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NFL Week 1 Prop Results, 2026 — Which Props Hit

Every player prop we captured before kickoff, graded against what actually happened: yardage overs went 253–258, and 69 of 484 anytime-TD prices cashed. The full graded list is below — a frozen record from our pre-kick archive.

Every graded prop

PlayerMarketLine ActualResult
Sam Darnold (SEA)atdNone0.0miss
Drake Maye (NE)atdNone0.0miss
Rhamondre Stevenson (NE)atdNone0.0miss
TreVeyon Henderson (NE)atdNone0.0miss
Rashid Shaheed (SEA)atdNone0.0miss
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA)atdNone1.0hit
A.J. Brown (NE)atdNone0.0miss
Romeo Doubs (NE)atdNone0.0miss
Hunter Henry (NE)atdNone0.0miss
Cooper Kupp (SEA)atdNone0.0miss
AJ Barner (SEA)atdNone0.0miss
DeMario Douglas (NE)atdNone0.0miss
Emanuel Wilson (SEA)atdNone0.0miss
Elijah Arroyo (SEA)atdNone0.0miss
Mack Hollins (NE)atdNone0.0miss
Kyle Williams (NE)atdNone0.0miss
Matthew Stafford (LA)atdNone0.0miss
Brock Purdy (SF)atdNone0.0miss
Christian McCaffrey (SF)atdNone0.0miss
Kyren Williams (LA)atdNone1.0hit
Blake Corum (LA)atdNone0.0miss
Puka Nacua (LA)atdNone0.0miss
Mike Evans (SF)atdNone1.0hit
Davante Adams (LA)atdNone0.0miss
Deebo Samuel Sr. (SF)atdNone1.0hit
Colby Parkinson (LA)atdNone0.0miss
Terrance Ferguson (LA)atdNone0.0miss
George Kittle (SF)atdNone0.0miss
Tyler Higbee (LA)atdNone0.0miss
Demarcus Robinson (SF)atdNone1.0hit
Jordan Whittington (LA)atdNone0.0miss
Jake Tonges (SF)atdNone0.0miss
Xavier Smith (LA)atdNone0.0miss
Kyle Juszczyk (SF)atdNone0.0miss
Davis Allen (LA)atdNone0.0miss
Aaron Rodgers (PIT)atdNone0.0miss
Tua Tagovailoa (ATL)atdNone0.0miss
Bijan Robinson (ATL)atdNone1.0hit
Drake London (ATL)atdNone0.0miss
DK Metcalf (PIT)atdNone0.0miss
Michael Pittman (PIT)atdNone0.0miss
Kyle Pitts (ATL)atdNone0.0miss
Jaylen Warren (PIT)atdNone0.0miss
Rico Dowdle (PIT)atdNone0.0miss
Pat Freiermuth (PIT)atdNone1.0hit
Brian Robinson (ATL)atdNone0.0miss
Darnell Washington (PIT)atdNone0.0miss
Jahan Dotson (ATL)atdNone0.0miss
Roman Wilson (PIT)atdNone0.0miss
Olamide Zaccheaus (ATL)atdNone0.0miss
Daniel Jones (IND)atdNone0.0miss
Lamar Jackson (BAL)atdNone1.0hit
Derrick Henry (BAL)atdNone1.0hit
Jonathan Taylor (IND)atdNone1.0hit
Zay Flowers (BAL)atdNone1.0hit
Mark Andrews (BAL)atdNone0.0miss
Tyler Warren (IND)atdNone1.0hit
Alec Pierce (IND)atdNone0.0miss
Josh Downs (IND)atdNone0.0miss
Keenan Allen (IND)atdNone0.0miss
Rashod Bateman (BAL)atdNone0.0miss
Justice Hill (BAL)atdNone0.0miss
Devontez Walker (BAL)atdNone0.0miss
Josh Allen (BUF)atdNone1.0hit
C.J. Stroud (HOU)atdNone0.0miss
James Cook (BUF)atdNone0.0miss
David Montgomery (HOU)atdNone1.0hit
Woody Marks (HOU)atdNone0.0miss
Nico Collins (HOU)atdNone1.0hit
DJ Moore (BUF)atdNone1.0hit
Dalton Kincaid (BUF)atdNone0.0miss
Khalil Shakir (BUF)atdNone0.0miss
Dalton Schultz (HOU)atdNone0.0miss
Kayshon Boutte (HOU)atdNone0.0miss
Xavier Hutchinson (HOU)atdNone0.0miss
Jaylin Noel (HOU)atdNone0.0miss
Ray Davis (BUF)atdNone0.0miss
Keon Coleman (BUF)atdNone0.0miss
Dawson Knox (BUF)atdNone0.0miss
Ty Johnson (BUF)atdNone0.0miss
Foster Moreau (HOU)atdNone0.0miss
Jackson Hawes (BUF)atdNone0.0miss
Cade Stover (HOU)atdNone0.0miss
Caleb Williams (CHI)atdNone1.0hit
Bryce Young (CAR)atdNone1.0hit
Tetairoa McMillan (CAR)atdNone0.0miss
Luther Burden III (CHI)atdNone0.0miss
Colston Loveland (CHI)atdNone0.0miss
Rome Odunze (CHI)atdNone0.0miss
Jalen Coker (CAR)atdNone1.0hit
Cole Kmet (CHI)atdNone1.0hit
D'Andre Swift (CHI)atdNone1.0hit
Chuba Hubbard (CAR)atdNone1.0hit
Kyle Monangai (CHI)atdNone1.0hit
Darren Waller (CAR)atdNone0.0miss
Ja'Tavion Sanders (CAR)atdNone0.0miss
Tommy Tremble (CAR)atdNone0.0miss
Xavier Legette (CAR)atdNone0.0miss
Kalif Raymond (CHI)atdNone0.0miss
Roschon Johnson (CHI)atdNone0.0miss
Jimmy Horn Jr. (CAR)atdNone0.0miss
John Metchie III (CAR)atdNone0.0miss
Mitchell Evans (CAR)atdNone0.0miss
Brycen Tremayne (CAR)atdNone0.0miss
Joe Burrow (CIN)atdNone0.0miss
Baker Mayfield (TB)atdNone1.0hit
Chase Brown (CIN)atdNone1.0hit
Bucky Irving (TB)atdNone1.0hit
Ja'Marr Chase (CIN)atdNone0.0miss
Tee Higgins (CIN)atdNone0.0miss
Emeka Egbuka (TB)atdNone0.0miss
Jalen McMillan (TB)atdNone0.0miss
Chris Godwin Jr. (TB)atdNone0.0miss
Andrei Iosivas (CIN)atdNone0.0miss
Mike Gesicki (CIN)atdNone1.0hit
Samaje Perine (CIN)atdNone0.0miss
Cade Otton (TB)atdNone0.0miss
Tez Johnson (TB)atdNone0.0miss
Sean Tucker (TB)atdNone0.0miss
Drew Sample (CIN)atdNone0.0miss
Erick All (CIN)atdNone0.0miss
Trevor Lawrence (JAX)atdNone0.0miss
Deshaun Watson (CLE)atdNone0.0miss
Quinshon Judkins (CLE)atdNone0.0miss
Bhayshul Tuten (JAX)atdNone0.0miss
Chris Rodriguez Jr. (JAX)atdNone0.0miss
Parker Washington (JAX)atdNone1.0hit
Jakobi Meyers (JAX)atdNone1.0hit
Brian Thomas Jr. (JAX)atdNone0.0miss
Harold Fannin Jr. (CLE)atdNone0.0miss
Brenton Strange (JAX)atdNone1.0hit
Jerry Jeudy (CLE)atdNone0.0miss
Travis Hunter (JAX)atdNone0.0miss
Dylan Sampson (CLE)atdNone0.0miss
Isaiah Bond (CLE)atdNone0.0miss
Malachi Corley (CLE)atdNone0.0miss
Tylan Wallace (CLE)atdNone0.0miss
Jared Goff (DET)atdNone0.0miss
Tyler Shough (NO)atdNone0.0miss
Jahmyr Gibbs (DET)atdNone1.0hit
Travis Etienne (NO)atdNone0.0miss
Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET)atdNone1.0hit
Chris Olave (NO)atdNone0.0miss
Jameson Williams (DET)atdNone0.0miss
Juwan Johnson (NO)atdNone1.0hit
Sam LaPorta (DET)atdNone0.0miss
Devaughn Vele (NO)atdNone1.0hit
Isaac TeSlaa (DET)atdNone0.0miss
Kendre Miller (NO)atdNone1.0hit
Noah Fant (NO)atdNone1.0hit
Brock Wright (DET)atdNone0.0miss
Cam Ward (TEN)atdNone0.0miss
Geno Smith (NYJ)atdNone0.0miss
Breece Hall (NYJ)atdNone1.0hit
Tony Pollard (TEN)atdNone0.0miss
Garrett Wilson (NYJ)atdNone0.0miss
Tyjae Spears (TEN)atdNone0.0miss
Braelon Allen (NYJ)atdNone0.0miss
Adonai Mitchell (NYJ)atdNone0.0miss
Gunnar Helm (TEN)atdNone0.0miss
Calvin Ridley (TEN)atdNone0.0miss
Mason Taylor (NYJ)atdNone0.0miss
Isaiah Davis (NYJ)atdNone0.0miss
Elic Ayomanor (TEN)atdNone1.0hit
Isaiah Williams (NYJ)atdNone0.0miss
Chimere Dike (TEN)atdNone0.0miss
Daniel Bellinger (TEN)atdNone0.0miss
Jeremy Ruckert (NYJ)atdNone0.0miss
Justin Herbert (LAC)atdNone0.0miss
Jacoby Brissett (ARI)atdNone0.0miss
Omarion Hampton (LAC)atdNone1.0hit
Trey McBride (ARI)atdNone1.0hit
Ladd McConkey (LAC)atdNone1.0hit
Marvin Harrison Jr. (ARI)atdNone0.0miss
Michael Wilson (ARI)atdNone0.0miss
Quentin Johnston (LAC)atdNone0.0miss
Tre Harris (LAC)atdNone0.0miss
Tyler Allgeier (ARI)atdNone0.0miss
Keaton Mitchell (LAC)atdNone0.0miss
Charlie Kolar (LAC)atdNone0.0miss
David Njoku (LAC)atdNone0.0miss
Oronde Gadsden II (LAC)atdNone0.0miss
Kendrick Bourne (ARI)atdNone0.0miss
Jordan Love (GB)atdNone0.0miss
Kyler Murray (MIN)atdNone0.0miss
Jordan Mason (MIN)atdNone1.0hit
Aaron Jones (MIN)atdNone1.0hit
Justin Jefferson (MIN)atdNone1.0hit
Christian Watson (GB)atdNone1.0hit
Tucker Kraft (GB)atdNone0.0miss
Jordan Addison (MIN)atdNone0.0miss
Matthew Golden (GB)atdNone0.0miss
Jayden Reed (GB)atdNone0.0miss
T.J. Hockenson (MIN)atdNone1.0hit
Jauan Jennings (MIN)atdNone0.0miss
Chris Brooks (GB)atdNone0.0miss
Josh Oliver (MIN)atdNone0.0miss
Jonnu Smith (GB)atdNone0.0miss
Josh Whyle (GB)atdNone0.0miss
Kirk Cousins (LV)atdNone0.0miss
Malik Willis (MIA)atdNone1.0hit
De'Von Achane (MIA)atdNone0.0miss
Brock Bowers (LV)atdNone0.0miss
Tre Tucker (LV)atdNone0.0miss
Ashton Jeanty (LV)atdNone1.0hit
Malik Washington (MIA)atdNone0.0miss
Jalen Nailor (LV)atdNone0.0miss
Greg Dulcich (MIA)atdNone0.0miss
Michael Mayer (LV)atdNone0.0miss
Jalen Tolbert (MIA)atdNone0.0miss
Jack Bech (LV)atdNone1.0hit
Jalen Hurts (PHI)atdNone0.0miss
Jayden Daniels (WAS)atdNone0.0miss
Saquon Barkley (PHI)atdNone0.0miss
Jacory Croskey-Merritt (WAS)atdNone1.0hit
DeVonta Smith (PHI)atdNone0.0miss
Terry McLaurin (WAS)atdNone0.0miss
Stefon Diggs (WAS)atdNone1.0hit
Dallas Goedert (PHI)atdNone1.0hit
Rachaad White (WAS)atdNone0.0miss
Dontayvion Wicks (PHI)atdNone1.0hit
Tank Bigsby (PHI)atdNone0.0miss
Chig Okonkwo (WAS)atdNone0.0miss
Treylon Burks (WAS)atdNone0.0miss
Jaylin Lane (WAS)atdNone0.0miss
Luke McCaffrey (WAS)atdNone0.0miss
Will Shipley (PHI)atdNone0.0miss
Johnny Mundt (PHI)atdNone0.0miss
John Bates (WAS)atdNone0.0miss
Elijah Moore (PHI)atdNone0.0miss
Ben Sinnott (WAS)atdNone0.0miss
Dak Prescott (DAL)atdNone0.0miss
Jaxson Dart (NYG)atdNone0.0miss
Javonte Williams (DAL)atdNone1.0hit
Cam Skattebo (NYG)atdNone1.0hit
CeeDee Lamb (DAL)atdNone1.0hit
George Pickens (DAL)atdNone0.0miss
Malik Nabers (NYG)atdNone0.0miss
Jake Ferguson (DAL)atdNone0.0miss
Isaiah Likely (NYG)atdNone1.0hit
Najee Harris (NYG)atdNone0.0miss
Theo Johnson (NYG)atdNone0.0miss
Ryan Flournoy (DAL)atdNone0.0miss
Darnell Mooney (NYG)atdNone0.0miss
KaVontae Turpin (DAL)atdNone0.0miss
Darius Slayton (NYG)atdNone0.0miss
Emari Demercado (DAL)atdNone0.0miss
Luke Schoonmaker (DAL)atdNone0.0miss
Malik Davis (DAL)atdNone0.0miss
Devin Singletary (NYG)atdNone1.0hit
Brevyn Spann-Ford (DAL)atdNone0.0miss
Jonathan Mingo (DAL)atdNone0.0miss
Hunter Luepke (DAL)atdNone0.0miss
Patrick Mahomes (KC)atdNone1.0hit
Bo Nix (DEN)atdNone0.0miss
Kenneth Walker III (KC)atdNone1.0hit
J.K. Dobbins (DEN)atdNone0.0miss
Rashee Rice (KC)atdNone1.0hit
Jaylen Waddle (DEN)atdNone0.0miss
Courtland Sutton (DEN)atdNone0.0miss
Travis Kelce (KC)atdNone0.0miss
Xavier Worthy (KC)atdNone0.0miss
RJ Harvey (DEN)atdNone0.0miss
Evan Engram (DEN)atdNone1.0hit
Tyquan Thornton (KC)atdNone0.0miss
Pat Bryant (DEN)atdNone0.0miss
Brashard Smith (KC)atdNone0.0miss
Adam Trautman (DEN)atdNone0.0miss
Marvin Mims Jr. (DEN)atdNone0.0miss
Troy Franklin (DEN)atdNone0.0miss
Noah Gray (KC)atdNone0.0miss
Lil'Jordan Humphrey (DEN)atdNone0.0miss
Nate Adkins (DEN)atdNone0.0miss
Tory Horton (SEA)atdNone0.0miss
Ronnie Rivers (LA)atdNone0.0miss
Tutu Atwell (LA)atdNone0.0miss
Luke Farrell (SF)atdNone0.0miss
Austin Hooper (ATL)atdNone0.0miss
Ashton Dulin (IND)atdNone0.0miss
Mo Alie-Cox (IND)atdNone0.0miss
Jawhar Jordan (HOU)atdNone0.0miss
Tanner Hudson (CIN)atdNone0.0miss
Ameer Abdullah (JAX)atdNone0.0miss
LeQuint Allen Jr. (JAX)atdNone0.0miss
Alvin Kamara (NO)atdNone0.0miss
Kylen Granson (TEN)atdNone0.0miss
Tim Patrick (NYJ)atdNone0.0miss
Alec Ingold (LAC)atdNone0.0miss
Derius Davis (LAC)atdNone0.0miss
Elijah Higgins (ARI)atdNone0.0miss
Jalen Brooks (ARI)atdNone0.0miss
Hunter Long (ARI)atdNone0.0miss
Kimani Vidal (LAC)atdNone0.0miss
Jaylen Wright (MIA)atdNone0.0miss
Ollie Gordon II (MIA)atdNone0.0miss
Grant Calcaterra (PHI)atdNone0.0miss
Dyami Brown (WAS)atdNone0.0miss
Marquez Valdes-Scantling (DAL)atdNone0.0miss
Tyrone Tracy Jr. (NYG)atdNone0.0miss
Tyler Badie (DEN)atdNone0.0miss
Kenny Gainwell (TB)atdNone0.0miss
Tyler Conklin (DET)atdNone0.0miss
Wan'Dale Robinson (TEN)atdNone0.0miss
Bo Melton (GB)atdNone0.0miss
Calvin Austin III (NYG)atdNone0.0miss
Jadarian Price (SEA)atdNone0.0miss
George Holani (SEA)atdNone0.0miss
Corey Kiner (NE)atdNone0.0miss
SEA D/ST (SEA)atdNone0.0miss
NE D/ST (NE)atdNone0.0miss
Eli Raridon (NE)atdNone1.0hit
Efton Chism III (NE)atdNone0.0miss
Montorie Foster Jr (SEA)atdNone0.0miss
Reggie Gilliam (NE)atdNone0.0miss
Nick Kallerup (SEA)atdNone0.0miss
Eric Saubert (SEA)atdNone0.0miss
Cameron Latu (NE)atdNone0.0miss
Tanner Arkin (NE)atdNone0.0miss
Brady Russell (SEA)atdNone0.0miss
De'Zhaun Stribling (SF)atdNone0.0miss
LA D/ST (LA)atdNone0.0miss
SF D/ST (SF)atdNone0.0miss
Kaelon Black (SF)atdNone0.0miss
Konata Mumpfield (LA)atdNone0.0miss
CJ Daniels (LA)atdNone0.0miss
Max Klare (LA)atdNone0.0miss
PIT D/ST (PIT)atdNone0.0miss
ATL D/ST (ATL)atdNone0.0miss
Germie Bernard (PIT)atdNone0.0miss
Zachariah Branch (ATL)atdNone0.0miss
Ben Skowronek (PIT)atdNone0.0miss
Robert Tonyan (PIT)atdNone0.0miss
Eli Heidenreich (PIT)atdNone0.0miss
Kaden Wetjen (PIT)atdNone0.0miss
Riley Nowakowski (PIT)atdNone0.0miss
Chris Blair (ATL)atdNone0.0miss
Charlie Woerner (ATL)atdNone0.0miss
IND D/ST (IND)atdNone0.0miss
BAL D/ST (BAL)atdNone0.0miss
Seth McGowan (IND)atdNone0.0miss
Laquon Treadwell (IND)atdNone0.0miss
DJ Giddens (IND)atdNone0.0miss
Deion Burks (IND)atdNone0.0miss
Rasheen Ali (BAL)atdNone0.0miss
Durham Smythe (BAL)atdNone0.0miss
Elijah Sarratt (BAL)atdNone0.0miss
Josh Cuevas (BAL)atdNone0.0miss
Matthew Hibner (BAL)atdNone0.0miss
LaJohntay Wester (BAL)atdNone0.0miss
BUF D/ST (BUF)atdNone0.0miss
HOU D/ST (HOU)atdNone0.0miss
Skyler Bell (BUF)atdNone0.0miss
Marlin Klein (HOU)atdNone0.0miss
British Brooks (HOU)atdNone0.0miss
Keleki Latu (BUF)atdNone0.0miss
Jared Wayne (HOU)atdNone0.0miss
Jonathon Brooks (CAR)atdNone0.0miss
CAR D/ST (CAR)atdNone0.0miss
CHI D/ST (CHI)atdNone0.0miss
Zavion Thomas (CHI)atdNone0.0miss
Jahdae Walker (CHI)atdNone1.0hit
Sam Roush (CHI)atdNone0.0miss
AJ Dillon (CAR)atdNone0.0miss
Trevor Etienne (CAR)atdNone0.0miss
Colbie Young (CIN)atdNone0.0miss
Ted Hurst III (TB)atdNone0.0miss
CIN D/ST (CIN)atdNone0.0miss
TB D/ST (TB)atdNone0.0miss
Jack Endries (CIN)atdNone0.0miss
Payne Durham (TB)atdNone0.0miss
Dohnte Meyers (CIN)atdNone0.0miss
Tahj Brooks (CIN)atdNone0.0miss
Ke'Shawn Williams (CIN)atdNone0.0miss
KC Concepcion (CLE)atdNone0.0miss
Denzel Boston (CLE)atdNone1.0hit
JAX D/ST (JAX)atdNone0.0miss
CLE D/ST (CLE)atdNone0.0miss
Nate Boerkircher (JAX)atdNone0.0miss
Josh Cameron (JAX)atdNone1.0hit
Raheim Sanders (CLE)atdNone0.0miss
Tanner Koziol (JAX)atdNone0.0miss
C.J. Williams (JAX)atdNone0.0miss
Blake Whiteheart (CLE)atdNone0.0miss
Quintin Morris (JAX)atdNone0.0miss
Carsen Ryan (CLE)atdNone0.0miss
Michael Burton (CLE)atdNone0.0miss
Jacob Saylors (DET)atdNone0.0miss
Sione Vaki (DET)atdNone0.0miss
DET D/ST (DET)atdNone0.0miss
NO D/ST (NO)atdNone0.0miss
Bryce Lance (NO)atdNone0.0miss
Barion Brown (NO)atdNone0.0miss
Tay Martin (DET)atdNone0.0miss
Jackson Meeks (DET)atdNone0.0miss
Oscar Delp (NO)atdNone0.0miss
Carnell Tate (TEN)atdNone0.0miss
TEN D/ST (TEN)atdNone0.0miss
NYJ D/ST (NYJ)atdNone0.0miss
Kenyon Sadiq (NYJ)atdNone1.0hit
Julius Chestnut (TEN)atdNone0.0miss

Methodology: computed from nflverse play-by-play; a quarter's yards are the yards gained on plays snapped in that quarter. Averages use each player's games played, not team games. Updated 2026-10-27.

Open the live model — any player, any line, all four quarters →

llms.txt