WeeklyHeater
College › Week 10 prop results

College Football Week 10 Prop Results, 2026 — Every Captured Price, Graded

We captured 128 anytime-TD prices and 102 yardage and reception lines before kickoff in college football week 10, 2026, and graded every one. TD prices hit 14.8% of the time against an implied 23.5%; yardage overs went 36–66 (35% over); 4 of 117 first-TD prices cashed. Prices are the best available across the books we track, captured before the game; results from ESPN scoring and box scores.

Anytime-TD prices vs what happened

"Priced at" is the book's implied chance with its cut still in, so a market landing a few points under its price is the vig; the gaps below are larger than that.

Price impliedPropsPriced atActually hitDifference
0–20%5912.9%6.8%-6.1 pts
20–35%5125.7%17.6%-8.1 pts
35–50%539.3%20.0%-19.3 pts
50–70%1254.9%41.7%-13.2 pts
70–100%176.5%0.0%-76.5 pts

Yardage and reception lines — over rate by market

MarketLinesOversOver rate
receiving yards381642%
receptions25936%
rushing yards22732%
passing yards9222%
passing TDs8225%

Every graded line, by game

PlayerMarketPostedResult
Toledo @ Sacramento State · 28 TD prices · 46 lines
CJ Milleranytime TD-325 (76%)—miss
Connor Walendzakanytime TD-155 (61%)—miss
Adjatay Dabbsanytime TD-115 (54%)—miss
Autavius Isonanytime TD-115 (54%)scoredhit
Bryson Hammeranytime TD+195 (34%)—miss
John Alan Richteranytime TD+210 (32%)—miss
Isaiah Eneanytime TD+220 (31%)—miss
Toledo Rockets D/STanytime TD+235 (30%)—miss
Daryl Barnett Jr.anytime TD+255 (28%)—miss
Terrell Crosby Jr.anytime TD+270 (27%)—miss
Peyton Stricklandanytime TD+330 (23%)—miss
Onterrio Smith Jr.anytime TD+340 (23%)—miss
Toledo Rockets Defenseanytime TD+370 (21%)—miss
Matt Colemananytime TD+400 (20%)scoredhit
Sam Leeanytime TD+400 (20%)—miss
Rico Bondanytime TD+425 (19%)—miss
Raiden Brownanytime TD+475 (17%)—miss
Jamar Curtisanytime TD+500 (17%)scoredhit
Jackson Sharmananytime TD+600 (14%)—miss
Sacramento State Hornets D/STanytime TD+600 (14%)—miss
Kyle Koontzanytime TD+650 (13%)—miss
Jordan Williamsanytime TD+750 (12%)—miss
Daniel Swinneyanytime TD+800 (11%)—miss
Cincere Rhaneyanytime TD+850 (10%)—miss
Elijah Huddleanytime TD+850 (10%)—miss
Jace Wilsonanytime TD+950 (10%)—miss
Sacramento State Hornets Defenseanytime TD+1000 (9%)—miss
Kenyon Shabazzanytime TD+1400 (7%)—miss
Jackson Sharmanpassing TDs0.5 · -1601over
John Alan Richterpassing TDs2.5 · +1581under
Jackson Sharmanpassing yards173.5 · -112113.0under
John Alan Richterpassing yards253.5 · -11060.0under
Adjatay Dabbsreceiving yards62.5 · -1120.0under
Bryson Hammerreceiving yards48.5 · -11217.0under
Daryl Barnett Jr.receiving yards29.5 · -1129.0under
Matt Colemanreceiving yards35.5 · -11246.0over
Onterrio Smith Jr.receiving yards35.5 · -11223.0under
Raiden Brownreceiving yards21.5 · -112108.0over
Sam Leereceiving yards25.5 · -1180.0under
Terrell Crosby Jr.receiving yards20.5 · -1120.0under
Adjatay Dabbsreceptions4.5 · +1410.0under
Bryson Hammerreceptions3.5 · +1082under
Matt Colemanreceptions3.5 · -1025over
Onterrio Smith Jr.receptions3.5 · +1022under
Terrell Crosby Jr.receptions1.5 · -1670.0under
Autavius Isonrushing yards47.5 · -110101.0over
CJ Millerrushing yards99.5 · -114135.0over
Isaiah Enerushing yards41.5 · -1121.0under
Adjatay Dabbsfirst TD+700—miss
Autavius Isonfirst TD+575—miss
Bryson Hammerfirst TD+1300—miss
CJ Millerfirst TD+320—miss
Cincere Rhaneyfirst TD+5000—miss
Connor Walendzakfirst TD+500—miss
Daniel Swinneyfirst TD+5500—miss
Daryl Barnett Jr.first TD+1700—miss
Elijah Huddlefirst TD+3000—miss
Isaiah Enefirst TD+1900—miss
Jace Wilsonfirst TD+7500—miss
Jackson Sharmanfirst TD+4000—miss
Jamar Curtisfirst TD+3500—miss
John Alan Richterfirst TD+1400—miss
Jordan Williamsfirst TD+6000—miss
Kenyon Shabazzfirst TD+11000—miss
Matt Colemanfirst TD+2000—miss
No Touchdownfirst TD+35000—miss
Onterrio Smith Jr.first TD+2200—miss
Peyton Stricklandfirst TD+2000—miss
Raiden Brownfirst TD+4000—miss
Rico Bondfirst TD+2500—miss
Sacramento State Hornets D/STfirst TD+4000—miss
Sam Leefirst TD+1900—miss
Terrell Crosby Jr.first TD+1700—miss
Toledo Rockets D/STfirst TD+2000—miss
Ohio @ Akron · 29 TD prices · 52 lines
Nick Poulosanytime TD-150 (60%)scoredhit
Duncan Bruneanytime TD-140 (58%)scoredhit
Jordan Gantanytime TD-140 (58%)scoredhit
Victor Rosaanytime TD-105 (51%)—miss
Riley Neeranytime TD+105 (49%)—miss
Dom Dorwartanytime TD+210 (32%)scoredhit
Marcel Williamsanytime TD+230 (30%)—miss
Elijah Alexanderanytime TD+280 (26%)—miss
Preston Bowmananytime TD+290 (26%)—miss
Irving Brownanytime TD+310 (24%)—miss
Kyan Masonanytime TD+310 (24%)—miss
Cibastian Broughtonanytime TD+350 (22%)—miss
Ohio Bobcats D/STanytime TD+360 (22%)—miss
Jake Furtneyanytime TD+390 (20%)—miss
Miles Burrisanytime TD+390 (20%)—miss
Sean Patrickanytime TD+390 (20%)—miss
Conner Cravaackanytime TD+420 (19%)—miss
Brayden Roggowanytime TD+425 (19%)—miss
AJ Milleranytime TD+475 (17%)—miss
Mike Taylor Jr.anytime TD+475 (17%)—miss
Akron Zips D/STanytime TD+500 (17%)—miss
Ohio Bobcats Defenseanytime TD+550 (15%)—miss
Marquese Williamsanytime TD+650 (13%)—miss
Brandon Hillsanytime TD+750 (12%)—miss
Eian Pughanytime TD+800 (11%)—miss
Akron Zips Defenseanytime TD+850 (10%)—miss
Zach Hacklemananytime TD+900 (10%)—miss
Gentz Hilburnanytime TD+950 (10%)—miss
Jean Louis IIIanytime TD+1300 (7%)—miss
Cibastian Broughtonpassing TDs0.5 · -1750under
Nick Poulospassing TDs1.5 · -1121under
Brayden Roggowpassing yards202.5 · -1290.0under
Cibastian Broughtonpassing yards158.5 · -110232.0over
Nick Poulospassing yards202.5 · -112197.0under
Dom Dorwartreceiving yards33.5 · -112108.0over
Jake Furtneyreceiving yards22.5 · -1120.0under
Jordan Gantreceiving yards10.5 · -10817.0over
Kyan Masonreceiving yards40.5 · -11471.0over
Marcel Williamsreceiving yards40.5 · -11242.0over
Miles Burrisreceiving yards29.5 · -11038.0over
Preston Bowmanreceiving yards37.5 · -11036.0under
Riley Neerreceiving yards61.5 · -11254.0under
Dom Dorwartreceptions2.5 · +1284over
Jake Furtneyreceptions2.5 · +1400.0under
Jordan Gantreceptions2.5 · -1032under
Kyan Masonreceptions3.5 · -1206over
Marcel Williamsreceptions3.5 · -1263under
Miles Burrisreceptions2.5 · -1344over
Preston Bowmanreceptions2.5 · -1303over
Riley Neerreceptions4.5 · +1004under
Cibastian Broughtonrushing yards46.5 · -11420.0under
Duncan Brunerushing yards73.5 · -112111.0over
Jordan Gantrushing yards85.5 · -112112.0over
Nick Poulosrushing yards35.5 · -11245.0over
Victor Rosarushing yards42.5 · -1125.0under
AJ Millerfirst TD+2500—miss
Akron Zips D/STfirst TD+3000—miss
Brandon Hillsfirst TD+5000—miss
Brayden Roggowfirst TD+2800—miss
Conner Cravaackfirst TD+2500—miss
Dom Dorwartfirst TD+1200—miss
Duncan Brunefirst TD+550—miss
Eian Pughfirst TD+4000—miss
Elijah Alexanderfirst TD+1300—miss
Gentz Hilburnfirst TD+7500—miss
Irving Brownfirst TD+1900—miss
Jake Furtneyfirst TD+2200—miss
Jean Louis IIIfirst TD+8000—miss
Jordan Gantfirst TD+750—miss
Kyan Masonfirst TD+2200—miss
Marcel Williamsfirst TD+1800—miss
Marquese Williamsfirst TD+5000—miss
Mike Taylor Jr.first TD+2800—miss
Miles Burrisfirst TD+2800—miss
Nick Poulosfirst TD+500firsthit
No Touchdownfirst TD+25000—miss
Ohio Bobcats D/STfirst TD+2500—miss
Preston Bowmanfirst TD+1500—miss
Riley Neerfirst TD+750—miss
Sean Patrickfirst TD+2800—miss
Victor Rosafirst TD+650—miss
Buffalo @ Miami (OH) · 25 TD prices · 46 lines
Messiah Burchanytime TD-135 (57%)—miss
Caleb Heavneranytime TD-105 (51%)—miss
Rodney Nelsonanytime TD-105 (51%)scoredhit
D'Shawntae Jonesanytime TD+170 (37%)—miss
Chance Morrowanytime TD+250 (29%)scoredhit
Damarion Wittenanytime TD+250 (29%)—miss
Clint Walkeranytime TD+290 (26%)—miss
Jason Wrightanytime TD+310 (24%)scoredhit
Miami (OH) RedHawks D/STanytime TD+310 (24%)—miss
Maleek Hugginsanytime TD+340 (23%)—miss
Buffalo Bulls D/STanytime TD+500 (17%)—miss
Dwayne Early Jr.anytime TD+500 (17%)—miss
Braylon Isomanytime TD+600 (14%)scoredhit
James McNeil Jr.anytime TD+650 (13%)—miss
Miami (OH) RedHawks Defenseanytime TD+650 (13%)—miss
Christian Rossanytime TD+700 (12%)—miss
Jaylen Andrewsanytime TD+700 (12%)—miss
Nino Hillanytime TD+700 (12%)—miss
Lazaro Rogersanytime TD+750 (12%)—miss
Buffalo Bulls Defenseanytime TD+800 (11%)—miss
Scoop Smithanytime TD+800 (11%)scoredhit
Brendan Loftusanytime TD+850 (10%)—miss
Jasaiah Gathingsanytime TD+850 (10%)—miss
Patrick Clacks IIIanytime TD+1100 (8%)—miss
Trevor Wilsonanytime TD+1400 (7%)—miss
Caleb Heavnerpassing TDs1.5 · +1721under
Jason Wrightpassing TDs0.5 · -1802over
Caleb Heavnerpassing yards186.5 · -112154.0under
Jason Wrightpassing yards172.5 · -112358.0over
Braylon Isomreceiving yards24.5 · -10589.0over
Chance Morrowreceiving yards45.5 · -112199.0over
Christian Rossreceiving yards11.5 · -11210.0under
Clint Walkerreceiving yards24.5 · +1030.0under
Damarion Wittenreceiving yards29.5 · -1120.0under
Dwayne Early Jr.receiving yards21.5 · -11280.0over
Jaylen Andrewsreceiving yards19.5 · -11441.0over
Maleek Hugginsreceiving yards37.5 · -11242.0over
Braylon Isomreceptions2.5 · +1497over
Chance Morrowreceptions3.5 · -15212over
Damarion Wittenreceptions2.5 · +1260.0under
Maleek Hugginsreceptions2.5 · -1643over
Caleb Heavnerrushing yards38.5 · -112-5.0under
D'Shawntae Jonesrushing yards25.5 · -115112.0over
Jason Wrightrushing yards21.5 · +1004.0under
Messiah Burchrushing yards95.5 · -11056.0under
Rodney Nelsonrushing yards58.5 · -11045.0under
Braylon Isomfirst TD+3000firsthit
Brendan Loftusfirst TD+3000—miss
Buffalo Bulls D/STfirst TD+2800—miss
Caleb Heavnerfirst TD+600—miss
Chance Morrowfirst TD+1100—miss
Christian Rossfirst TD+2800—miss
Clint Walkerfirst TD+1700—miss
D'Shawntae Jonesfirst TD+800—miss
Damarion Wittenfirst TD+1400—miss
Dwayne Early Jr.first TD+2800—miss
James McNeil Jr.first TD+4000—miss
Jasaiah Gathingsfirst TD+5000—miss
Jason Wrightfirst TD+1300—miss
Jaylen Andrewsfirst TD+3000—miss
Lazaro Rogersfirst TD+1800—miss
Maleek Hugginsfirst TD+1600—miss
Messiah Burchfirst TD+650—miss
Miami (OH) RedHawks D/STfirst TD+1800—miss
Miami (OH) RedHawks Defensefirst TD+1800—miss
Nino Hillfirst TD+2800—miss
No Touchdownfirst TD+12000—miss
Patrick Clacks IIIfirst TD+4000—miss
Rodney Nelsonfirst TD+500—miss
Scoop Smithfirst TD+1900—miss
Trevor Wilsonfirst TD+8000—miss
Central Michigan @ Eastern Michigan · 30 TD prices · 45 lines
Angel H Floresanytime TD-111 (53%)—miss
Jayden Clerveauxanytime TD+160 (38%)—miss
Amareon Blueanytime TD+180 (36%)—miss
Vaughn Blueanytime TD+200 (33%)scoredhit
Joey Mattordanytime TD+210 (32%)—miss
Langston Lewisanytime TD+210 (32%)—miss
Jadyn Glasseranytime TD+215 (32%)—miss
Nick Woodfordanytime TD+240 (29%)scoredhit
Harold Mackanytime TD+270 (27%)scoredhit
Joshua Longanytime TD+270 (27%)—miss
Noah Kimanytime TD+270 (27%)—miss
Benson Prosperanytime TD+290 (26%)—miss
Justin Ruffin Jr.anytime TD+295 (25%)—miss
Braylen Navesanytime TD+310 (24%)—miss
Brock Townsendanytime TD+310 (24%)—miss
Nick Devereauxanytime TD+310 (24%)—miss
Eastern Michigan Eagles D/STanytime TD+330 (23%)—miss
Central Michigan Chippewas D/STanytime TD+360 (22%)—miss
Braydon Bennettanytime TD+390 (20%)—miss
Nasir Williamsanytime TD+470 (18%)scoredhit
Shawn Foster IIanytime TD+480 (17%)—miss
Central Michigan Chippewas Defenseanytime TD+550 (15%)—miss
Jaden Allenanytime TD+550 (15%)—miss
Eastern Michigan Eagles Defenseanytime TD+750 (12%)—miss
Rusty VanWetzinga IVanytime TD+800 (11%)—miss
Antonio Floydanytime TD+900 (10%)—miss
Myles Petersanytime TD+900 (10%)—miss
Santonyo Isaacanytime TD+900 (10%)—miss
Kozy Isaacanytime TD+950 (10%)—miss
Tanner Lemasteranytime TD+950 (10%)—miss
Jadyn Glasserpassing TDs1.5 · +1521under
Jadyn Glasserpassing yards192.5 · -112175.0under
Benson Prosperreceiving yards31.5 · -11110.0under
Braylen Navesreceiving yards39.5 · -1144.0under
Harold Mackreceiving yards37.5 · -11025.0under
Joey Mattordreceiving yards10.5 · -11033.0over
Joshua Longreceiving yards33.5 · -1121.0under
Justin Ruffin Jr.receiving yards29.5 · -10251.0over
Nasir Williamsreceiving yards24.5 · -10357.0over
Nick Devereauxreceiving yards39.5 · -11510.0under
Tommy McIntoshreceiving yards37.5 · -1140.0under
Benson Prosperreceptions3.5 · +1341under
Braylen Navesreceptions3.5 · +1611under
Harold Mackreceptions3.5 · +1044over
Joshua Longreceptions3.5 · -1122under
Amareon Bluerushing yards42.5 · -11242.0under
Braydon Bennettrushing yards21.5 · -1100.0under
Jadyn Glasserrushing yards5.5 · -1124.0under
Jayden Clerveauxrushing yards39.5 · -10920.0under
Joey Mattordrushing yards26.5 · -11221.0under
Vaughn Bluerushing yards28.5 · -11219.0under
Amareon Bluefirst TD+850—miss
Antonio Floydfirst TD+4500—miss
Benson Prosperfirst TD+1700—miss
Braydon Bennettfirst TD+1300—miss
Braylen Navesfirst TD+1800—miss
Brock Townsendfirst TD+1800—miss
Central Michigan Chippewas D/STfirst TD+1800—miss
Eastern Michigan Eagles D/STfirst TD+1700—miss
Harold Mackfirst TD+1200—miss
Jaden Allenfirst TD+2800—miss
Jadyn Glasserfirst TD+1400—miss
Jayden Clerveauxfirst TD+950—miss
Joey Mattordfirst TD+950—miss
Joshua Longfirst TD+1500—miss
Justin Ruffin Jr.first TD+1700—miss
Kozy Isaacfirst TD+4500—miss
Myles Petersfirst TD+4500—miss
Nasir Williamsfirst TD+2000firsthit
Nick Devereauxfirst TD+1700—miss
Nick Woodfordfirst TD+1300—miss
No Touchdownfirst TD+13000—miss
Shawn Foster IIfirst TD+2500—miss
Tanner Lemasterfirst TD+4500—miss
Vaughn Bluefirst TD+1100—miss
Ball State @ Massachusetts · 16 TD prices · 30 lines
TJ Hortonanytime TD-105 (51%)—miss
Keldric Lusteranytime TD+175 (36%)scoredhit
Jalen Bondsanytime TD+230 (30%)scoredhit
Jamarion McDougleanytime TD+280 (26%)scoredhit
Johnny Thompson Jr.anytime TD+300 (25%)—miss
Donovan Hamiltonanytime TD+310 (24%)—miss
Jabari Smith Jr.anytime TD+340 (23%)—miss
UMass Minutemen D/STanytime TD+370 (21%)—miss
Ball State Cardinals D/STanytime TD+390 (20%)—miss
Isaiah Thackeranytime TD+425 (19%)—miss
Tate Hooveranytime TD+440 (18%)—miss
Max Dowlinganytime TD+480 (17%)—miss
CJ Nelsonanytime TD+650 (13%)—miss
Ball State Cardinals Defenseanytime TD+700 (12%)—miss
Alex Scherleanytime TD+950 (10%)—miss
Elisha Durhamanytime TD+1000 (9%)—miss
Keldric Lusterpassing TDs1.5 · +1621under
Keldric Lusterpassing yards196.5 · -112182.0under
Donovan Hamiltonreceiving yards36.5 · -10344.0over
Isaiah Thackerreceiving yards22.5 · -112-1.0under
Jabari Smith Jr.receiving yards29.5 · -1140.0under
Jamarion McDouglereceiving yards34.5 · -11134.0under
Max Dowlingreceiving yards14.5 · -1120.0under
Donovan Hamiltonreceptions3.5 · +1493under
Isaiah Thackerreceptions2.5 · +1441under
Jamarion McDouglereceptions3.5 · +1262under
Max Dowlingreceptions1.5 · -1300.0under
Jalen Bondsrushing yards39.5 · -106132.0over
Keldric Lusterrushing yards35.5 · -11221.0under
TJ Hortonrushing yards41.5 · -11411.0under
Alex Scherlefirst TD+5500—miss
Ball State Cardinals D/STfirst TD+2200—miss
CJ Nelsonfirst TD+4000—miss
Donovan Hamiltonfirst TD+2000—miss
Elisha Durhamfirst TD+5500—miss
Isaiah Thackerfirst TD+2500—miss
Jabari Smith Jr.first TD+2200—miss
Jalen Bondsfirst TD+1400—miss
Jamarion McDouglefirst TD+1900firsthit
Johnny Thompson Jr.first TD+1900—miss
Keldric Lusterfirst TD+1100—miss
Max Dowlingfirst TD+1300—miss
No Touchdownfirst TD+15000—miss
TJ Hortonfirst TD+700—miss
Tate Hooverfirst TD+2500—miss
UMass Minutemen D/STfirst TD+2000—miss

Methodology: every price and line here was captured before kickoff from the books we track and graded after from ESPN scoring timelines and box scores. Nothing is added or removed once the week settles. Updated 2026-11-07.

Open the live model — any player, any line, all four quarters →

llms.txt