THE COLLEGE EFFICIENCY BOARD

WEEK 4 · 2026 · drives, quarters, comebacks · built 2026-10-06 15:11 UTC

Drive efficiency, first-quarter scoring and in-game win probability for 129 FBS teams in college football week 4, 2026. Pittsburgh averaged 60.8 yards per drive, the most in the country. The biggest comeback: Wisconsin trailed by 17 and beat Penn State 24–20.

The comebacks — biggest deficits erased

Every team that trailed and still won, ranked by how far behind they fell. Win probability is ESPN's live model at the winner's lowest valid point; treat it as colour, not gospel.

Winner	Result	Deficit	Low win prob
Wisconsin	beat Penn State 24–20	down 17	1.5%
Arizona	beat Washington State 34–24	down 14	34.2%
UTSA	beat Colorado State 59–45	down 14	37.5%
Miami (OH)	beat UConn 24–21	down 13	12.0%
Oklahoma State	beat West Virginia 41–24	down 11	13.9%
Stanford	beat Georgia Tech 34–27	down 10	12.1%
Cincinnati	beat Kansas State 31–26	down 10	18.0%
SMU	beat Missouri State 34–24	down 10	86.2%
Marshall	beat Gardner-Webb 36–35	down 8	0.1%
Virginia Tech	beat Boston College 21–14	down 8	21.6%
Air Force	beat Nevada 36–33	down 7	0.0%
Iowa	beat Michigan 20–19	down 7	1.2%

Fast starts — first-quarter scoring

First-quarter points scored and allowed per game, then points by quarter. Sorted by first-quarter margin.

Team	Q1 for	Q1 against	Q1 margin	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Gm
Texas State	28.0	7.0	+21.0	28.0	14.0	0.0	21.0	1
Oregon State	17.0	0.0	+17.0	17.0	3.0	7.0	6.0	1
Alabama	14.0	0.0	+14.0	14.0	21.0	0.0	14.0	1
Mississippi State	14.0	0.0	+14.0	14.0	0.0	3.0	14.0	1
Houston	14.0	0.0	+14.0	14.0	14.0	7.0	7.0	1
Utah	14.0	0.0	+14.0	14.0	10.0	0.0	7.0	1
Pittsburgh	14.0	0.0	+14.0	14.0	21.0	7.0	17.0	1
Florida State	14.0	0.0	+14.0	14.0	10.0	10.0	0.0	1
Rutgers	21.0	7.0	+14.0	21.0	20.0	10.0	7.0	1
Minnesota	14.0	0.0	+14.0	14.0	7.0	3.0	3.0	1
UConn	14.0	0.0	+14.0	14.0	0.0	7.0	0.0	1
NC State	14.0	0.0	+14.0	14.0	14.0	3.0	10.0	1
New Mexico	14.0	0.0	+14.0	14.0	0.0	21.0	7.0	1
Eastern Michigan	13.0	0.0	+13.0	13.0	6.0	3.0	7.0	1
Arkansas	10.0	0.0	+10.0	10.0	6.0	7.0	11.0	1
Florida	10.0	0.0	+10.0	10.0	7.0	14.0	21.0	1
Missouri State	10.0	0.0	+10.0	10.0	0.0	0.0	14.0	1
James Madison	17.0	7.0	+10.0	17.0	13.0	6.0	10.0	1
Western Kentucky	10.0	0.0	+10.0	10.0	21.0	14.0	7.0	1
Boise State	8.0	0.0	+8.0	8.0	7.0	10.0	7.0	1
Georgia	7.0	0.0	+7.0	7.0	21.0	3.0	10.0	1
LSU	7.0	0.0	+7.0	7.0	7.0	21.0	0.0	1
Washington State	14.0	7.0	+7.0	14.0	3.0	0.0	7.0	1
Texas Tech	7.0	0.0	+7.0	7.0	14.0	14.0	14.0	1
California	7.0	0.0	+7.0	7.0	0.0	3.0	0.0	1
Virginia	7.0	0.0	+7.0	7.0	21.0	7.0	7.0	1
Duke	14.0	7.0	+7.0	14.0	24.0	10.0	14.0	1
Ohio State	14.0	7.0	+7.0	14.0	14.0	0.0	14.0	1
Notre Dame	7.0	0.0	+7.0	7.0	28.0	0.0	14.0	1
Rice	7.0	0.0	+7.0	7.0	10.0	0.0	7.0	1
UTSA	21.0	14.0	+7.0	21.0	14.0	7.0	17.0	1
North Texas	14.0	7.0	+7.0	14.0	21.0	14.0	14.0	1
Tulane	7.0	0.0	+7.0	7.0	7.0	0.0	10.0	1
Nevada	10.0	3.0	+7.0	10.0	0.0	7.0	10.0	1
Kentucky	7.0	0.0	+7.0	7.0	17.0	7.0	14.0	1
Kent State	7.0	0.0	+7.0	7.0	10.0	0.0	9.0	1
Ohio	7.0	0.0	+7.0	7.0	7.0	14.0	7.0	1
Massachusetts	7.0	0.0	+7.0	7.0	14.0	14.0	0.0	1
Florida International	7.0	0.0	+7.0	7.0	7.0	3.0	3.0	1
Liberty	10.0	3.0	+7.0	10.0	0.0	10.0	14.0	1

Drive efficiency

Per-drive rates, so teams that played twice stay comparable. Time of possession is minutes per game on offence.

Team	Yds/drive	Plays/drive	Score%	TD%	3rd down	RZ trips/gm	TOP	TO/gm	Gm
Pittsburgh	60.8	7.0	75%	67%	53%	7.0	32.6	1.0	1
Ohio	57.0	7.9	56%	56%	38%	6.0	39.2	1.0	1
Jacksonville State	56.3	7.7	56%	22%	23%	5.0	32.6	2.0	1
Ohio State	55.3	7.6	67%	67%	62%	4.0	29.3	0.0	1
Temple	54.9	6.8	38%	25%	25%	1.0	21.7	0.0	1
Houston	54.8	7.9	75%	75%	56%	4.0	28.3	0.0	1
Western Kentucky	54.2	6.0	73%	64%	36%	4.0	28.1	1.0	1
North Texas	53.2	5.7	67%	67%	33%	5.0	30.6	0.0	1
Eastern Michigan	53.2	9.1	75%	38%	53%	4.0	31.4	0.0	1
Duke	52.3	6.1	83%	67%	47%	8.0	32.3	0.0	1
Miami	51.9	6.9	80%	60%	54%	7.0	31.1	0.0	1
Texas State	50.6	5.3	62%	62%	53%	4.0	29.4	1.0	1
Oregon	50.3	7.0	70%	50%	38%	6.0	31.3	0.0	1
Illinois	49.9	8.1	44%	22%	38%	2.0	30.6	0.0	1
Florida Atlantic	49.7	8.2	55%	45%	46%	6.0	30.7	0.0	1
Oklahoma State	49.5	6.0	67%	33%	20%	6.0	28.8	1.0	1
Florida State	49.1	5.6	67%	44%	20%	4.0	20.6	0.0	1
Indiana	48.3	7.1	50%	30%	50%	6.0	34.5	0.0	1
UNLV	48.3	6.4	50%	40%	33%	3.0	30.8	0.0	1
Virginia	47.8	7.2	50%	50%	32%	6.0	36.1	1.0	1
Wyoming	47.5	7.9	62%	38%	40%	6.0	32.0	0.0	1
Rutgers	47.4	6.2	83%	58%	43%	8.0	36.7	0.0	1
Oregon State	47.1	5.9	60%	40%	27%	6.0	25.6	1.0	1
SMU	46.9	6.4	46%	38%	60%	5.0	33.9	2.0	1
West Virginia	46.5	8.1	36%	27%	53%	6.0	30.9	1.0	1
USC	45.6	7.8	50%	30%	15%	5.0	28.5	0.0	1
Miami (OH)	45.5	5.9	36%	36%	36%	2.0	32.5	0.0	1
Kentucky	45.2	5.4	54%	46%	22%	7.0	31.6	1.0	1
Rice	44.8	6.5	40%	30%	33%	3.0	27.2	1.0	1
Florida International	43.4	7.9	50%	25%	53%	4.0	32.4	1.0	1
Stanford	43.0	6.8	55%	36%	33%	6.0	30.0	0.0	1
Marshall	42.1	5.9	57%	29%	12%	9.0	32.9	2.0	1
Notre Dame	42.0	5.3	55%	55%	50%	4.0	24.6	1.0	1
Florida	41.9	6.4	67%	58%	46%	7.0	36.5	0.0	1
Hawai'i	41.6	8.6	25%	12%	29%	4.0	27.8	0.0	1
Fresno State	41.3	6.3	55%	45%	38%	6.0	32.5	0.0	1
Michigan	40.4	7.0	40%	20%	28%	5.0	34.3	0.0	1
Arkansas State	40.3	7.2	33%	22%	36%	3.0	32.6	0.0	1
Clemson	40.2	7.4	44%	22%	33%	3.0	32.0	2.0	1
Liberty	40.2	5.4	50%	33%	38%	6.0	32.5	1.0	1
Kansas State	39.7	7.5	45%	27%	50%	5.0	33.1	1.0	1
Northern Illinois	39.7	6.7	18%	18%	20%	4.0	32.8	1.0	1
Alabama	39.5	4.8	50%	50%	33%	5.0	30.1	0.0	1
Mississippi State	39.2	6.6	42%	33%	39%	5.0	28.3	1.0	1
Georgia Tech	39.0	7.3	50%	30%	25%	5.0	29.4	1.0	1
Utah	38.7	5.6	45%	36%	21%	4.0	27.9	0.0	1
Middle Tennessee	38.6	7.2	25%	25%	27%	1.0	27.2	0.0	1
East Carolina	38.4	4.6	38%	38%	43%	5.0	21.4	2.0	1
Toledo	38.2	6.1	50%	33%	41%	4.0	33.3	0.0	1
NC State	38.2	6.8	58%	42%	43%	7.0	36.3	1.0	1
Cincinnati	37.8	4.7	45%	36%	25%	3.0	26.5	1.0	1
Boise State	37.8	6.7	50%	40%	50%	5.0	36.8	0.0	1
Arkansas	37.6	6.9	58%	25%	47%	7.0	37.5	0.0	1
Northwestern	37.6	6.4	56%	33%	33%	3.0	25.0	0.0	1
Ole Miss	37.4	5.2	42%	25%	29%	5.0	22.6	0.0	1
UTSA	37.4	5.3	64%	57%	32%	4.0	28.1	0.0	1
LSU	37.2	5.2	38%	38%	29%	6.0	30.3	0.0	1
Georgia Southern	37.0	7.2	44%	44%	44%	2.0	31.1	1.0	1
Nevada	36.9	5.8	58%	25%	25%	6.0	23.9	0.0	1
Troy	36.7	6.9	17%	8%	44%	2.0	34.2	3.0	1
UCLA	36.4	4.6	50%	36%	20%	6.0	31.5	2.0	1
Air Force	36.2	7.2	50%	33%	39%	6.0	36.1	0.0	1
Nebraska	35.8	6.5	45%	36%	38%	5.0	30.2	0.0	1
Kennesaw State	35.7	7.0	22%	22%	44%	3.0	27.1	0.0	1
New Mexico	34.9	5.9	55%	55%	29%	7.0	33.8	0.0	1
New Mexico State	34.9	6.5	27%	18%	43%	4.0	25.9	1.0	1
UConn	34.7	5.7	27%	27%	29%	2.0	26.8	0.0	1
Wake Forest	34.3	5.3	50%	25%	17%	4.0	26.2	1.0	1
Louisville	34.1	6.5	42%	25%	32%	5.0	33.5	2.0	1
Buffalo	34.1	7.2	46%	31%	44%	5.0	38.5	2.0	1
Colorado State	33.9	5.6	50%	43%	26%	5.0	30.9	0.0	1
Arizona	33.5	5.6	50%	29%	39%	3.0	34.0	1.0	1
Utah State	32.9	4.6	23%	23%	36%	3.0	25.7	2.0	1
Kent State	32.8	6.9	40%	30%	26%	4.0	35.2	0.0	1
Missouri	32.8	6.4	33%	25%	28%	4.0	31.3	0.0	1
Massachusetts	32.7	4.9	36%	36%	24%	3.0	28.1	0.0	1
Navy	32.5	6.6	36%	18%	32%	4.0	34.4	1.0	1
Iowa State	32.3	6.7	27%	18%	12%	1.0	31.6	1.0	1
Army	32.2	7.0	33%	33%	40%	3.0	37.9	0.0	1
Texas Tech	31.4	4.7	36%	36%	30%	4.0	24.6	1.0	1
Tulane	31.4	5.2	27%	20%	28%	4.0	30.5	0.0	1
South Carolina	31.2	5.8	31%	15%	21%	3.0	29.2	2.0	1
App State	31.1	4.8	38%	31%	12%	4.0	23.5	0.0	1
Akron	30.5	5.5	27%	9%	43%	3.0	25.9	2.0	1
Washington State	30.5	6.1	25%	17%	33%	2.0	25.8	2.0	1
Virginia Tech	30.4	6.1	31%	15%	22%	2.0	28.6	0.0	1
TCU	29.8	6.4	27%	9%	50%	4.0	32.7	4.0	1
UCF	29.7	5.3	30%	30%	36%	4.0	27.2	1.0	1
Vanderbilt	28.6	7.2	45%	9%	18%	2.0	37.5	1.0	1
Auburn	28.2	5.9	20%	20%	47%	2.0	22.5	1.0	1
Southern Miss	28.0	4.7	21%	21%	6%	3.0	29.3	1.0	1
James Madison	28.0	5.5	60%	33%	33%	10.0	32.9	1.0	1
Sacramento State	27.8	7.3	27%	0%	38%	4.0	31.7	2.0	1
UTEP	27.8	6.6	10%	10%	35%	4.0	34.4	0.0	1
Western Michigan	27.4	5.8	11%	11%	25%	1.0	23.1	1.0	1
Michigan State	27.2	6.3	30%	10%	44%	3.0	29.4	2.0	1
Iowa	26.9	5.5	27%	27%	30%	2.0	25.0	0.0	1
Colorado	26.8	5.5	20%	7%	21%	3.0	31.3	1.0	1
UL Monroe	26.4	4.8	33%	17%	25%	2.0	29.1	0.0	1
Missouri State	26.4	6.3	30%	20%	24%	3.0	25.7	1.0	1
Ball State	26.3	6.0	33%	22%	33%	2.0	24.4	0.0	1
Minnesota	26.1	4.9	38%	23%	28%	5.0	35.8	0.0	1
UAB	25.5	5.1	36%	27%	50%	1.0	25.4	1.0	1
Georgia State	25.3	4.4	38%	38%	40%	3.0	26.5	2.0	1
California	24.9	5.9	20%	0%	23%	2.0	25.8	1.0	1
South Alabama	24.7	5.4	21%	21%	29%	3.0	28.3	1.0	1
Wisconsin	24.6	5.2	38%	23%	20%	3.0	29.5	2.0	1
Baylor	24.3	5.1	33%	13%	37%	5.0	28.4	0.0	1
San Diego State	23.8	5.3	31%	15%	25%	3.0	26.2	2.0	1
Washington	23.4	4.3	31%	23%	9%	4.0	23.9	1.0	1
Georgia	23.0	3.9	43%	29%	38%	3.0	24.6	1.0	1
Coastal Carolina	22.9	6.1	27%	18%	28%	0.0	27.1	0.0	1
Louisiana	21.9	6.2	54%	31%	31%	5.0	40.8	1.0	1
Texas	21.4	4.8	42%	17%	17%	4.0	28.5	1.0	1
Tulsa	20.5	5.0	9%	9%	26%	1.0	22.2	2.0	1
Tennessee	20.5	5.9	15%	8%	24%	1.0	31.2	0.0	1
South Florida	20.0	4.9	18%	18%	31%	2.0	27.4	0.0	1
Bowling Green	19.7	6.3	20%	0%	28%	1.0	32.5	0.0	1
Oklahoma	19.1	4.7	20%	13%	14%	3.0	35.2	3.0	1
Penn State	18.5	5.2	23%	8%	26%	3.0	30.4	1.0	1
Purdue	17.8	5.8	25%	8%	35%	2.0	35.2	0.0	1
Boston College	17.5	4.7	15%	15%	14%	2.0	31.3	0.0	1
Old Dominion	16.7	4.7	27%	13%	29%	2.0	26.6	2.0	1
Central Michigan	15.8	5.2	10%	0%	35%	0.0	28.8	2.0	1
Delaware	14.6	5.3	9%	0%	25%	1.0	23.8	0.0	1
Sam Houston	14.4	4.1	25%	12%	24%	1.0	34.5	2.0	1
Maryland	12.2	4.4	19%	0%	11%	3.0	28.2	4.0	1
Texas A&M	11.9	4.4	14%	0%	33%	1.0	29.6	2.0	1
Charlotte	11.0	3.8	0%	0%	17%	0.0	18.6	3.0	1

Drive data covers 71 games, week 4. A red-zone trip is any drive reaching the opponent's 20. Third-down rate is conversions per attempt. Time of possession counts only drives credited to that offence.