32.3 | 4.5 | 47% | 40% | 31% | 3.0 | 34.5 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Temple | 32.1 | 5.7 | 33% | 22% | 43% | 2.0 | 29.1 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Clemson | 31.9 | 6.4 | 33% | 8% | 33% | 3.0 | 27.4 | 2.0 | 1 |
| USC | 31.9 | 6.5 | 36% | 18% | 39% | 4.0 | 35.0 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Marshall | 31.8 | 6.3 | 23% | 15% | 44% | 4.0 | 31.6 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Nebraska | 31.8 | 5.4 | 43% | 43% | 31% | 5.0 | 34.1 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Boston College | 31.6 | 6.6 | 30% | 20% | 40% | 2.0 | 33.1 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Virginia Tech | 31.5 | 5.0 | 33% | 27% | 25% | 5.0 | 31.1 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Kentucky | 31.4 | 6.2 | 46% | 31% | 21% | 4.0 | 33.2 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Vanderbilt | 30.8 | 5.8 | 22% | 22% | 25% | 1.0 | 27.2 | 2.0 | 1 |
| Kent State | 30.1 | 7.7 | 22% | 11% | 37% | 3.0 | 30.4 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Utah State | 29.5 | 5.4 | 36% | 18% | 11% | 3.0 | 27.8 | 1.0 | 1 |
| South Florida | 28.9 | 6.9 | 30% | 10% | 37% | 3.0 | 30.8 | 1.0 | 1 |
| North Carolina | 28.7 | 5.1 | 40% | 40% | 45% | 3.0 | 22.9 | 1.0 | 1 |
| San José State | 28.2 | 5.9 | 36% | 18% | 20% | 5.0 | 29.8 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Texas Tech | 28.2 | 5.6 | 42% | 17% | 33% | 3.0 | 28.9 | 0.0 | 1 |
| New Mexico State | 28.2 | 4.8 | 38% | 23% | 13% | 4.0 | 29.6 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Colorado | 28.1 | 6.3 | 15% | 8% | 41% | 3.0 | 31.1 | 2.0 | 1 |
| Delaware | 28.0 | 4.6 | 15% | 15% | 27% | 2.0 | 21.1 | 2.0 | 1 |
| Akron | 27.8 | 5.8 | 25% | 17% | 44% | 4.0 | 30.0 | 2.0 | 1 |
| UTSA | 27.7 | 6.9 | 36% | 9% | 30% | 5.0 | 32.1 | 2.0 | 1 |
| Arkansas | 27.1 | 5.3 | 11% | 11% | 27% | 1.0 | 21.9 | 1.0 | 1 |
| California | 26.7 | 5.0 | 29% | 24% | 17% | 3.0 | 30.7 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Florida | 26.7 | 5.4 | 25% | 17% | 29% | 2.0 | 28.0 | 0.0 | 1 |
| UCF | 26.4 | 5.0 | 25% | 17% | 16% | 3.0 | 26.6 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Fresno State | 26.4 | 5.2 | 43% | 14% | 32% | 7.0 | 36.0 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Washington | 26.2 | 5.0 | 33% | 25% | 6% | 3.0 | 24.9 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Penn State | 26.2 | 5.3 | 17% | 17% | 33% | 2.0 | 23.7 | 0.0 | 1 |
| TCU | 25.9 | 5.7 | 20% | 10% | 25% | 1.0 | 26.9 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Michigan State | 25.8 | 7.3 | 9% | 0% | 25% | 1.0 | 30.8 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Air Force | 25.5 | 6.5 | 18% | 18% | 53% | 2.0 | 36.0 | 2.0 | 1 |
| Maryland | 25.3 | 4.5 | 38% | 12% | 12% | 3.0 | 25.3 | 2.0 | 1 |
| Mississippi State | 25.2 | 5.5 | 38% | 23% | 42% | 4.0 | 25.3 | 3.0 | 1 |
| Tulsa | 25.0 | 5.4 | 47% | 40% | 17% | 6.0 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Cincinnati | 24.7 | 5.8 | 10% | 10% | 44% | 2.0 | 24.4 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Rice | 24.2 | 6.1 | 20% | 20% | 21% | 2.0 | 27.9 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Tennessee | 24.1 | 4.9 | 29% | 21% | 25% | 4.0 | 31.4 | 2.0 | 1 |
| UNLV | 24.1 | 3.9 | 38% | 31% | 17% | 3.0 | 28.4 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Auburn | 23.9 | 5.0 | 15% | 15% | 22% | 3.0 | 28.4 | 3.0 | 1 |
| Ohio | 23.9 | 5.6 | 30% | 10% | 36% | 0.0 | 28.6 | 2.0 | 1 |
| Minnesota | 23.8 | 5.6 | 42% | 17% | 32% | 4.0 | 37.5 | 2.0 | 1 |
| Iowa | 23.0 | 5.5 | 30% | 10% | 40% | 2.0 | 22.0 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Western Kentucky | 22.6 | 5.4 | 29% | 7% | 36% | 2.0 | 30.0 | 1.0 | 1 |
| SMU | 22.1 | 5.6 | 36% | 36% | 28% | 4.0 | 26.8 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Navy | 22.1 | 4.5 | 18% | 9% | 8% | 2.0 | 24.0 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Pittsburgh | 21.6 | 4.4 | 43% | 36% | 36% | 4.0 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Rutgers | 20.8 | 4.6 | 17% | 17% | 6% | 1.0 | 27.0 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Virginia | 19.2 | 5.5 | 8% | 8% | 22% | 3.0 | 28.1 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Charlotte | 19.0 | 3.6 | 9% | 9% | 27% | 1.0 | 19.3 | 2.0 | 1 |
| BYU | 18.7 | 5.7 | 27% | 18% | 44% | 2.0 | 33.0 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Michigan | 16.5 | 4.9 | 10% | 10% | 17% | 2.0 | 22.2 | 2.0 | 1 |
| UTEP | 16.5 | 2.9 | 33% | 8% | 33% | 1.0 | 17.1 | 4.0 | 1 |
| San Diego State | 16.1 | 3.9 | 36% | 21% | 14% | 5.0 | 19.3 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Old Dominion | 14.7 | 4.9 | 8% | 0% | 26% | 3.0 | 25.4 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Stanford | 13.8 | 5.3 | 8% | 0% | 32% | 0.0 | 30.9 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Washington State | 13.4 | 4.3 | 14% | 0% | 16% | 1.0 | 23.9 | 2.0 | 1 |
| Middle Tennessee | 11.3 | 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 9% | 0.0 | 18.8 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Wyoming | 10.8 | 4.1 | 0% | 0% | 15% | 1.0 | 26.8 | 1.0 | 1 |
Drive data covers 59 games, week 5. A red-zone trip is any drive reaching the opponent's 20. Third-down rate is conversions per attempt. Time of possession counts only drives credited to that offence.