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First-Quarter Player Props — NFL Week 10, 2026

DraftKings, ESPN BET and Hard Rock have posted 34 first-quarter player props across 3 week-10 games so far. Each one below sits beside the player's 2025 first-quarter average and how often he cleared that exact number. The widest gap between the price and last season's rate: Jahmyr Gibbs under 23.5 rushing yards — he went under that number in 15 of 17 games last season (88%), and the price implies 47%.

Q1 passing yards

PlayerGameLineBest over / under2025 Q1 avgCleared it
Jared Goff QB · DETNE@DET58.5-115 / -115
Hard Rock
65.611 of 17
J.J. McCarthy QB · NYGWAS@NYG40.5
ESPN BET 42.5 · Hard Rock 41.5
-114 / -114
DraftKings
43.96 of 10
Jayden Daniels QB · WASWAS@NYG40.5
Hard Rock 41.5
-116 / -105
DraftKings / ESPN BET
35.93 of 7
Drake Maye QB · NENE@DET53.5-115 / -115
Hard Rock
51.26 of 16
Josh Allen QB · BUFBUF@MIN47.5
ESPN BET 49.5 · Hard Rock 48.5
-115 / -112
DraftKings
42.56 of 16

Q1 rushing yards

PlayerGameLineBest over / under2025 Q1 avgCleared it
Drake Maye QB · NENE@DET2.5-120 / -110
Hard Rock
7.411 of 16
Aaron Jones RB · MINBUF@MIN6.5
Hard Rock 7.5
-113 / +100
DraftKings / ESPN BET
14.27 of 12
J.J. McCarthy QB · NYGWAS@NYG0.5+114 / -130
DraftKings / Hard Rock
3.75 of 10
James Cook RB · BUFBUF@MIN21.5
ESPN BET 19.5 · Hard Rock 20.5
-113 / -115
DraftKings
28.99 of 17
Devin Singletary RB · NYGWAS@NYG2.5
ESPN BET 3.5
-118 / +100
DraftKings / Hard Rock
5.88 of 17
Jayden Daniels QB · WASWAS@NYG4.5
Hard Rock 5.5
-121 / -107
DraftKings
6.73 of 7
Jordan Mason RB · MINBUF@MIN10.5
ESPN BET 9.5
-110 / -117
Hard Rock / DraftKings
8.56 of 16
Rachaad White RB · WASWAS@NYG9.5-110 / -110
Hard Rock / ESPN BET
9.26 of 17
Josh Allen QB · BUFBUF@MIN4.5-107 / -120
DraftKings / Hard Rock
5.05 of 16
Cam Skattebo RB · NYGWAS@NYG14.5-118 / +100
DraftKings / ESPN BET
10.42 of 8
Jahmyr Gibbs RB · DETNE@DET23.5-115 / -115
Hard Rock
16.32 of 17

Q1 receiving yards

PlayerGameLineBest over / under2025 Q1 avgCleared it
Malik Nabers WR · NYGWAS@NYG10.5
ESPN BET 9.5
-115 / -110
DraftKings / Hard Rock
25.03 of 4
Sam LaPorta TE · DETNE@DET5.5-115 / -115
Hard Rock
21.76 of 9
Chig Okonkwo TE · WASWAS@NYG1.5
Hard Rock 3.5
-114 / -114
DraftKings
7.910 of 17
Amon-Ra St. Brown WR · DETNE@DET13.5-115 / -115
Hard Rock
25.710 of 17
Dalton Kincaid TE · BUFBUF@MIN4.5
Hard Rock 5.5
-119 / +100
DraftKings / ESPN BET
16.47 of 12
Ty Johnson RB · BUFBUF@MIN0.5+190 / -250
DraftKings / Hard Rock
3.16 of 17
Justin Jefferson WR · MINBUF@MIN14.5-110 / -115
Hard Rock / ESPN BET
17.39 of 17
Stefon Diggs WR · WASWAS@NYG4.5-113 / -110
DraftKings / Hard Rock
9.69 of 17
James Cook RB · BUFBUF@MIN0.5+235 / -300
DraftKings / Hard Rock
1.15 of 17
Jameson Williams WR · DETNE@DET6.5-120 / -110
Hard Rock
12.39 of 17
Jordan Addison WR · MINBUF@MIN3.5-113 / -114
DraftKings
8.87 of 14
Rachaad White RB · WASWAS@NYG0.5+176 / -225
DraftKings / Hard Rock
1.14 of 17
Isaiah Likely TE · NYGWAS@NYG6.5
ESPN BET 4.5
-108 / -115
DraftKings / Hard Rock
7.14 of 11
Keon Coleman WR · BUFBUF@MIN0.5+145 / -184
Hard Rock / DraftKings
3.73 of 12
T.J. Hockenson TE · MINBUF@MIN5.5
ESPN BET 4.5
-110 / -116
Hard Rock / DraftKings
3.75 of 15
Jahmyr Gibbs RB · DETNE@DET4.5-120 / -110
Hard Rock
8.96 of 17
DJ Moore WR · BUFBUF@MIN6.5
ESPN BET 4.5
-115 / -110
Hard Rock / DraftKings
7.94 of 17
Khalil Shakir WR · BUFBUF@MIN4.5-115 / -107
ESPN BET / DraftKings
5.13 of 16

"Cleared it" counts 2025 regular-season games where the player's first-quarter total beat today's line — the number the book is asking about, not a season average. Rate is that share of games; implied is the over price converted to a probability; gap is rate minus implied. Small samples (under 8 games) deserve less weight. Lines captured 2026-11-13 01:03 UTC. Not betting advice.

FAQ

Which NFL players have first-quarter props posted for week 10?

DraftKings, ESPN BET and Hard Rock have 34 Q1 player yardage lines up across 3 games: passing, rushing and receiving yards in the first quarter. Books post these close to kickoff, so the list grows through the week.

How do you evaluate a first-quarter prop?

Against the player's own first-quarter history: his 2025 Q1 average and how often he cleared this exact line, from play-by-play. That rate is compared to the probability the price implies. A positive gap means last season's rate beat the price.

Methodology: first-quarter yardage is yards gained on plays snapped in Q1, from nflverse play-by-play, 2025 regular season; lines are DraftKings first-quarter markets captured by our own snapshot. Updated 2026-11-13.

Open the live model — any player, any line, all four quarters →

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