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NFL ATS results › Week 16 2025

NFL Week 16 ATS Results, 2025 — Who Covered, Every Line Graded

Favorites went 7–9 against the spread in NFL week 16, 2025; overs finished 10–6, with 6 outright upsets — the biggest: PIT +7.5 beat DET straight up. Every game below is graded against the closing line — who covered, and how the total landed.

Every game, graded

FinalLine ATSTotal
THURSDAY · DEC 18
LA 37 @ SEA 38SEA -1.5LA coveredOver 42.5
SATURDAY · DEC 20
PHI 29 @ WAS 18PHI -7PHI coveredOver 43.5
GB 16 @ CHI 22CHI -1.5CHI coveredUnder 45.5
SUNDAY · DEC 21
TB 20 @ CAR 23TB -3CAR covered — outright upsetUnder 44.5
BUF 23 @ CLE 20BUF -10.5CLE coveredOver 41.5
LAC 34 @ DAL 17DAL -1.5LAC covered — outright upsetOver 50.5
CIN 45 @ MIA 21CIN -3.5CIN coveredOver 48.5
NYJ 6 @ NO 29NO -6.5NO coveredUnder 39.5
MIN 16 @ NYG 13MIN -2.5MIN coveredUnder 41.5
KC 9 @ TEN 26KC -3.5TEN covered — outright upsetUnder 37.5
ATL 26 @ ARI 19ATL -2.5ATL coveredUnder 48.5
JAX 34 @ DEN 20DEN -3.5JAX covered — outright upsetOver 46.5
PIT 29 @ DET 24DET -7.5PIT covered — outright upsetOver 52.5
LV 21 @ HOU 23HOU -14.5LV coveredOver 39.5
NE 28 @ BAL 24BAL -3.5NE covered — outright upsetOver 48.5
MONDAY · DEC 22
SF 48 @ IND 27SF -4.5SF coveredOver 46.5

Closing spread and total from nflverse. This page is a frozen record of a completed week — it will not change.

FAQ

Did favorites cover in NFL week 16 of 2025?

Favorites went 7–9 against the closing spread in week 16 of 2025.

What was the biggest upset of NFL week 16, 2025?

Pittsburgh Steelers beating Detroit Lions outright as a +7.5 underdog.

How did the over/under do in NFL week 16, 2025?

Overs went 10–6 across the week's games.

Methodology: computed from nflverse play-by-play; a quarter's yards are the yards gained on plays snapped in that quarter. Averages use each player's games played, not team games. Updated 2026-09-13.

Open the live model — any player, any line, all four quarters →

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