Drive efficiency, first-quarter scoring and in-game win probability for 111 FBS teams in college football week 8, 2026. TCU averaged 50.8 yards per drive, the most in the country. The biggest comeback: Memphis trailed by 14 and beat East Carolina 41–34.
Every team that trailed and still won, ranked by how far behind they fell. Win probability is ESPN's live model at the winner's lowest valid point; treat it as colour, not gospel.
| Winner | Result | Deficit | Low win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis | beat East Carolina 41–34 | down 14 | 16.9% |
| Florida Atlantic | beat Rice 51–49 | down 14 | 27.4% |
| UL Monroe | beat Troy 21–14 | down 11 | 0.1% |
| App State | beat James Madison 34–31 | down 11 | 6.2% |
| Kansas | beat Baylor 25–24 | down 11 | 7.8% |
| Syracuse | beat North Carolina 31–30 | down 10 | 3.7% |
| Illinois | beat Oregon 21–10 | down 10 | 7.6% |
| Boston College | beat Georgia Tech 49–27 | down 10 | 12.0% |
| Utah | beat Houston 21–13 | down 10 | 25.3% |
| Kentucky | beat Vanderbilt 34–17 | down 10 | 55.6% |
| Middle Tennessee | beat Florida International 26–23 | down 8 | 10.1% |
| South Carolina | beat Tennessee 27–24 | down 7 | 3.7% |
First-quarter points scored and allowed per game, then points by quarter. Sorted by first-quarter margin.
| Team | Q1 for | Q1 against | Q1 margin | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Gm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northwestern | 21.0 | 3.0 | +18.0 | 21.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 1 |
| South Carolina | 14.0 | 0.0 | +14.0 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 1 |
| Toledo | 14.0 | 0.0 | +14.0 | 14.0 | 17.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 1 |
| Liberty | 14.0 | 0.0 | +14.0 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 1 |
| Louisiana Tech | 14.0 | 0.0 | +14.0 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1 |
| Arizona | 15.0 | 3.0 | +12.0 | 15.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 1 |
| North Texas | 14.0 | 3.0 | +11.0 | 14.0 | 14.0 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 1 |
| Georgia Tech | 10.0 | 0.0 | +10.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 1 |
| Miami | 10.0 | 0.0 | +10.0 | 10.0 | 21.0 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 1 |
| North Carolina | 10.0 | 0.0 | +10.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1 |
| East Carolina | 10.0 | 0.0 | +10.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 1 |
| LSU | 10.0 | 3.0 | +7.0 | 10.0 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 1 |
| Texas | 10.0 | 3.0 | +7.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 1 |
| BYU | 7.0 | 0.0 | +7.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1 |
| Colorado | 14.0 | 7.0 | +7.0 | 14.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Stanford | 14.0 | 7.0 | +7.0 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1 |
| Oregon | 7.0 | 0.0 | +7.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Michigan State | 7.0 | 0.0 | +7.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1 |
| Boise State | 7.0 | 0.0 | +7.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 1 |
| Rice | 14.0 | 7.0 | +7.0 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 21.0 | 7.0 | 1 |
| UTSA | 14.0 | 7.0 | +7.0 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 1 |
| Wyoming | 7.0 | 0.0 | +7.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 1 |
| Hawai'i | 14.0 | 7.0 | +7.0 | 14.0 | 21.0 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 1 |
| Nevada | 7.0 | 0.0 | +7.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 1 |
| Akron | 7.0 | 0.0 | +7.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 1 |
| Ohio | 7.0 | 0.0 | +7.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 1 |
| James Madison | 7.0 | 0.0 | +7.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 1 |
| Arkansas State | 7.0 | 0.0 | +7.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 10.0 | 1 |
| Missouri State | 14.0 | 7.0 | +7.0 | 14.0 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1 |
| Sam Houston | 7.0 | 0.0 | +7.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 1 |
| Troy | 7.0 | 0.0 | +7.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 1 |
| TCU | 7.0 | 3.0 | +4.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 1 |
| UConn | 7.0 | 3.0 | +4.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 1 |
| New Mexico | 7.0 | 3.0 | +4.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 1 |
| Miami (OH) | 7.0 | 3.0 | +4.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 1 |
| Alabama | 10.0 | 7.0 | +3.0 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 1 |
| Vanderbilt | 3.0 | 0.0 | +3.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Oklahoma | 3.0 | 0.0 | +3.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 1 |
| Texas Tech | 6.0 | 3.0 | +3.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 1 |
| SMU | 10.0 | 7.0 | +3.0 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 21.0 | 21.0 | 1 |
Per-drive rates, so teams that played twice stay comparable. Time of possession is minutes per game on offence.
| Team | Yds/drive | Plays/drive | Score% | TD% | 3rd down | RZ trips/gm | TOP | TO/gm | Gm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCU | 50.8 | 8.5 | 40% | 20% | 53% | 5.0 | 37.5 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Navy | 47.6 | 6.5 | 67% | 42% | 33% | 5.0 | 37.4 | 1.0 | 1 |
| LSU | 47.5 | 7.4 | 55% | 45% | 17% | 5.0 | 33.7 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Stanford | 47.2 | 7.1 | 50% | 40% | 28% | 4.0 | 29.8 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Oklahoma State | 46.7 | 6.2 | 85% | 46% | 36% | 8.0 | 30.8 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Toledo | 46.3 | 6.0 | 53% | 47% | 36% | 7.0 | 33.2 | 2.0 | 1 |
| San Diego State | 46.2 | 6.0 | 75% | 50% | 47% | 6.0 | 26.8 | 2.0 | 1 |
| Northwestern | 45.2 | 6.1 | 55% | 55% | 57% | 4.0 | 33.2 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Colorado State | 44.9 | 6.1 | 58% | 58% | 75% | 8.0 | 32.4 | 2.0 | 1 |
| SMU | 44.5 | 5.8 | 75% | 67% | 20% | 7.0 | 28.5 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Arizona | 44.2 | 6.8 | 55% | 45% | 38% | 4.0 | 34.4 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Rice | 43.1 | 4.2 | 64% | 50% | 33% | 1.0 | 28.9 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Kent State | 42.8 | 5.5 | 45% | 45% | 23% | 6.0 | 25.6 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Air Force | 42.1 | 10.0 | 38% | 12% | 40% | 4.0 | 37.7 | 3.0 | 1 |
| Boston College | 42.1 | 5.5 | 58% | 50% | 33% | 7.0 | 33.6 | 0.0 | 1 |
| North Texas | 42.0 | 4.7 | 45% | 45% | 25% | 3.0 | 22.3 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Kentucky | 41.8 | 7.4 | 67% | 44% | 40% | 6.0 | 31.1 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Hawai'i | 41.1 | 5.8 | 62% | 62% | 50% | 7.0 | 37.5 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Louisiana Tech | 40.3 | 8.3 | 50% | 30% | 45% | 6.0 | 39.3 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Akron | 40.2 | 7.4 | 40% | 20% | 35% | 4.0 | 33.5 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Oklahoma | 40.2 | 6.3 | 42% | 17% | 37% | 4.0 | 33.3 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Delaware | 39.8 | 5.9 | 85% | 62% | 31% | 8.0 | 34.0 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Boise State | 39.7 | 6.2 | 50% | 40% | 35% | 4.0 | 29.4 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Missouri State | 38.7 | 5.5 | 45% | 36% | 44% | 5.0 | 24.7 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Syracuse | 38.6 | 7.6 | 45% | 36% | 32% | 4.0 | 31.1 | 0.0 | 1 |
| UCF | 38.4 | 7.1 | 50% | 42% | 40% | 7.0 | 32.5 | 0.0 | 1 |
| North Carolina | 38.2 | 7.2 | 60% | 30% | 38% | 5.0 | 28.4 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Utah | 38.2 | 5.6 | 27% | 27% | 33% | 3.0 | 30.0 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Georgia State | 37.4 | 5.2 | 42% | 33% | 17% | 3.0 | 28.4 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Ball State | 37.2 | 5.8 | 42% | 42% | 50% | 6.0 | 33.8 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Alabama | 37.1 | 5.5 | 36% | 27% | 47% | 5.0 | 26.8 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Arkansas State | 36.8 | 5.3 | 46% | 38% | 17% | 7.0 | 31.3 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Miami | 36.7 | 5.9 | 69% | 54% | 56% | 7.0 | 36.3 | 0.0 | 1 |
| UCLA | 36.7 | 6.2 | 31% | 31% | 35% | 5.0 | 35.8 | 2.0 | 1 |
| NC State | 36.6 | 6.4 | 40% | 40% | 47% | 3.0 | 29.6 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Florida Atlantic | 36.2 | 6.2 | 46% | 46% | 42% | 4.0 | 30.5 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Ohio | 36.1 | 5.5 | 40% | 20% | 23% | 2.0 | 27.2 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Buffalo | 35.9 | 5.8 | 45% | 36% | 47% | 4.0 | 24.2 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Houston | 35.0 | 6.8 | 30% | 10% | 48% | 3.0 | 29.8 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Tulsa | 35.0 | 5.5 | 45% | 45% | 29% | 5.0 | 25.9 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Middle Tennessee | 34.9 | 5.2 | 50% | 17% | 19% | 3.0 | 29.0 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Kansas | 34.7 | 6.8 | 46% | 23% | 24% | 3.0 | 36.5 | 2.0 | 1 |
| Georgia Tech | 34.3 | 5.2 | 50% | 25% | 13% | 4.0 | 25.2 | 2.0 | 1 |
| Texas Tech | 33.8 | 6.8 | 42% | 8% | 21% | 4.0 | 30.1 | 2.0 | 1 |
| Virginia | 33.3 | 6.8 | 33% | 8% | 27% | 4.0 | 38.7 | 2.0 | 1 |
| Miami (OH) | 32.3 | 5.8 | 42% | 33% | 33% | 6.0 | 30.9 | 2.0 | 1 |
| Rutgers | 32.2 | 6.2 | 27% | 9% | 39% | 3.0 | 26.5 | 2.0 | 1 |
| UConn | 32.2 | 5.1 | 31% | 31% | 29% | 3.0 | 34.1 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Oregon | 32.0 | 5.9 | 15% | 8% | 19% | 2.0 | 29.2 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Southern Miss | 31.9 | 5.5 | 27% | 27% | 21% | 4.0 | 25.5 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Tennessee | 31.6 | 7.4 | 40% | 30% | 30% | 4.0 | 34.2 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Eastern Michigan | 31.3 | 5.4 | 31% | 15% | 12% | 3.0 | 32.5 | 0.0 | 1 |
| BYU | 31.1 | 5.8 | 42% | 33% | 32% | 4.0 | 27.4 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Memphis | 30.9 | 5.5 | 47% | 33% | 19% | 6.0 | 30.8 | 0.0 | 1 |
| South Carolina | 30.8 | 5.9 | 45% | 27% | 21% | 4.0 | 25.8 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Pittsburgh | 30.5 | 4.7 | 23% | 23% | 33% | 2.0 | 23.5 | 1.0 | 1 |
| East Carolina | 30.2 | 5.4 | 47% | 20% | 30% | 7.0 | 29.0 | 1.0 | 1 |
| South Alabama | 30.1 | 7.1 | 27% | 9% | 17% | 2.0 | 30.4 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Washington State | 29.9 | 8.2 | 22% | 11% | 33% | 2.0 | 30.8 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Marshall | 29.8 | 6.4 | 36% | 18% | 38% | 4.0 | 29.2 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Cincinnati | 29.5 | 4.7 | 47% | 33% | 29% | 4.0 | 29.3 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Tulane | 29.1 | 5.7 | 25% | 8% | 47% | 4.0 | 24.7 | 4.0 | 1 |
| UTSA | 29.0 | 5.0 | 50% | 43% | 50% | 7.0 | 35.3 | 3.0 | 1 |
| Florida International | 28.8 | 4.8 | 25% | 25% | 29% | 2.0 | 26.5 | 2.0 | 1 |
| Liberty | 28.7 | 5.3 | 50% | 33% | 27% | 4.0 | 37.1 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Duke | 28.5 | 4.3 | 33% | 17% | 18% | 1.0 | 21.1 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Bowling Green | 28.4 | 5.3 | 33% | 25% | 53% | 3.0 | 35.6 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Texas | 28.4 | 4.9 | 47% | 27% | 22% | 5.0 | 34.9 | 2.0 | 1 |
| USC | 28.3 | 8.6 | 11% | 11% | 53% | 4.0 | 27.2 | 3.0 | 1 |
| Mississippi State | 28.1 | 5.2 | 17% | 17% | 15% | 2.0 | 26.7 | 2.0 | 1 |
| Vanderbilt | 27.9 | 6.0 | 33% | 22% | 54% | 2.0 | 28.9 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Ole Miss | 27.9 | 5.7 | 27% | 13% | 32% | 2.0 | 25.0 | 3.0 | 1 |
| Army | 27.8 | 5.2 | 54% | 31% | 22% | 5.0 | 33.5 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Louisiana | 27.7 | 5.5 | 40% | 27% | 40% | 5.0 | 34.0 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Texas State | 27.6 | 7.9 | 33% | 11% | 52% | 3.0 | 27.7 | 0.0 | 1 |
| West Virginia | 27.0 | 5.4 | 36% | 27% | 41% | 2.0 | 22.4 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Western Michigan | 27.0 | 4.8 | 38% | 31% | 33% | 4.0 | 26.0 | 2.0 | 1 |
| Baylor | 26.6 | 5.7 | 25% | 17% | 31% | 2.0 | 23.1 | 2.0 | 1 |
| Kennesaw State | 26.5 | 6.4 | 18% | 0% | 35% | 2.0 | 22.4 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Colorado | 26.4 | 4.5 | 29% | 21% | 25% | 3.0 | 29.0 | 3.0 | 1 |
| Clemson | 26.2 | 5.9 | 36% | 9% | 24% | 3.0 | 27.6 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Illinois | 26.2 | 4.8 | 25% | 25% | 39% | 1.0 | 30.8 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Wisconsin | 26.1 | 6.6 | 44% | 33% | 35% | 4.0 | 32.6 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Utah State | 25.9 | 6.6 | 45% | 18% | 24% | 2.0 | 31.6 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Arizona State | 25.9 | 5.1 | 29% | 29% | 20% | 6.0 | 26.8 | 0.0 | 1 |
| James Madison | 25.2 | 4.9 | 31% | 25% | 11% | 3.0 | 26.8 | 1.0 | 1 |
| California | 25.0 | 5.7 | 33% | 17% | 25% | 3.0 | 31.4 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Texas A&M | 24.4 | 5.2 | 42% | 17% | 40% | 5.0 | 33.2 | 2.0 | 1 |
| Iowa State | 24.1 | 5.9 | 10% | 0% | 20% | 1.0 | 25.6 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Sacramento State | 23.9 | 4.9 | 25% | 17% | 20% | 2.0 | 25.9 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Auburn | 23.3 | 6.0 | 27% | 18% | 25% | 3.0 | 26.3 | 0.0 | 1 |
| New Mexico State | 23.2 | 4.5 | 38% | 25% | 14% | 4.0 | 34.3 | 3.0 | 1 |
| Central Michigan | 23.1 | 5.6 | 36% | 18% | 33% | 4.0 | 28.7 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Northern Illinois | 23.0 | 4.2 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 3.0 | 22.0 | 3.0 | 1 |
| Kansas State | 22.9 | 5.7 | 23% | 15% | 29% | 3.0 | 31.9 | 0.0 | 1 |
| New Mexico | 22.8 | 5.0 | 17% | 17% | 29% | 2.0 | 30.5 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Iowa | 22.5 | 5.2 | 15% | 8% | 39% | 2.0 | 31.1 | 1.0 | 1 |
| UL Monroe | 22.3 | 5.2 | 25% | 17% | 26% | 4.0 | 26.9 | 0.0 | 1 |
| App State | 22.2 | 4.9 | 44% | 19% | 24% | 6.0 | 33.2 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Virginia Tech | 21.6 | 6.0 | 33% | 17% | 28% | 3.0 | 32.3 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Massachusetts | 20.2 | 5.2 | 31% | 15% | 6% | 3.0 | 25.6 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Michigan | 19.5 | 6.0 | 15% | 0% | 29% | 4.0 | 33.7 | 2.0 | 1 |
| Nevada | 19.3 | 4.9 | 27% | 27% | 40% | 3.0 | 38.1 | 1.0 | 1 |
| North Dakota State | 19.2 | 4.9 | 31% | 15% | 33% | 3.0 | 29.3 | 2.0 | 1 |
| Indiana | 17.2 | 4.7 | 25% | 8% | 33% | 3.0 | 26.3 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Old Dominion | 15.1 | 5.2 | 0% | 0% | 38% | 0.0 | 20.6 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Troy | 14.6 | 4.7 | 21% | 14% | 14% | 2.0 | 32.7 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Michigan State | 13.5 | 4.2 | 15% | 8% | 17% | 2.0 | 24.0 | 2.0 | 1 |
| Minnesota | 13.5 | 4.6 | 21% | 7% | 12% | 3.0 | 28.8 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Sam Houston | 13.1 | 3.6 | 20% | 13% | 19% | 3.0 | 24.9 | 2.0 | 1 |
| San José State | 12.8 | 4.1 | 21% | 7% | 6% | 2.0 | 21.6 | 0.0 | 1 |
Drive data covers 56 games, week 8. A red-zone trip is any drive reaching the opponent's 20. Third-down rate is conversions per attempt. Time of possession counts only drives credited to that offence.