NFL Same-Game Parlay Stacks — Correlation, Measured
Same-game parlays pay less than the multiplied odds because the book prices correlation — this page measures it. Every QB + top receiver pair, graded by how often both legs actually cleared their lines in the same games versus what independence predicts, with the correlation boost printed. Where DraftKings posts full-game lines on the pair, we show the naive multiplied price next to our measured joint rate at those exact lines. Free, no signup.
Open the NFL Same-Game Parlay Stacks →
What it does
- QB + No. 1 read pairs from first-target data, 12+ shared games each
- Joint hit rate vs independent math — the correlation boost in points
- Fair odds for the stack as one bet, from the measured joint rate
- DK full-game combo: multiplied price vs our joint rate at DK's lines
- Anti-stacks: teammate pairs that almost never hit together
FAQ
Which same-game parlay legs actually hit together?
QB + his No. 1 receiver is the classic: our measured pairs cleared both their lines together in up to 50% of shared games when independent math predicted 34%. The stacks page prints that joint rate for every qualifying pair, from real game logs.
Why does DraftKings pay less for a same-game parlay?
Because correlated legs win together more often than the multiplied odds imply, the SGP engine reprices the combo below the naive multiply. Our page shows both numbers — the multiplied price and the measured joint rate — so you can see the size of the shave.
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