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First-Quarter Player Props — NFL Week 1, 2026

DraftKings, ESPN BET and Hard Rock have posted 135 first-quarter player props across 12 week-1 games so far. Each one below sits beside the player's 2025 first-quarter average and how often he cleared that exact number. The widest gap between the price and last season's rate: Tyler Allgeier under 13.5 rushing yards — he went under that number in 15 of 17 games last season (88%), and the price implies 51%.

Q1 passing yards

PlayerGameLineBest over / under2025 Q1 avgCleared it
Daniel Jones QB · INDTEN@IND51.5
ESPN BET 49.5 · Hard Rock 50.5
-112 / -115
DraftKings
70.210 of 13
Cam Ward QB · TENTEN@IND35.5
ESPN BET 32.5 · Hard Rock 37.5
-117 / -111
DraftKings
43.911 of 17
Justin Herbert QB · LACLAC@KC36.5
ESPN BET 31.5
-114 / -113
DraftKings
49.210 of 16
Brock Purdy QB · SFWAS@SF57.5
ESPN BET 54.5 · Hard Rock 55.5
-111 / -117
DraftKings
57.75 of 9
Geno Smith QB · NYJNYJ@NE42.5-115 / -112
Hard Rock / DraftKings
48.68 of 15
Jordan Love QB · GBDAL@GB56.5
ESPN BET 49.5
-115 / -112
Hard Rock / DraftKings
60.78 of 15
Caleb Williams QB · CHICHI@ATL46.5
ESPN BET 43.5
-115 / -112
Hard Rock / DraftKings
52.49 of 17
Dak Prescott QB · DALDAL@GB60.5
ESPN BET 54.5 · Hard Rock 58.5
-116 / -112
DraftKings
54.89 of 17
Jacoby Brissett QB · ARIARI@LA45.5
ESPN BET 49.5
-112 / -115
DraftKings / Hard Rock
43.57 of 14
Tyler Shough QB · NONO@NYG46.5
ESPN BET 49.5 · Hard Rock 47.5
-117 / -111
DraftKings
35.45 of 11
Aaron Rodgers QB · PITPIT@TB46.5
Hard Rock 44.5
-110 / -115
ESPN BET / DraftKings
45.27 of 16
Jayden Daniels QB · WASWAS@SF37.5
ESPN BET 35.5
-112 / -115
DraftKings / Hard Rock
35.93 of 7
Matthew Stafford QB · LAARI@LA67.5
ESPN BET 66.5 · Hard Rock 65.5
-114 / -114
DraftKings
63.97 of 17
Bryce Young QB · CARCAR@PHI49.5
Hard Rock 51.5
-115 / -110
DraftKings / ESPN BET
40.26 of 16
Drake Maye QB · NENYJ@NE57.5
ESPN BET 49.5 · Hard Rock 54.5
-115 / -113
DraftKings
51.26 of 16
Josh Allen QB · BUFBUF@LV56.5
ESPN BET 49.5 · Hard Rock 53.5
-115 / -113
DraftKings
42.55 of 16
Patrick Mahomes QB · KCLAC@KC52.5
ESPN BET 49.5 · Hard Rock 51.5
-112 / -116
DraftKings
44.63 of 14
Kirk Cousins QB · LVBUF@LV49.5
Hard Rock 48.5
-114 / -114
DraftKings
33.12 of 10

Q1 rushing yards

PlayerGameLineBest over / under2025 Q1 avgCleared it
Daniel Jones QB · INDTEN@IND0.5+170 / -224
DraftKings
5.19 of 13
Javonte Williams RB · DALDAL@GB17.5-110 / -117
Hard Rock / DraftKings
23.912 of 16
Patrick Mahomes QB · KCLAC@KC0.5+101 / -125
DraftKings / Hard Rock
7.110 of 14
TreVeyon Henderson RB · NENYJ@NE5.5-110 / -120
Hard Rock
11.412 of 17
Bucky Irving RB · TBPIT@TB14.5-115 / -109
Hard Rock / DraftKings
18.67 of 10
Omarion Hampton RB · LACLAC@KC7.5-110 / -115
Hard Rock / ESPN BET
9.26 of 9
Kimani Vidal RB · LACLAC@KC2.5
Hard Rock 1.5
-117 / -111
DraftKings
12.28 of 12
Jordan Love QB · GBDAL@GB0.5+222 / -296
DraftKings
4.26 of 15
Cam Skattebo RB · NYGNO@NYG9.5+135 / -170
ESPN BET
10.44 of 8
Rhamondre Stevenson RB · NENYJ@NE12.5-110 / -108
Hard Rock / DraftKings
21.78 of 14
Jacoby Brissett QB · ARIARI@LA0.5+155 / -210
Hard Rock
3.56 of 14
Drake Maye QB · NENYJ@NE3.5-120 / -108
Hard Rock / DraftKings
7.49 of 16
Tony Pollard RB · TENTEN@IND12.5
ESPN BET 11.5
-108 / -115
DraftKings / Hard Rock
21.99 of 17
Bijan Robinson RB · ATLCHI@ATL22.5
ESPN BET 24.5 · Hard Rock 21.5
-113 / -115
DraftKings
23.29 of 17
James Cook RB · BUFBUF@LV21.5
ESPN BET 19.5
-113 / -110
DraftKings / Hard Rock
28.99 of 17
Christian McCaffrey RB · SFWAS@SF14.5
Hard Rock 13.5
-116 / -112
DraftKings
17.99 of 17
Justin Herbert QB · LACLAC@KC2.5-110 / -115
DraftKings / Hard Rock
7.78 of 16
Jaylen Warren RB · PITPIT@TB13.5
ESPN BET 14.5
-115 / -110
DraftKings / Hard Rock
15.98 of 16
D'Andre Swift RB · CHICHI@ATL17.5
ESPN BET 14.5 · Hard Rock 16.5
-117 / -111
DraftKings
16.88 of 16
Dak Prescott QB · DALDAL@GB0.5+192 / -250
DraftKings / Hard Rock
1.15 of 17
Derrick Henry RB · BALBAL@CLE19.5
Hard Rock 20.5
-109 / -119
DraftKings
26.18 of 17
Kyren Williams RB · LAARI@LA17.5
ESPN BET 16.5 · Hard Rock 16.5
-113 / -114
DraftKings
22.28 of 17
Ashton Jeanty RB · LVBUF@LV14.5
Hard Rock 13.5
-114 / -113
DraftKings
14.98 of 17
Geno Smith QB · NYJNYJ@NE0.5+195 / -231
Hard Rock / DraftKings
2.84 of 15
Keaton Mitchell RB · LACLAC@KC3.5
Hard Rock 2.5
+100 / -124
ESPN BET / DraftKings
4.45 of 12
Jayden Daniels QB · WASWAS@SF5.5-110 / -117
Hard Rock / DraftKings
6.73 of 7
Jonathan Taylor RB · INDTEN@IND23.5
ESPN BET 24.5
-110 / -115
Hard Rock / DraftKings
22.07 of 17
Cam Ward QB · TENTEN@IND0.5+112 / -135
DraftKings / Hard Rock
2.46 of 17
Caleb Williams QB · CHICHI@ATL0.5-115 / -113
Hard Rock / DraftKings
3.77 of 17
Brian Robinson RB · ATLCHI@ATL3.5
Hard Rock 4.5
-110 / -116
ESPN BET / DraftKings
5.06 of 16
Tyler Shough QB · NONO@NYG0.5+135 / -167
Hard Rock / DraftKings
1.53 of 11
Rachaad White RB · WASWAS@SF11.5-115 / -110
Hard Rock / ESPN BET
9.26 of 17
Chuba Hubbard RB · CARCAR@PHI14.5
Hard Rock 16.5
-110 / -109
ESPN BET / DraftKings
8.45 of 15
Kenneth Walker III RB · KCLAC@KC24.5
Hard Rock 22.5
+105 / -119
ESPN BET / DraftKings
15.24 of 17
Josh Allen QB · BUFBUF@LV5.5-106 / -120
DraftKings / Hard Rock
5.04 of 16
Tyler Allgeier RB · ARIARI@LA13.5
Hard Rock 12.5
+105 / -118
ESPN BET / DraftKings
5.82 of 17

Q1 receiving yards

PlayerGameLineBest over / under2025 Q1 avgCleared it
Bucky Irving RB · TBPIT@TB0.5+175 / -218
Hard Rock / DraftKings
9.67 of 10
Colby Parkinson TE · LAARI@LA0.5+246 / -325
DraftKings / Hard Rock
7.78 of 14
Chris Godwin Jr. WR · TBPIT@TB0.5-108 / -120
DraftKings / Hard Rock
10.27 of 9
Rome Odunze WR · CHICHI@ATL0.5+100 / -125
ESPN BET / Hard Rock
21.29 of 12
Darren Waller TE · CARCAR@PHI0.5
ESPN BET 4.5
-104 / -115
DraftKings / Hard Rock
19.26 of 8
Romeo Doubs WR · NENYJ@NE0.5+115 / -140
ESPN BET / Hard Rock
14.911 of 16
Malik Nabers WR · NYGNO@NYG11.5
ESPN BET 10.5
-115 / -109
Hard Rock / DraftKings
25.03 of 4
DK Metcalf WR · PITPIT@TB6.5
ESPN BET 4.5 · Hard Rock 5.5
-115 / -112
DraftKings
22.011 of 15
Michael Mayer TE · LVBUF@LV0.5+113 / -145
DraftKings / Hard Rock
6.98 of 12
Chig Okonkwo TE · WASWAS@SF0.5+116 / -151
DraftKings
7.911 of 17
Quentin Johnston WR · LACLAC@KC0.5+122 / -150
DraftKings / Hard Rock
12.08 of 13
Jonathan Taylor RB · INDTEN@IND0.5+100 / -125
DraftKings / Hard Rock
8.411 of 17
Kyle Pitts TE · ATLCHI@ATL0.5+100 / -128
Hard Rock / DraftKings
14.111 of 17
Drake London WR · ATLCHI@ATL15.5-115 / -110
Hard Rock / ESPN BET
27.98 of 12
Darnell Mooney WR · NYGNO@NYG0.5+198 / -250
DraftKings / Hard Rock
5.57 of 15
Trey McBride TE · ARIARI@LA9.5-114 / -105
DraftKings / ESPN BET
14.811 of 17
Bijan Robinson RB · ATLCHI@ATL2.5
Hard Rock 1.5
-115 / -113
DraftKings
9.711 of 17
Mark Andrews TE · BALBAL@CLE0.5
Hard Rock 1.5
-115 / -113
ESPN BET / DraftKings
7.311 of 17
Juwan Johnson TE · NONO@NYG4.5-115 / -110
ESPN BET / Hard Rock
12.611 of 17
Tetairoa McMillan WR · CARCAR@PHI9.5
Hard Rock 10.5
-118 / -110
DraftKings / ESPN BET
15.611 of 17
Tucker Kraft TE · GBDAL@GB6.5
ESPN BET 5.5
-113 / -110
DraftKings / Hard Rock
21.85 of 8
Harold Fannin Jr. TE · CLEBAL@CLE4.5-115 / -110
Hard Rock / ESPN BET
11.910 of 16
A.J. Brown WR · NENYJ@NE8.5
ESPN BET 6.5 · Hard Rock 7.5
-110 / -117
DraftKings
17.49 of 15
Davante Adams WR · LAARI@LA9.5
Hard Rock 8.5
+100 / -114
ESPN BET / DraftKings
17.08 of 14
Terry McLaurin WR · WASWAS@SF2.5-113 / -115
DraftKings / Hard Rock
9.66 of 10
George Pickens WR · DALDAL@GB10.5
ESPN BET 9.5
-112 / -110
DraftKings / Hard Rock
17.910 of 17
Keenan Allen WR · INDTEN@IND7.5
ESPN BET 6.5
-115 / -108
Hard Rock / DraftKings
10.110 of 17
DeVonta Smith WR · PHICAR@PHI7.5-115 / -112
ESPN BET / DraftKings
12.910 of 17
Garrett Wilson WR · NYJNYJ@NE10.5
ESPN BET 11.5
-115 / -109
Hard Rock / DraftKings
16.14 of 7
Ladd McConkey WR · LACLAC@KC0.5
Hard Rock 1.5
-111 / -117
DraftKings
6.19 of 16
Ashton Jeanty RB · LVBUF@LV0.5+100 / -120
ESPN BET / Hard Rock
5.69 of 17
Jake Ferguson TE · DALDAL@GB0.5-102 / -125
DraftKings / Hard Rock
5.29 of 17
Javonte Williams RB · DALDAL@GB0.5+140 / -177
Hard Rock / DraftKings
2.57 of 16
Wan'Dale Robinson WR · TENTEN@IND3.5
Hard Rock 4.5
-119 / -109
DraftKings
21.79 of 16
Cade Otton TE · TBPIT@TB0.5-107 / -115
DraftKings / Hard Rock
8.28 of 15
Zay Flowers WR · BALBAL@CLE9.5-110 / -115
ESPN BET / Hard Rock
13.69 of 17
Tre Tucker WR · LVBUF@LV0.5
ESPN BET 4.5 · Hard Rock 2.5
-110 / -118
DraftKings
7.49 of 17
Stefon Diggs WR · WASWAS@SF2.5
Hard Rock 3.5
-117 / -111
DraftKings
9.69 of 17
Mason Taylor TE · NYJNYJ@NE0.5+205 / -273
DraftKings
3.44 of 13
Josh Downs WR · INDTEN@IND9.5-110 / -118
Hard Rock / DraftKings
14.28 of 16
Dalton Kincaid TE · BUFBUF@LV8.5
Hard Rock 7.5
-112 / -115
DraftKings
16.46 of 12
Puka Nacua WR · LAARI@LA18.5
ESPN BET 19.5
-115 / -112
Hard Rock / DraftKings
25.48 of 16
Gunnar Helm TE · TENTEN@IND0.5+185 / -230
DraftKings / Hard Rock
2.95 of 16
CeeDee Lamb WR · DALDAL@GB15.5
ESPN BET 14.5 · Hard Rock 14.5
-111 / -117
DraftKings
25.16 of 13
George Kittle TE · SFWAS@SF11.5-110 / -113
Hard Rock / DraftKings
13.45 of 11
DeMario Douglas WR · NENYJ@NE0.5+148 / -190
DraftKings / ESPN BET
5.65 of 16
Jaylen Warren RB · PITPIT@TB1.5
Hard Rock 2.5
-113 / -114
DraftKings
3.47 of 16
Ryan Flournoy WR · DALDAL@GB0.5+105 / -125
DraftKings / Hard Rock
7.65 of 13
Christian McCaffrey RB · SFWAS@SF6.5-107 / -120
DraftKings / Hard Rock
8.17 of 17
Xavier Worthy WR · KCLAC@KC7.5-115 / -113
Hard Rock / DraftKings
8.56 of 14
Matthew Golden WR · GBDAL@GB10.5
ESPN BET 9.5
-115 / -110
Hard Rock / DraftKings
9.66 of 14
D'Andre Swift RB · CHICHI@ATL0.5+137 / -179
DraftKings
2.55 of 16
Travis Kelce TE · KCLAC@KC9.5
ESPN BET 8.5 · Hard Rock 8.5
-109 / -119
DraftKings
8.87 of 17
Emeka Egbuka WR · TBPIT@TB4.5-115 / -110
Hard Rock / DraftKings
7.27 of 17
Michael Wilson WR · ARIARI@LA7.5
ESPN BET 9.5
-115 / -110
Hard Rock / DraftKings
10.87 of 17
Christian Watson WR · GBDAL@GB12.5
ESPN BET 14.5 · Hard Rock 11.5
-113 / -114
DraftKings
11.24 of 10
Charlie Kolar TE · LACLAC@KC0.5+145 / -195
Hard Rock
3.13 of 11
Luther Burden III WR · CHICHI@ATL6.5-117 / -110
DraftKings / Hard Rock
13.76 of 15
Darnell Washington TE · PITPIT@TB0.5+121 / -150
DraftKings / Hard Rock
6.54 of 13
Kyren Williams RB · LAARI@LA0.5+100 / -124
ESPN BET / DraftKings
1.96 of 17
Rachaad White RB · WASWAS@SF0.5+160 / -204
Hard Rock / DraftKings
1.14 of 17
Colston Loveland TE · CHICHI@ATL0.5
ESPN BET 1.5 · Hard Rock 1.5
-113 / -114
DraftKings
6.86 of 16
Mike Evans WR · SFWAS@SF13.5
Hard Rock 12.5
-113 / -114
DraftKings
11.93 of 8
Dontayvion Wicks WR · PHICAR@PHI0.5+115 / -140
Hard Rock / ESPN BET
5.84 of 13
Chuba Hubbard RB · CARCAR@PHI0.5+125 / -155
DraftKings / Hard Rock
3.34 of 15
Kenneth Walker III RB · KCLAC@KC1.5-115 / -111
Hard Rock / DraftKings
7.46 of 17
Dallas Goedert TE · PHICAR@PHI4.5-112 / -115
DraftKings / Hard Rock
6.55 of 15
Brock Bowers TE · LVBUF@LV12.5-112 / -115
DraftKings / Hard Rock
11.34 of 12
Rashod Bateman WR · BALBAL@CLE0.5+170 / -224
DraftKings
1.82 of 13
Kalif Raymond WR · CHICHI@ATL0.5+111 / -130
DraftKings / Hard Rock
2.83 of 12
Rhamondre Stevenson RB · NENYJ@NE0.5-108 / -120
DraftKings / Hard Rock
3.14 of 14
Pat Freiermuth TE · PITPIT@TB0.5-104 / -115
DraftKings / Hard Rock
1.94 of 15
Tyler Allgeier RB · ARIARI@LA0.5+172 / -226
DraftKings
0.52 of 17
Jalen Coker WR · CARCAR@PHI9.5
Hard Rock 8.5
-113 / -115
DraftKings / ESPN BET
4.13 of 11
Isaiah Likely TE · NYGNO@NYG7.5
ESPN BET 6.5
-115 / -111
Hard Rock / DraftKings
7.13 of 11
Chris Olave WR · NONO@NYG13.5
ESPN BET 14.5 · Hard Rock 12.5
-111 / -117
DraftKings
11.14 of 16
Jahan Dotson WR · ATLCHI@ATL0.5+175 / -225
Hard Rock / DraftKings
0.21 of 14
DJ Moore WR · BUFBUF@LV8.5
ESPN BET 9.5 · Hard Rock 7.5
-115 / -112
DraftKings
7.94 of 17
Kendrick Bourne WR · ARIARI@LA0.5+110 / -128
Hard Rock / DraftKings
5.42 of 14
Khalil Shakir WR · BUFBUF@LV5.5
Hard Rock 4.5
-118 / -109
DraftKings
5.13 of 16
Hunter Henry TE · NENYJ@NE0.5-105 / -123
Hard Rock / DraftKings
3.62 of 16

"Cleared it" counts 2025 regular-season games where the player's first-quarter total beat today's line — the number the book is asking about, not a season average. Rate is that share of games; implied is the over price converted to a probability; gap is rate minus implied. Small samples (under 8 games) deserve less weight. Lines captured 2026-10-19 00:17 UTC. Not betting advice.

FAQ

Which NFL players have first-quarter props posted for week 1?

DraftKings, ESPN BET and Hard Rock have 135 Q1 player yardage lines up across 12 games: passing, rushing and receiving yards in the first quarter. Books post these close to kickoff, so the list grows through the week.

How do you evaluate a first-quarter prop?

Against the player's own first-quarter history: his 2025 Q1 average and how often he cleared this exact line, from play-by-play. That rate is compared to the probability the price implies. A positive gap means last season's rate beat the price.

Methodology: first-quarter yardage is yards gained on plays snapped in Q1, from nflverse play-by-play, 2025 regular season; lines are DraftKings first-quarter markets captured by our own snapshot. Updated 2026-10-19.

Open the live model — any player, any line, all four quarters →

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